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The Center for International Policy hosts a roundtable event discussing the big picture on the Korean nuclear crisis, in the wake of the latest Trump-Kim summit and the agreement to restart working-level talks. 

Please RSVP here.

A Roundtable Discussion with:

Michael Fuchs Senior Fellow, Center for American Progress, Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs

Hyun Lee U.S. National Organizer, WomenCrossDMZ

Jae-jung Suh Professor of Politics and International Affairs, International Christian University, Tokyo, Japan, Former Associate Professor and Director of Korean Studies, John Hopkins University SAIS

Henri Féron (Moderator) Senior Fellow, Center for International Policy

Full Address: 
2000 M St NW, Washington, D.C.
Date / Time: 
Tuesday, July 16, 2019 -
14:00 to 15:30
External URL: 
https://forms.gle/y3QUWYfdB1zsT6aA9
Host: 
The Center for International Policy
City, State: 
Washington, D.C.
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Trump and Kim made history at the DMZ with their "surprise" meeting on June 30, 2019. Here is a selection of published analysis from NCNK members on the "Great Handshake." Authors listed alphabetically. To be updated.

In an article for Foreign Policy, Andray Abrahamian writes that getting past the impasse after the collapse of the Hanoi summit, "was going to require the Americans offering something symbolic, and the North Koreans offering something technical. Sunday, on the border between North and South Korea, the two sides may have done just that." Abrahamian acknowldeges that "problems are sure to continue, but Sunday was an important breakthrough and gives room for optimism. And perhaps it couldn’t have happened any other way." Read the Article 

For NK News, Abrahamian addresses the question about legitimacy and argues, "[T]he idea that a U.S. president will be legitimizing the 70-year rule of the Kim family is manifestly silly." He further argues that, "if each additional meeting adds marginal legitimacy to the idea of Kim as a statesman on the world stage, that needs to be balanced with the pursuit of goals that can only be achieved through dealing with Kim directly." Read the Article 

Victor Cha argues, in an op-ed for NBC News, that Trump does not deserve credit for de-escalating war with North Korea, but does deserve credit for using the DMZ meeting to reset relations and for showing persistence in diplomatic outreach with North Korea. Cha questions whether Trump's personal campaign to befriend Kim Jong Un is "enough to really change the tide of history on the Korean Peninsula" and whether an insecure dictator like Kim can trust anyone. Such dynamics, he suggests, "may make only for good theater." Read the Article

Amb. Joseph DeTrani argues inThe Wasington Times that prospects are better now for sucesssful negotiations because "both sides better understand what's necessary if we want progress with negotiations." DeTrani lays out priorities for the United States and North Korea -- many encapsulated in the Singapore Joint Statement. Read the Full Article

In the Council on Foreign Relations' Asia Unbound blog, Scott Snyder argues that the relationship with Kim Jong Un is important to Trump because it keeps people interested in the plotline, regardless of what it accomplishes. Ultimately, Snyder argues that the DMZ meeting helps Trump and Kim "kick-start the working level negotiations necessary to get a peace-and-denuclearization deal done." Read the Article

Writing for The New York Times opinion section, Joel Wit is hopeful that the recent summit has the "the potential to be something much more significant" given that there are signs that Trump and Kim both want a deal. He cautions, however, "real progress toward a deal will require them to empower representatives to work out the details — not during one meeting but in days, weeks or perhaps months of direct talks — and then present them to the two leaders for approval." UItimately he emphasizes that, "Reaching a deal will require difficult compromises by both sides. The Trump administration will have to accept a deal that falls short of North Korea giving up all of its weapons right away but that lays out a path to final denuclearization in phases." Read the Full Article

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The National Committee on North Korea is a non-governmental organization of persons with significant expertise in and diverse perspectives on the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea. Here is a selection of some work authored by NCNK members during June 2019: 

On the Anniversary of the June 2018 Singapore Summit 

Suzanne DiMaggio writes that "leader-to-leader engagement was a bold movement" to transform the US-DPRK relationship, but the lack of regular working-level talks proved the limits of personal diplomacy. Moving forward she proposes a two-step process of reaching an agreement on end goals and to develop a phased road map towards that end. (June 13, 2019) Read the Full Article 

Leon Sigal analyzes Kim Jong Un's April 12 address to the Supreme People's Assmebly, and suggests in order to get back to talks, both parties need to recognize the overreach in Hanoi and return the principles of the Singapore Summit. (June 13, 2019) Read the Full Article 

Writing for Kyodo News' Opinion section, Frank Jannuzi reflects on why the Singapore Summit has produced only a "meager harvest," arguging that the breakdown of the Summit can be attributed to three miscalculations related to the coercive power of sanctions, allure of foreign direct investment, and the US domestic political situation. In conclusion, Jannuzi argues that, "Another substance-free summit is not in the interests of Washington or its allies, and would only further bolster Kim's legitimacy on the global stage." (June 10, 2019) Read the Full Article

Deal or No Deal?

In an article for The Atlantic, Duyeon Kim argues, "Trump and Kim have, for better or worse, embarked on relationship summitry. This means their interactions or negotiations cannot simply be transactional—the process entails the good, the bad, and the ugly of any relationship." And as with any relationship, she suggests, the extra effort to address bad feelings will go a long way. (June 24, 2019) Read the Full Article

In a Q&A format article, Jean Lee addresses multiple questions for the World Economic Forum related the possibility of the United States and North Korea to strike a nuclear deal and on the relevance of the Xi Jinping visit to North Korea. (June 24, 2019) Read the Full Article

Northeast Asia 

Jim Schoff recently published a report coauthored with Taisuke Mibae for the Atlantic Council that looks at how the US-North Korea and inter-Korea negotiations over denuclearization and building a peace regime on the Korean Peninsula might impact the future posture of US forces in Northeast Asia. (June 25, 2019) Read the Full Report

In an opinion article for The New York Times, John Delury argues that the recent and notable first visit by Xi Jinping to North Korea was not to broker a deal with Kim Jong Un or gain bargaining power in the US-China trade dispute, but rather to lure North Korea back into China's fold. Delury argues pundits are mistaking Xi's weakness for strength and that in actuality, China is losing its grip over North Korea. (June 23, 2019) Read the Full Article

Opportunities for Engagement

Writing for 38 North, Kee Park provides a preview of a forthcoming report co-authored with Ramon Pacheco Pardo on "Injuries in North Korea: Addressing a Looming Crisis." The report analyzes North Korea's current and expected injury burden and proposes a road map by which the international community and North Korea could scale up its injury care capacity. Ultimately they argue, "Multilateral cooperation on health could contribute to regional stability, build confidence and facilitate the integration of North Korea into the international community."  (June 19, 2019) - Read the Full Article

Reading the Tea Leaves

Long time North Korea analyst Robert Carlin provides insightful commentary on North Korean signals in two articles for 38 North. In a June 10 article, Carlin parses North Korean editorials and finds that there are complicated internal discussions and debate. He notes a particular shift in May commentary that seems to suggest post-Hanoi policy reevaluation has ended and new phase of discussion is developing. In June 20 article, Carlin continues to follow the debate and suggests that things are "heated up" between "orthodox forces" who want to go on the offensive and "loyalist forces" who favor reform and diplomacy. 

 
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USIP hosts a discussion that will examine the scope and purposes of the North Korea sanctions regime, consider the constraints and opportunities for providing partial and complete sanctions relief, and provide a comparative look at other such regimes. 

Register herehttps://www.usip.org/events/north-korea-sanctions-regime-year-after-singapore

Speakers

Stephanie Kleine-Ahlbrandt Member, U.N. Panel of Experts (Resolution 1874)

Elizabeth Rosenberg Senior Fellow, Center for a New American Security

Joshua Stanton Blogger, One Free Korea

Daniel Wertz Program Manager, National Committee on North Korea

Frank Aum, (moderator) Senior Expert, U.S. Institute of Peace 

Full Address: 
2301 Constitution Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20037
Date / Time: 
Monday, July 8, 2019 -
10:00 to 11:30
External URL: 
https://www.usip.org/events/north-korea-sanctions-regime-year-after-singapore
Host: 
United States Institute of Peace
City, State: 
Washington, D.C.
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To mark this ten-year anniversary of the creation of the Korea Chair, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, will host a special celebration event on the evening of June 24. You are also invited to attend our annual ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2019 earlier in the day from 11:00 AM to 5:00 PM.

Register herehttps://www.csis.org/events/rok-us-strategic-forum-2019

Agenda

5:00 – 5:30 PM  RECEPTION

Open Bar and Hors D'oeuvres

 
5:30 – 5:40 PM  10 YEAR ANNIVERSARY CELEBRATION

Ambassador Richard Armitage, President, Armitage International; Trustee, CSIS

Award Presentation byAmbassador Lee Sihyung, President, Korea Foundation

 
5:40 – 6:30 PM  FEATURED PANEL DISCUSSION: Prospects for the Alliance and Nuclear Diplomacy
Moderator:

Ambassador Mark Lippert, Senior Advisor, CSIS Korea Chair; Vice President, Boeing International; Former U.S. Ambassador to the Republic of Korea

Panelists:

Mr. Max Boot, Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow for National Security Studies, Council on Foreign Relations

Gen. Vincent Brooks (ret.), Former Commander, UNC/CFC/USFK

Dr. Victor Cha, Senior Adviser and Korea Chair, CSIS; D.S. Song-KF Professor of Government, Georgetown University; Former National Security Council

Ambassador Kathleen Stephens, President & CEO, Korea Economic Institute of America; Former U.S. Ambassador to the Republic of Korea

 
6:30 PM  ADJOURNMENT 

Full Address: 
1616 Rhode Island Avenue 2nd Floor, NW Washington, DC 20036
Date / Time: 
Monday, June 24, 2019 -
17:00 to 18:30
External URL: 
https://www.csis.org/events/rok-us-strategic-forum-2019
Host: 
Center for Strategic & International Studies
City, State: 
Washington, D.C.
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The Atlantic Council will host a full day conference which will explore the current state of the United States and Republic of Korea's ongoing negotiations with North Korea and the broader strategic picture developing in the Indo-Pacific.

Register herehttps://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/registration/a080H00002jKkDSQA0

9:30 AM - 9:50 AM  WELCOME REMARKS

Mr. Barry Pavel

Senior Vice President, Arnold Kanter Chair, and Director,

Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council

Minister Sung-hwan Kim

Former Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Republic of Korea;

Board Member, East Asia Foundation

9:50 AM - 10:50 AM  KEYNOTE REMARKS

The Hon. Stephen Biegun

US Special Representative for North Korea,

US Department of State

H.E. Do-hoon Lee

ROK Special Representative for Korean Peninsula,

Peace and Security Affairs

ROK Ministry of Foreign Affairs

11:00 AM - 12:30 PM  PANEL DISCUSSION: SEEKING A POST-HANOI BREAKTHROUGH ON THE KOREAN PENINSULA 

Dr. Toby Dalton

Co-Director, Nuclear Policy Program,

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

H.E. Jong-dae Kim

Member, 20th National Assembly;

Head of the Foreign Affairs and Security Division;

Member of the National Assembly's National Defense Committee;

Head of the Foreign Affairs and Security Division; Member, Justice Party

H.E. Jae-jung Lee

Member, 20th National Assembly;

Spokesperson, Democratic Party of Korea

Amb. Joseph Yun

Former US Special Representative for North Korea Policy, US Department of State; 

Senior Adviser, Asia Program, United States Institute of Peace

Mr. Barry Pavel (Moderator)

Senior Vice President, Arnold Kanter Chair, and Director,

Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council

1:00 PM - 1:45 PM  LUNCH CONVERSATION

Amb. Paula J. Dobriansky

Former US Under Secretary of State;

Senior Fellow, The Future of Diplomacy Project,

JFK Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University

Dr. Chung-in Moon

Special Adviser to the President for Unification,

Foreign, and National Security Affairs

Republic of Korea

2:00PM - 3:30PM  PANEL DISCUSSION: CHARTING KOREA'S ROLE IN US-CHINA STRATEGIC COMPETITION IN THE INDO-PACIFIC

The Hon. Ami Bera

US House of Representatives (D-CA); Chair, Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, House Foreign Affairs Committee; Co-Chair, Congressional Caucus on Korea

H.E. Ihk-pyo Hong

Member, 20th National Assembly; Vice Chairman of the National Assembly's Public Administration and Security Committee; Chief Spokesman, Democratic Party of Korea

Prof. Jaeho Hwang

Director of Global Security Cooperation Center

Hankuk University of Foreign Studies

H.E. Sun-suk Park

Member, 20th National Assembly; Member, National Assembly's Science, ICT, Future Planning, and Communications Committee,

Member, Bareunmirae Party

The Hon. Ted S. Yoho DVM

US House of Representatives (R-FL), Lead Republican, Subcommittee on Asia, The Pacific, and Nonproliferation; Member, Subcommittee on Western Hemisphere, Civilian Security, and Trade, House Foreign Affairs Committee 

Dr. Miyeon Oh (Moderator)

 Director and Senior Fellow, Asia Security Initiative,

Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council

3:30 PM - 3:45 PM  CLOSING REMARKS

Mr. Barry Pavel

Senior Vice President, Arnold Kanter Chair, and Director,

Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council

Breakfast and lunch will be provided.

This invitation is open to the public. The event is open to the press and on the record.

Full Address: 
1030 15th St NW, 12th Floor
Date / Time: 
Wednesday, June 19, 2019 -
09:30 to 15:45
External URL: 
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/events/upcoming-events/detail/2019-atlantic-council-east-asia-foundation-strategic-dialogue
Host: 
Atlantic Council
City, State: 
Washington, DC 20005
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KEI and KIEP will host a full day conference on the Korean Peninsula and U.S.-ROK Alliance, featuring sessions on North Korea, U.S.-ROK Alliance, and DMZ and Public Health projects.

Register herehttps://share.hsforms.com/1aJV_1JO9T--_ivVrOit_nw2ztzy

Schedule

10:00 AM Opening Remarks

Kathleen Stephens, President & CEO, KEI

10:05 AM - 12:00 PM, Session I. North Korea: Collapse Theory, Mistrust, and Creditworthiness

Troy Stangarone (Moderator), Senior Director of Congressional Affairs and Trade, KEI

Papers

Myung-koo Kang (Professor, Baruch College, CUNY)
“Revisiting the Collapse Thesis of North Korea: The Origins and Its Evolution in the U.S. Policymaking Community”

Discussant: Victor Cha (Senior Advisor and Korea Chair, CSIS)

Rorry Daniels (Deputy Project Director of the Forum on Asia-Pacific Security, National Committee on American Foreign Policy)
“Addressing Strategic Mistrust Toward North Korea in the United States Policy Community”

Discussant: Mark Fitzpatrick (Associate Fellow and Former Executive Director, IISS–Americas)

Thomas Byrne (President, The Korea Society) and Jonathan Corrado (Associate Policy Director, The Korea Society
“Making North Korea Creditworthy: What will it take for North Korea to finance its post-nuclear development?”

Discussant: William Newcomb (Fellow, Center for Advanced Defense Studies; Chair, North Korea Economic Forum)

12:00 PM - 1:00 PM Lunch

1:00 PM - 2:45 PM Session II.  U.S.-ROK Alliance and Inter-Korean Relations

Yonho Kim (Moderator), Nonresident Fellow, KEI

Paper

Jooeun Kim (Research Fellow, Georgetown University)
“Credibility in the U.S.-ROK Alliance”

Discussant: Scott Snyder (Senior Fellow for Korea Studies and Director of the Program on U.S.-Korea Policy, Council on Foreign Relations)

Gregg Brazinsky (Professor, George Washington University) and Joongho Kim (Visiting Scholar, George Washington University)
“Global Connectivity of Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation”

Discussant: William Brown (Non-resident Fellow, Korea Economic Institute of America; Principal, Northeast Asia Economics and Intelligence Advisory, LLC)

2:45 PM - 3:00 PM Coffee Break

3:00 PM - 4:40 PM Session III. Practical Projects: DMZ and Public Health

Kyle Ferrier (Moderator), Director of Academic Affairs and Research, KEI

Paper

Young Hoon Kim (Professor, University of North Texas)
“A case of city development: Incubating Village for DMZ (Demilitarized Zone: Dream and Miracle Zone)”

Discussant: Seung-ho Lee (President, DMZ Forum)

Paper

Kee Park (Lecturer on Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School) and Ramon Pacheco Pardo(KF-VUB Korea Chair, Institute for European Studies, Vrije Universiteit Brussel)
“Injuries in the DPRK: The Looming Epidemic”

Discussant: David Hong (Assistant Professor, Stanford University Medical Center)

Full Address: 
1800 K Street NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20006
Date / Time: 
Wednesday, June 19, 2019 -
10:00 to 16:45
External URL: 
http://keia.org/event/korean-peninsula-and-us-rok-alliance-credibility-connectivity-and-practicality
Host: 
The Korea Economic Institute of America, The Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
City, State: 
Washington, DC
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While North Korea has developed Special Economic Zones (SEZs) for several decades, most have attracted limited attention from foreign investors for a variety of reasons. The more successful of these areas have drawn interest from Chinese and South Korean partners, but interactions with each country follow very different models. Whereas Chinese economic cooperation in North Korean SEZs is led by small-scale trade, South Korean engagement has entailed large investments. Should a denuclearization process start, however, Seoul’s emphasis on these zones for renewed engagement with Pyongyang will likely prompt Beijing to be more committed to growing its presence in North Korean SEZs.

KEI will host a presentation by Dr. Théo Clément on the evolution of North Korean SEZs, the potential for competition between China and South Korea in developing these areas after sanctions are lifted, and why cooperation would be necessary for both to achieve their goals in North Korea.

Register herehttps://share.hsforms.com/1dxJ5VNtuRMCPcRo7wrvTHQ2ztzy

Speakers

Théo Clément, Research Associate, Project Alpha, King's College London

Kyle Ferrier (Moderator), Director of Academic Affairs and Research, KEI

Full Address: 
1800 K Street, NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20006
Date / Time: 
Tuesday, June 11, 2019 -
12:00 to 13:30
External URL: 
http://www.keia.org/event/competition-or-cooperation-china-and-south-korea-north-korea%E2%80%99s-special-economic-zones
Host: 
Korea Economic Institute (KEI)
City, State: 
Washington, DC 20006
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Negotiations between Washington and Pyongyang over North Korea’s nuclear weapons program are at an impasse, and tensions are rising. And while neither side appears to want a war, the path to a diplomatic solution remains unclear. What is obvious, however, is that most U.S. policymakers have little understanding of what the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) is or how it operates, a fact that limits America’s ability to peacefully resolve the crisis.

Heidi Linton, Randall Spadoni, and Daniel Jasper, by contrast, have firsthand knowledge of the DPRK. Their organizations maintain long-term aid programs in North Korea, and all three have spent time there as part of humanitarian missions, including trips to parts of the country closed to most visitors.

Register herehttps://register.cato.org/peering-beyond-the-dmz/begin?reg_type_id=62669

Speakers

Heidi Linton, Executive Director, Christian Friends of Korea

Randall Spadoni, North Korea Program Director and Senior Regional Advisor for East Asia, World Vision

Daniel Jasper, Public Education and Advocacy Coordinator for Asia, American Friends Service Committee;

Doug Bandow (moderator), Senior Fellow, Cato Institute

Full Address: 
1000 Massachusetts Ave NW, Hayek Auditorium, Washington, DC 20001
Date / Time: 
Tuesday, June 11, 2019 -
12:00 to 13:30
External URL: 
https://www.cato.org/events/peering-beyond-the-dmz
Host: 
Cato Institute
City, State: 
Washington, DC
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The Global America Business Institute (GABI) will host Dr. Sang-Hyun Lee of the Sejong Insitute for a discussion on current developments and trends in nuclear policy and politics on the Korean Peninsula. 

Register here: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfyovImSEdbhBlCrzn_aYBvw3u90EmHAn15EsNeN2up7zCbYg/viewform

Speaker

Dr. Sang-Hyun Lee, President, Korea Nuclear Policy Society; Senior Research Fellow, Sejong Institute

Full Address: 
1001 Connecticut Avenue NW, Suite 230, Washington, DC 20036
Date / Time: 
Wednesday, May 29, 2019 -
12:00 to 13:00
External URL: 
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfyovImSEdbhBlCrzn_aYBvw3u90EmHAn15EsNeN2up7zCbYg/viewform
Host: 
Global America Business Institute (GABI)
City, State: 
Washington, DC
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