First, let me start off by saying that I love the racing industry. Not all of it, but I've seen first hand, the wonderful folks who are a part of it. I used to break and gallop TB's for a living, and I loved all of "my" babies.
Anyway, I have several friends who hate racing, and love to throw out the statistic about how over half of the TB's bred each year, go to slaughter. Only, when you research this, you end up.on PETA sites, or that horse racing wrongs site.
Does anyone know how to find cold hard - non PETA related - facts on this?
Although Sunny Ridge is just 1 for 9 over the past two years, it must be noted he’s been running against much better (Page McKinney, Yoshida, Patternrecogintion, Vino Rosso etc) in most of those races and has hit the board in most of those spots. This gray, now eight year old by Holy Bull likes this track and his last race was “sneaky” good……………………..In taking Sunny Ridge, Diamond King scares the daylights out of me. This handsome son of Quality Road buried mid-level optionals in his 2019 debut. I loved the way he then dug in and fought valiantly in deep stretch of the three turn, Charles Town Classic in his last while just missing winning. Also, you get two of my more favorite angles with him including the third start off a layoff and he drops in class/cuts back in distance. Looms a major threat here……………………..There are several things to like about Bal Harbour in this race too. Gelding by First Samurai has the back class to win this, stretches out to his optimal distance (4-3-1-0 at one mile) and he ran very well (win) in his only try on this oval. Do not be so fast to throw him out………………………Honorable Mentions: California Night has won three of his last four and absolutely ran a hole in the wind in his last. I’m just not sure he can handle the step up in class here though…….....……..Jeezum Jim looks to be the controlling speed in this spot but he’ll have to break from the extreme outside and, although he is an 11 time winner, he has been beaten consistently by lesser foes. $5,000 sales purchase, who has banked over $300,000 (hell of a ROI), could still be “hanging and banging” down the lane if left alone on an uncontested lead.
Race: 11 (5:32 PM EST Post
Synchrony has hit the board in 12 of 14 career starts (14-6-2-4) and is 3-2-1-0 on the Monmouth Turf Course. Pay no attention to his last sub par effort as it was in a Grade:1 race, against pro-tem male grass division leader Bricks and Mortar and, most importantly, it was run over an off turf course. This six year old CLEARLY does his best running on firm turf courses and the weather on the Jersey shore is supposed to be nice this weekend……………….Monarchs Glen looks to be a serious contender in here as well. Good looking gelding by superstar Frankel missed the break in his U.S. debut but was quietly making up ground late while running a strong :23.2 final quarter mile. He also gets the services of arguably the best grass rider in the country. A “must use” for me in this spot…………………….Up the Ante possesses the oh-so-important versatility as he can beat you from on or off the pace. This $350,000 son of Smart Strike ran big in his first start in almost nine months as he was coming late, on the outside, to finish second in a race where the mile distance was run in a hot 1:33.2. Chestnut colt from the “CC” barn should be tighter for this and has either been first of second in six of seven tries on the turf………………………..Honorable Mentions: After a huge effort in none other than the Arlington Million last year, Almanaar has done very little since. Although his speed figures say otherwise, it appears to me he has cycled out of form. Bottom line here is I have no clue what to expect from him on Saturday afternoon but he’s one of those horses who is tough to bet but also tough to bet against…………………After three bad efforts to end 2018, Force the Pass did show some signs of life in his 2019 debut. Seven year old by wide spectrum sire Speightstown made a bold run leaving the three eighths pole but hung like a cheap suit in deep stretch. This millionaire has hit the board in 14 of 18 turf starts and mirrors Almanaar in the sense he is tough to play and tough to play against………………………Irish Strait’s last race was impressive (won a stretch duel, while getting a mile in 1:33.4). But he’ll be stepping up in class here and has had problems stringing wins together in the past………………Markitoff is just 2 for 24 in his career but can pop a big race now and again as witnessed by running Brick and Mortar to a nose (loss) at 63-1 two starts back.
Santa Anita Park
Race: 7 (7:03 PM EST Post)
United- quietly looks to be sitting on a big race. With just six career starts, he is by far the most inexperienced horse in this race but his last two races were excellent. Although he only beat $40,000 optionals two starts back, he rallied nicely, late to run a mile in 1:33.2 but it was his last race that caught my attention. This time, against optional $62,500s, he passed six horses in the last quarter mile of that race while running that distance in a very good :23.1. Toss in the third start off the layoff angle, and a rider switch to Prat, and it appears this $300,000 son of the late, great Giant’s Causeway is your winner………………Marckie’s Water ran an off the charts 110 Brisnet number two starts back and even though “bouncing” in his last (95 Brisnet), he was still able to handle $80,000 optionals. Bottom line here is this five year old is in good form right now and four of his five career wins came on this very turf course……………….. Prime Attraction has speed, the rail, can handle the turf and drops in class off three straight Grade: 1 races. He could make some noise in this well matched field……………….Honorable Mentions: Ashleyluvssugar owned the West Coast grass division a few years back but has clearly lost a step or two ..or possibly three…as he is 0 for his last nine and 0 for 2018 and 2019……………Tizzarunner was 5-0-0-0 and made a whopping $13,000 in 2018 but did finish right behind Marckie’s Water in his 2019 debut. Was that a sign of bigger things to come?
Race: 8 (7:33PM EST Post)
Triple Bend Stakes
American Anthem carved out fast early fractions but was run down in deep stretch at Churchill Downs on Derby Day in his 2019 debut. However, now this Bob Baffert trainee returns to his favorite surface, cuts back to what is clearly his best distance (4 for 5 at 7 furlongs), has a race under his belt and “Big Money Mike” gets the leg up. I want to say “should make every pole a winning one in this spot” but I’m not sure what the race strategy will look like with big speed right next to him………………….If you draw a line through Nero’s effort in the Malibu Stakes (overmatched), you’ll see he sports a record of 6-3-3-0. Now take note of the three straight monster/bullet works in the month of May from this $950,000 son of Pioneerof The Nile and you should come up with a serious contender in this spot…………………… The Hardest Way ran a hole in the wind while winning by almost 7 lengths in his first start in 13 months last time out. The 49 days since that race and his subsequent works suggest there will be no bounce in this spot…figures bang up here ………………… Honorable Mentions: All Out Blitz has ability and likes this track (6-1-3-1 over it). …could be a menace………….If you are looking to play Cistron off his off the charts, 7-1 upset win in the Kona Gold Stakes last time out, proceed with caution. Yes, perhaps it was the surface change that helped him but a closer look shows he has been nothing special on the dirt in the past (7-2-0-1). This leads me to think that was a “freak” effort and is set up to bounce over the moon in this spot.
By: Gerard Apadula
Director of Equine Operations and Development
Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team
**** Owner Gary West has confirmed that Maximum Security, who was disqualified from first in the Kentucky Derby, will not be headed to New York for the Belmont Stakes.
West said the Haskell Invitational at Monmouth Park remains the next start for handsome bay.
West added that the $150,000 Pegasus Stakes going 1 1/16 miles at Monmouth June 16 could be used as a prep for the July 20 Haskell.
"We are not looking at the Belmont because (trainer Jason Servis) says Maximum Security needs more time to fully recover," West said last Sunday. "We care a lot about our horses, and therefore we let them tell us when they are ready to run. Our ultimate goal is to give Maximum Security the opportunity to be 3-year-old champion, and everything we do will be to that end”.
**** Tacitus, the gorgeous gray colt who rallied from 16th to finish fourth in the Derby but was moved up to third via disqualification, breezed in company with Grade 3 winner Multiplier last Monday.
Tacitus settled a length back off his stable-mate through a quarter-mile in :24 3/5 but moved up to even terms down the lane, with both grays officially clocked in :48.3 for the half-mile drill and out five furlongs in 1:01 2/5.
"It all went smoothly. It was his first breeze back and exactly what we wanted," said trainer Bill Mott. "It's what I expected. They look like a good team together."
"We were very happy with Tacitus' effort in the Derby. We always suspected he'd do well at a mile and a quarter," said Mott.
* While in the Mott’s barn, Country House was examined at Rood and Riddle Equine Hospital in Lexington, Ky., and returned to Churchill Downs last Wednesday. Mott said he will take his time with Country House before deciding on where the Derby winner will make his next start.
"He's just been walking under tack," Mott said. "I'll leave him there for a couple weeks. I want to make sure he's healthy before we move him and make sure everything is good as it should be."
**** Kentucky Oaks winner Serengeti Empress returned to the work tab last Friday recording a half-mile drill in :48 flat at Churchill Downs.
Trained by Tom Amoss, the daughter of Alternation clicked off splits of :12 2/5, :24 1/5, and :36 2/5 before galloping out to five furlongs in 1:00 4/5 and completing her work with six furlongs in 1:14.
"I thought she really looked super this morning," said Amoss, who reported Serengeti Empress could make her next start in the June 8
Acorn Stakes (G1) at Belmont Park. "We're still on target and letting her tell us what to do next."
I thought Gary and Mary were talking mad shit with their match-race garbage offer but I guess they were just posturing. Gary and Mary, Max and the trainer can all shut up now. They have their chance to prove their horse was the best on the 1st Saturday in May, but I guess media taunting is the best they can muster.
I want to learn more about important TB bloodlines, and what horses and their progeny did/do best on which tracks, distances, etc. Wondering if anyone has suggestions for particular resources to get started. Both books and websites would be awesome. I want to learn about modern bloodlines as well but I figure I should learn my history first.
Demling is at his best in the biggest horse races in the world. He has hit nine of the last 11 Derby-Oaks doubles at Churchill Downs. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both races all but twice in the last 11 years. He's also called nine of the last 15 Preakness winners. Demling also predicted the winners of the Haskell Invitational, Pennsylvania Derby, Lecomte Stakes, Arkansas Derby and Louisiana Derby, just to name a few.
He nailed the superfecta at this year's Pegasus World Cup for a $678 payout on a $1 bet. He also hit the superfecta at the Robert B. Lewis Stakes and picked the winner of the Risen Star Stakes in February. At Pimlico, he nailed the winner, exacta, trifecta, and superfecta in the prestigious Black Eyed Susan. Anyone who has followed him is up HUGE.