The first priority of the teams promoted to the Premier League from the Championship at the end of the 2018/19 English Football Season will be to avoid relegation. Sheffield United and Norwich City are odds-on with many bookmakers to playing Championship football again in the 2020/21 season. Despite only being promoted through the play-offs, Aston Villa are only the fifth favourites to face the dreaded drop with many bookmakers, with Burnley and Brighton shorter in many lists.
Check our trends, analysis, and tips for Premier League relation 2019/20.
Where The Promoted Teams Finished The Following Season
Below are how the 30 teams promoted from the Championship in the last 10-years have fared in their first season back in the Premier League, with their finishing position in brackets. The teams are in the order they were promoted, first, second, and via the play-offs.
West Brom (11th)
Below are the other teams that have been relegated in each of the last 10 Premier League seasons and their finishing position in the previous Premier League season.
West Ham (17th)
Aston Villa (17th)
West Brom (10th)
2019/20 Premier League Relegation Analysis
In all of the last 10 seasons, at least one of the teams promoted from the Championship the previous season has managed to survive relegation. Indeed, only in three of those seasons have two of the promoted teams been relegated after just one season. One of the three promoted sides have been relegated in five seasons, whilst all three promoted teams have survived twice in the last decade. That means only 11 of the last 30 promoted teams have been relegated after just one season, six of which had won the play-offs, two were the Championship winners, whilst three had finished second in the Championship the previous season.
Of the other 19 teams to be relegated, just two of them had finished in the top-half of the Premier League table the previous season, and they finished ninth and 10th. Three teams also finished 11th, 12th or 13th. That means that 14 of the last 30 relegated teams finished between 14th and 17th in the Premier League the previous season.
Premier League 2019/20 Relegation Candidates
Sheffield United 8/11
Sheffield United are the favourites to be relegated with most bookmakers and that could be because they’re returning to the top flight for the first time since 2007. However, despite a lack of Premier League experience as a player, manager Chris Wilder has taken his team from League One to the Premier League in just three seasons. Whether he has what it takes to keep them at the highest level remains to be seen, but 8/11 to be relegated isn’t a value price, with only three teams that were promoted in second place relegated the following season.
Whether last year’s Delia Smith-owned Championship winners will have the right ingredients to stay up remains to be seen, and the big question is whether manager Daniel Farke’s pacey possession football style cuts it against the big teams. Whether it does or doesn’t, their matches should be fun to watch, and odds of around even-money aren’t that big considering only two of the last 10 Championship winners have been relegated the following season.
As six of the last 10 teams to get promoted to the Premier League via the play-offs have been relegated, prices of around 2/1 for Villa to go down seem more than generous. Of course, Villa have a decent past history in the Premier League, whilst owner Tony Xia has spent over £100 Million in the transfer market over the summer. Only time will tell whether that’s money well spent, but it suggests that Villa are willing to do everything in their power to stay up.
Brighton owner Tony Bloom is a professional gambler, and he seems to have taken a real chance on his club’s future by appointing Graham Potter to steer his club to safety this season. Potter was managing Swansea last season and he’ll need to make the Amex Stadium a fortress again if Brighton are to avoid relegation after finishing 16th last season. Brighton need to score more goals, and failure to find a top-notch striker could be a fatal mistake. Plenty of bookmakers are offering 2/1 about Brighton being relegated and, with 14 of the last 30 relegated teams finishing between 14th and 17th the previous season, that looks a value bet.
Burnley are also around 2/1 after finishing 15th last season, but it’s worth remembering that The Clarets made a terrible start in the league after playing some early matches in Europe. Manager Sean Dyche has what it takes to steer Burnley more towards mid-table security rather than the relegation zone.
The Saints looked in real danger in December 2018 but the decision to put Ralph Hasenhuttl in charge paid dividends as he steered them to 16th place in the Premier League. The Austrian looks capable of building on that performance in his first full year in charge at St Marys.
Premier League 2019-20 Relegation Summary
There may be three relegation places to fill, but Brighton look the only real value pre-season relegation bet.
Free Tip For Premier League Relegation 2019-20
Brighton @ 3.00 SportPesa, Ladbrokes, William Hill, Paddy Power
The battle to be the 2019/20 Premier League Top Goalscorer is one of the most popular betting markets in English football. It offers punters a chance to place bets that give them a full season of excitement and entertainment. It’s also a bet that comes with a variety of twists and turns, such as injuries, loss of form, and the occasional hat-trick to shake up the in-play market.
Check out stats, analysis, and free tips for the Premier League Top Goalscorer 2019/20.
Last 10-Years Premier League Top Goalscorer Results
Didier Drogba 29 (Chelsea)
Wayne Rooney 26 (Man United)
Darren Bent 24 (Sunderland)
Carlos Tevez 23 (Man City)
Dimitar Berbatov (Man United) & Carloz Tevez (Man City) 20
Robin Van Persie 18 (Arsenal)
Darren Bent 17 (Sunderland)
Robin Van Persie 30 (Arsenal)
Wayne Rooney 27 (Man United)
Sergio Aguero 23 (Man City)
Clint Dempsey (Fulham), Emmanuel Adebayor (Tottenham), and Yakubu (Blackburn) 17
Robin Van Persie 26 (Man United)
Luis Suarez 23 (Liverpool)
Gareth Bale 21 (Tottenham)
Christian Benteke 19 (Aston Villa)
Luis Suarez 31 (Liverpool)
Daniel Sturridge 21 (Liverpool)
Yaya Toure 20 (Man City)
Wayne Rooney (Man United), Wilfried Bony (Swansea) Sergio Aguero (Man City) 17
Sergio Aguero 26 (Man City)
Harry Kane 21 (Tottenham)
Diego Costa 20 (Chelsea)
Charlie Austin 18 (Queens Park Rangers)
Harry Kane 25 (Tottenham)
Sergio Aguero 24 (Man City)
Jamie Vardy 24 (Leicester)
Romelu Lukaku 18 (Everton)
Harry Kane 29 (Tottenham)
Romelu Lukaku 25 (Everton)
Alexis Sanchez 24 (Arsenal)
Diego Costa 20 (Chelsea)
Mo Salah 32 (Liverpool)
Harry Kane 30 (Tottenham)
Sergio Aguero 21 (Man City)
Jamie Vardy 20 (Leicester)
Mo Salah (Liverpool), Sadio Mane (Liverpool) & Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal) 22
Sergio Aguero 21 (Man City)
2019 Premier League Top Goalscorer Contenders
Some bookies are as low as 7/2 about Harry Kane adding the 2019 Premier League Top Goalscorer award to his wins in the 2015/16 and 2016/17 seasons, but the Tottenham striker looks more than a fair each-way price if you can get on at the 5/1 that was available with William Hill at the time of writing. Kane burst on to the scene in 2014/15 with 21 goals to finish second behind Sergio Aguero and, being top scorer for both the next two seasons, he again finished second behind Mo Salah in 2017/18. He only finished joint sixth last season with 17 goals but missed far too many games with injuries. The negatives are he could get injured again, whilst he also has a tendency to be a slow starter. That means it could be worth seeing if his price drifts after a few games.
The Egyptian has delighted Premier League fans in his two seasons at Liverpool and, though his tally of 22 last season was 10 goals short of what he scored the season before, he still finished in a tie for first place. If he stays injury-free, it’s hard to see him not landing at least some each-way money, and Liverpool should continue on an upward curve this season. If Liverpool can sign a quality midfielder who can see a pass, Salah may well get 30+ goals again.
The Argentinean has been a model of consistency since arriving in England and he’s scored 20 or more goals in six of his eight seasons at Man City. Despite landing at least a bit of each-way money in seven of those seasons, he’s only been the Premier League’s top goalscorer once. The other negative this year is the emergence of Gabriel Jesus may mean the 31-year-old plays slightly fewer games than in the past.
The Gabonese International showed his potential for being a Premier League top goalscorer tip at the end of the 2017/18 season and came good with 22 goals last season to tie for first place. The problem with taking a best-priced 9/1 about him repeating or bettering that effort this season is the transfer market has been rife with rumours about him moving. The gut-feeling is he’ll stay but, as his price probably won’t be much shorter if that’s confirmed, it might be better holding your bets until he is.
The Senegalese captain has become an improved goalscorer since moving from Southampton to Liverpool and two goals in last season’s final game saw him land a share of the Premier League top goalscorer award at odds of 80/1. However, the best price you’ll get this year is 14/1 and, for me, his fellow Liverpool striker Mo Salah is more likely to outscore him this season.
The Man City and England striker keeps on improving under the tutelage of Pep Guardiola and 18 and 17 goals in the last two Premier League seasons has seen him finish fifth and sixth in the top goalscorer charts. He doesn’t need to improve much to hit the places, but I can’t see him scoring the 25+ goals that have been needed to be top goalscorer in eight of the last 10 seasons.
Vardy may not play for one of the top-six clubs, but he boasts third, fourth, and fifth-place finishes in the Premier League Top Goalscorer charts in the last five seasons with totals of 24, 20, and 18 goals. The case for him this year is the way he finished last season after the arrival of manager Brendan Rogers, scoring nine goals in the last 10 games of the season. That sort of form makes him look a cracking each-way bet at 20/1, with Leicester having bought wisely over the summer.
Premier League Top Goalscorer 2019 Tips
Players from top-six sides have dominated the top goalscorer charts, and Mo Salah looks a strong choice with even bigger things expected from Liverpool this season. Jamie Vardy also looks a value option, with Leicester expected to go well.
Free Tip For Top Goalscorer Premier League 2019-20
Mo Salah @ 6.00 (Each-Way 4 places) Bet365, SkyBet, Ladbrokes, Hills, Betfair Sportsbook
Free Tip For Top Goalscorer Premier League 2019-20
The 2019 Copa America will draw to a conclusion on Sunday night when host nation Brazil take on Peru, who they’ve already beaten 5-0 in the group stages of this year’s tournament. Brazil are long odds-on to claim a sixth Copa America title and it will be a big upset if they’re not crowned champions.
Before the tournament reaches its climax, there is also the small matter of the third-place play-off game between Argentina and Chile, two teams who were much shorter than Peru to reach the final.
Ironically, Chile and Argentina are the two teams who have also contested the last two Cop America finals.
Check out our stats, analysis, and free tips for Brazil vs Peru and Argentina vs Chile for Copa America 2019.
Argentina vs Chile
Argentina haven’t impressed at Copa America 2019, losing their opening game against Colombia before a second-half Messi penalty saved their blushes in a 1-1 draw with Paraguay. Luckily, a 2-0 win against Qatar was enough to see them advance to the knockout stages where they beat Venezuela 2-0 thanks to goals by Martinez and Lo Celso. But their failure to top Group B meant they faced Brazil in the semi-finals, a match which Brazil won 2-0.
Chile started in the opposite fashion to Argentina, beating their opening two opponents Japan 4-0 and Ecuador 2-1 before losing 1-0 to Uruguay to finish second in Group C. That set up a spicy quart-final with Colombia, which ended 0-0 before Chile won the penalty shootout 5-4. Chile were then a strong fancy to advance to the final against Peru, but found themselves on the end of a 3-0 beating, which had also been the result when the two teams met in a friendly in 2018.
Argentina and Chile met five times between 2015 and 2017, with the first of those being the 2015 Copa America Final, which Chile won in a penalty shootout after the match ended 0-0. They met in the group stages of the 2016 Copa America, which Argentina won 2-1. But they also clashed in the final, which Chile again won in a penalty shootout after the match ended 0-0. The two teams also met in World Cup qualifying for Russia 2018, with Argentina winning 2-1 in Chile and 1-0 in Argentina.
It’s difficult to know how seriously the two teams will take this match, but it’s a surprise to see several bookmakers offering evens about there being less than 2.5 goals, and one was offering 11/10 at the time of writing.
Three of their last five head-to-heads have produced less than 2.5 goals, whilst all five of Argentina’s games have all produced less than 2.5 goals in this tournament – and it’s worth reiterating that the last two Copa America Finals between them have ended 0-0.
Free Tip For Argentina vs Chile
Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 Marathon Bet
Brazil vs Peru
For the second consecutive Copa America, two teams that were drawn in the same group have gone on to contest the final. But whilst Chile overturned the form of their group game defeat by Argentina in 2016, it will be a big shock if Brazil don’t win this game in normal time.
Brazil have been a bit hit and miss. As well as beating Peru 5-0, they won their opening group game 3-0 against Bolivia, and beat Argentina 2-0 in the semi-final. In between those games, they’ve drawn 0-0 with Venezuela and needed to win a penalty shootout against Paraguay in the quarter-finals after that match also ended 0-0.
But Peru’s natural tactics aren’t to try and frustrate the better teams and, in Brazil, they face a team that scores freely, and has also managed not to concede any goals so far in the tournament. Hopefully, Brazil can keep that run going and win the final to nil within 90-minutes at around 4/5.
The 2019 Copa America has reached the semi-final stage and Brazil take on Argentina in the first semi-final in the early hours of Wednesday morning. The two teams were expected to play each other in the final by many, but Argentina’s failure to win Group B sees them pitched against the home nation a game earlier.
The second semi-final takes place on Thursday between Chile and Peru, and Chile are odds-on to make it to their third consecutive Copa America Final after beating Colombia. Peru also booked their semi-final spot by winning a penalty shootout against third-favourites Uruguay.
Brazil vs Argentina
Two of the most thrilling football sides on the planet may be contesting the first semi-final of Copa America 2019 but goals haven’t been at a premium so far in the competition. Both teams scored just seven times in 18 group games, whilst three of the quarter-finals ended 0-0 at full-time, whilst Argentina drew 0-0.
The two most recent friendlies between two sides were also tight affairs, with both teams winning one game 1-0. It was slightly different when the two teams met in World Cup Qualifying, with Brazil winning their home game 3-0, whilst the match in Argentina ended 1-1. But since then, both teams have promoted a more defence minded strategy.
Brazil have yet to concede a goal in their four matches and, whilst they beat Bolivia 0-0 and Peru 5-0, they failed to score against Venezuela and Paraguay.
Argentina made an inauspicious start to the tournament with a defeat to Colombia and a draw against Paraguay but have won their last two games against Qatar and Venezuela 2-0. Those results against Paraguay and Venezuela suggest that there’s unlikely to be much between Argentina and Brazil, so it’s a bit of a surprise that Argentina are as big as 4/1 to win in 90-minutes.
Due to the current lack of goals, bets on their less than 2.5 goals are sure to prove popular. But if that’s the case, that adds more weight to backing Argentina, who look just as likely to win the game 1-0 as Brazil are. But as this match could easily be drawn, it’s even more of a surprise that 11/2 is available about there being a penalty shootout, which looks a big price considering three quarter-finals were decided that way.
Free Tip For Brazil vs Argentina
Penalty Shootout @ 6.50 Sporting Bet or 6.00 Bet365, William Hill
Chile vs Peru
It’s no surprise to see Chile have been installed as the favourites for this match considering they’re on a hat-trick of Copa America titles, but they did lose their last friendly against Peru 3-0. However, Chile did beat Peru twice in World Cup Qualifying, winning 2-1 at home and 4-3 in Peru. Chile also won the last time the two sides met in the Copa America in 2015, when the winners Chile knocked out Peru 2-0 in the semi-finals.
As both teams were drawing 0-0 at full-time in their quarter-finals this year, it’s possible that this could end up as another dreary defensive match. However, three of the last four matches they’ve contested have produced more than 2.5 goals. That’s also been the case in 50% of both teams’ matches so far in this competition, so odds of 7/4 about more than 2.5 goals looks a value bet.
The 2019 Copa America has reached the knockout stages and the eight quarter-finalists will go head to head on Friday 28 and Saturday 29 June in Brazil.
The host nation plays Paraguay in the early hours of Friday morning, with Argentina taking on Venezuela on Friday evening. The best-looking match of the quarter-finals between Colombia and Chile takes place in the early hours of Saturday morning, and Uruguay take on Peru in the last quarter-final on Saturday evening.
Brazil vs Paraguay (Fri 28th @ 01:30bst)
Brazil topped Group A with the minimum of fuss. Venezuela may have held them to a 0-0 draw, but Brazil raised their game to a higher-level to beat Peru in their third group match to clinch top spot and guarantee they played one of the best third-placed qualifiers.
That team is Paraguay, who qualified in third place in Group B. However, draws with Argentina and Qatar showed they were no pushovers, whilst even Colombia only beat them 1-0. They’ve also drawn two of their last three games against Brazil.
But the most important pointer could be the last match between the two sides, which saw Brazil win 3-0 in Brazil in World Cup Qualifying. Brazil have kept three clean sheets so far in the competition and a win to nil at odds of around 4/6 looks a fair bet.
Free Tip For Brazil vs Paraguay
Brazil To Win To Nil @ 1.66 BetVictor
Venezuela vs Argentina (Fri 28th @ 20:00bst)
It’s hard to know what to make of Argentina, who did enough to qualify in second place in Group B with a win over Qatar, after losing to Colombia and drawing with Paraguay in their opening two games. They have a depth of world-class players, but they’ve drawn two and lost one of their last three games against Venezuela.
It’s possible that Messi could carry Argentina into the semi-finals, but they certainly don’t look a value bet at around 3/5 against a Venezuelan team that are unbeaten so far in Copa America 2019, with two draws and a win over Bolivia. That makes the draw looks the obvious value at around 3/1.
Free Tip For Venezuela vs Argentina
Draw @ 4.00 Betfair Sportsbook, BlackType
Colombia vs Chile (Sat 29th @ 00:00bst)
Colombia were the only team to win all three games in the group stages of Copa America 2019 and they did it without conceding a goal.
Reigning Copa America Champions Chile also started in fine style with a 4-0 win over Japan, but a 2-1 win over Ecuador and a 1-0 defeat by Uruguay showed that they’re probably not as good a team as they were in 2016.
Chile’s failure to find the net against Uruguay, when a win would have guaranteed them an easier semi-final, suggests that this could be a low-scoring game. There have also been two goals or less in the last three Chile vs Colombia head to heads, which produced two draws and a 2-0 win for Chile.
Those results also suggest that this could go either way, so a bet on there being less than 2.5 goals may be the answer.
Free Tip For Colombia vs Chile
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 Marathon Bet
Uruguay vs Peru (Sat 29th @ 20:00bst)
Both teams had four points after two group games but, whilst Peru were mauled 5-0 by Brazil in their final game, Uruguay outbattled Chile to top Group C.
However, both teams won their home games in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, with Uruguay winning 1-0 and Peru 2-1.
But it’s Uruguay who look to have a great combination of young talent and a variety of experienced players to bring them on. They also have a much greater depth of experience when it comes to the knockout stages of major tournaments and they are expected to just get the better of Peru over 90-minutes.
The first two positions in Groups A & B in the 2019 Copa America have been decided, but the final two games in Group C late on Monday night/Tuesday morning will decide a variety of possible outcomes.
The match between Ecuador and Japan will determine whether one of those two teams or Paraguay from Group B will progress to the quarter-finals as one of the two best third-placed teams. Meanwhile, anything but a defeat for Chile in their match with Uruguay would mean they play Peru in the quarter-finals, rather than Brazil.
Check out our stats, analysis, and free tips for the games:
Chile vs Uruguay
Chile and Uruguay have played each other in two of the last three editions of the Copa America. The first of those was in 2011 in Argentina when they played each other in their opening group game, with the match ending 1-1. Chile qualified top of the group but were beaten by Venezuela in the quarter-finals, whilst Uruguay went on to win the tournament.
Chile were the host nations when they met again in Copa America 2015, and Chile again topped their group, whilst Uruguay qualified for the quarter-finals in third place in their group. This time, it was Chile who won on their way to winning the tournament.
Chile were again the tournament winners in 2016, where Uruguay failed to even make the knockout stages. The two teams also met in World Cup qualifying in 2015 and 2016, with Uruguay winning their home leg 3-0, whilst Chile won their home match 3-1.
Their group matches so far in Copa America 2019 have also been a contrast, with Chile beating Japan 4-0, whilst Uruguay could only draw with Japan 2-2. However, Uruguay beat Ecuador 4-0, whilst Chile only overcame the same side 2-1.
The bookies have Uruguay as favourites, and FIFA’s eighth-best team in the world rankings probably deserve to be as they sit eight places higher than Chile. However, it’s hard to see Chile surrendering their top-spot in Group C without a serious fight, especially as they’re on a hat-trick of Copa America titles.
Considering that all four matches in Group C so far have produced at least three goals, and the last two matches between the two sides have produced three and four goals, it’s surprising to see the bookies offering even-money or better about more than 2.5 goals. The winners avoid a match with Brazil in the quarter-finals and that should be enough motivation for both teams to give it their all.
Free Tip For Chile v Uruguay
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 Bet365, Marathon
Ecuador vs Japan
Ecuador and Japan both looked to have blown their chances of making it to the 2019 Copa America knockout stages in their opening matches as they stumbled to 4-0 defeats against Uruguay and Chile. However, both performed much better in their second matches and now find themselves just a victory away from progressing to the knockout stages.
Ecuador are the favourites with the bookies and playing in South America may be a big advantage to them. But they are ranked 32 placed below Japan in the World Rankings and have found winning difficult.
Meanwhile, Japan are also not in the best of form, but two wins in their pre-tournament friendlies and their draw against Uruguay means they may have been underrated.
A draw is no good for either team, as that result would mean Paraguay would qualify from B, so a bet on Japan looks the value bet at any price bigger than 2/1.
This weekend’s Copa America matches will finalise the standings in Group A and Group B, and there is plenty to play for in both groups.
Brazil need to beat Peru to guarantee top spot, whilst defeat could leave the home favourites needing to be one of the best two third-place finishers to make the quarter-finals, if Venezuela beat Bolivia.
A win for Argentina looks a must for them to qualify for the knockout stages, as they currently sit bottom of Group B after losing to Colombia and drawing with Paraguay. Even a win may leave them also needing to be one of the best third place finishers, if Paraguay beat a Colombian side that is guaranteed to top the group regardless of the scores of the final two matches.
Peru vs Brazil (Saturday)
Peru have beaten Brazil just once this century in 11 matches, but that win came in the last group-match of the 2016 Copa America. Peru won 1-0 to finish top of the group and ended Brazil’s chances of Copa America success in a year where there were four groups and only the top-two teams in each of them progressed to the knockout stages.
Brazil have won the other three most recent matches between the two sides, beating Peru to nil both home and away in World Cup qualifying, whilst they beat them 2-1 in the 2015 Copa America group stages.
Results so far in this year’s Copa America suggest there is less between the two sides than the 18 places in the world rankings. Both teams have drawn 0-0 with Venezuela, whilst Brazil beat Bolivia 3-0 and Peru beat Bolivia 3-1. Because Peru have conceded one goal, Brazil only need a draw to progress, so the 4/1 about a draw could be a value bet.
Free Tip For Peru vs Brazil
Draw @ 5.00 Bet365, BetVictor
Bolivia vs Venezuela (Saturday)
Venezuela will be hoping that either Brazil or Peru win the other game in Group A, as that means a win over Bolivia guarantees them a place in the knockout stages. However, if all three teams end up with five points, all three should progress.
Despite two defeats, Bolivia aren’t completely down and out either, as a win could still feasibly see then qualify as one of the best placed losers. Hopefully, that means this match will be as open as the last four matches the two teams have contested.
They played out a 2-2 draw in a friendly in 2013, whilst Bolivia won their 2014 friendly 3-2. Bolivia also won 4-2 at home in World Cup qualifying in 2015, whilst Venezuela exacted revenge with a 5-0 home win in 2016. Both teams will want to win, so 9/4 about there being more than 3.5 goals could be a sporting play.
Free Tip For Bolivia vs Venezuela
Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.40 Bet365, WilliamHill
Qatar vs Argentina (Sunday)
The score was 3-0 to Argentina when these two teams met in a friendly in 2005, but Qatar have recently won the African Cup, whilst Argentina have seemingly lost the plot. Argentina have enough quality players to win easily, but both teams’ results against Colombia and Paraguay suggest that odds of 2/7 for an Argentinean win are hardly tempting.
Argentina lost 2-0 to Colombia, whilst Qatar lost only 1-0, whilst both teams drew against Paraguay to leave them needing a win here to have a hope of making it to the knockout stages. It will be no surprise if Argentina get it, but 9/2 about the draw looks much better value.
Free Tip For Qatar vs Argentina
Draw @ 5.75 BetVictor, Matchbook
Colombia vs Paraguay (Sunday)
The last three matches between Colombia and Paraguay have been tight affairs, with Colombia winning their last Copa America clash 2-1. They also won 1-0 in Paraguay in World Cup qualifying, but Paraguay later won 2-1 in Colombia in the same qualifying campaign.
As Colombia have already qualified, Paraguay could easily be the most motivated of the two teams to win, and Colombia may also see defeat as a positive if it could potentially knock Argentina out of the competition. That means the situation suggests a win for Paraguay could be beneficial to both teams, so prices of 7/4 about a Paraguay win could be worth taking.
The Copa America group stages continue this week and Brazil continues to provide a carnival atmosphere for South America’s most important international competition.
Bolivia take on Peru in a bid to stake a claim for qualification from Group A, whilst Brazil will be hoping to make it to the knockout stages with the minimum of fuss against Venezuela. Colombia also take on the Asian Cup winners Qatar after beating Argentina in their opening match of the tournament.
Check out our 2019 Copa America free tips for Bolivia vs Peru, Brazil vs Venezuela, and Colombia vs Qatar.
Bolivia vs Peru (Tuesday 18 June)
This looks a must win game for two teams that will be hoping to qualify in second place behind Brazil in Group A of the 2019 Copa America. Bolivia have already been beaten by Brazil and Peru will be hoping to inflict a second defeat on the Bolivian Team after drawing their opening match with Venezuela.
It’s no surprise that Peru are the odds-on favourites to win the match, as Bolivia’s defeat against Brazil was their fourth consecutive defeat this year. They’ve also failed to score in those losses to Brazil, France, Japan, and South Korea,
Peru haven’t exactly been on fire themselves, with their 0-0 draw against Venezuela being the third game in five matches that they’ve also failed to score, whilst their two wins in that period were 1-0 victories over Costa Rica and Paraguay.
Despite that, it’s hard to argue with Peru’s most recent form against Bolivia. Peru won 3-1 when the two sides met in the 2015 Copa America quarter-finals, whilst they also beat them 3-0 and 2-1 in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup.
The lack of recent goals for both sides suggests that the most likely result is a low-scoring win for Peru, and anything around 5/4 for Peru to win to nil looks worth a punt.
Free Tip For Bolivia v Peru
Peru win to nil @ 2.25 BetVictor, Boylesports
Brazil vs Venezuela (Wednesday 19 June, early morning)
Brazil will qualify for the knockout stages with a victory over Venezuela and, after looking at past Brazil vs Venezuela head-to-heads, it’s no wonder that the bookies are only willing to offer 1/6 about a Brazil win. Brazil beat Venezuela 2-1 in the 2015 Copa America and then inflicted further 2-0 and 3-1 defeats on them during World Cup qualifying.
Brazil have also won their last four matches, scoring a total of 12 goals without reply in games against Bolivia, Qatar, and Honduras. However, Venezuela may not be complete pushovers as, despite failing to find the net against Peru, they scored three goals in wins over both the USA and Argentina recently, and also scored in a defeat to Mexico and a draw against Ecuador.
That means that the bookies could be being generous offering prices in excess of 2/1 about a Brazil win and both teams to score, especially as that result would have been a winner in two of their last three head-to-heads.
Free Tip For Brazil v Venezuela
Brazil win and Both Teams To Score (Yes) @ 3.40 BetVictor, Coral Boylesports
Colombia vs Qatar (Wednesday 19 June)
Colombia made a massive statement in their opening win over Argentina and they’re a best-priced 2/5 to qualify for the knockout stages with a win over Qatar.
There are no previous head-to-heads to draw inspiration from, but it’s worth noting that Qatar were in fine form in the Asian Cup before travelling to South America. They beat South Korea in the quarter-finals, and the United Arab Emirates in the semi-finals, before beating Japan 3-1 in the final, suggesting they’re a capable team on their day. They also only lost 2-0 in a friendly in Brazil in their warm-up match for the Copa America before rallying in the second half to come from 2-0 against Paraguay to draw 2-2 in their opening group game.
Colombia have hit form at just the right time for this tournament and confirmed the impression of their friendly wins to nil against Peru and Panama to beat Argentina 2-0. However, before that they had lost to South Korea and beaten Japan 1-0, suggesting that Qatar may give them something to think about on their form with those teams. That makes prices in excess of 5/2 about a Colombia win and both teams to score more than fair.
Free Tip For Colombia v Qatar
Colombia win and Both Teams To Score (Yes) @ 3.75 Boylesports
The 2018 Copa America Football Tournament starts in the early hours of June 15, with the host nation Brazil long-odds on to make a winning start against Bolivia.
The tournament was once designed to find the champions of South America, but the addition of Qatar and Japan have added an intercontinental flavour to this year’s 12-team field.
Brazil are in Group A alongside Bolivia, Venezuela, and Peru, whilst Argentina, Colombia, Paraguay, and Qatar make up Group B. Meanwhile, Group C comprises Uruguay, Ecuador, Japan, and Chile.
Copa America 2019 Outright Betting
Brazil have been installed as the best-priced 6/5 favourites to win Copa America 2019, with Argentina their closest rivals at 7/2. The other two teams priced up at single-figure odds are Uruguay at 7/1 and Colombia at 9/1. Chile are 14/1, and it will be a big shock if any of the other seven teams win, as the bookies are offering priced ranging from 25/1 to 150/1 about them.
Brazil haven’t won any of the last three Copa Americas, which took place in 2011, 2015, and 2016, but they have won the tournament eight times in total. More importantly, they’ve won lifted the trophy on all four previous occasions that the tournament was held in Brazil, with those wins coming in 1919, 1922, 1949, and 1989. They’ve also won in Bolivia, Paraguay, Peru, and Venezuela. They look to be in the easiest of the three qualifying groups this time, and it will be a shock if they don’t at least reach the final.
Argentina have the best overall record in the competition with 14 wins, but they’ve lost the last four finals they’ve contested, with those losses coming in the last five renewals. Brazil beat them in the first two of those finals, but it is Chile who have won the last two editions of the Copa America, winning both finals after penalty shootouts against the Argentineans.
If you’re looking for an each-way punt, Chile could be the value at 14/1, but Brazil’s 100% home record in the tournament makes them worthy favourites.
Free Tip For Copa America
Outright winner – Brazil @ 2.20 Betfred, BlackType
Copa America Opening Matches
Venezuela vs Peru (Saturday 15 June)
Venezuela and Peru are probably fighting for second behind Brazil in Group A, which makes the significance of this opening match even more important. The two teams have met in the tournament four times this century, with Peru winning in 2004, 2011, and 2015, whilst Venezuela won in 2007.
However, the pair have met more recently in qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, with both matches ending 2-2. That makes the 4/1 about there being more than 3.5 goals look an interesting bet, whilst you can have 18/1 about another 2-2 draw.
Free Tip For Venezuela v Peru
Over 3.5 Goals @ 5.00 Bet365, Ladbrokes, Marathon
Free Tip For Venezuela v Peru
Correct Score 2-2 @ 19.00 SkyBet, BlackType
Argentina vs Colombia (Saturday 15 June)
The two teams met in the Copa America in 2011 and 2015, with the score finishing 0-0 on both occasions. That was again the score when the two teams met in a friendly in Colombia in 2018.
In between those matches, Argentina and Colombia played each other in World Cup qualifying, when Argentina proved the better team with a 1-0 win in Colombia and a 3-0 win at home.
The most obvious fact in those five matches is that Colombia haven’t managed to score a single goal against Argentina, and that makes the 9/10 on offer about both teams not to score very appealing. Even the general 4/5 looks well worth taking if you can’t get on at the bigger price.
Three scoreless draws in the last five Argentina vs Colombia head-to-heads also suggest that some bookies may be being generous by offering 7/1 about the correct score being 0-0, and that also looks worth a punt.
There’s some great qualifying Euro 2020 action on Tuesday (June 11) as the excitement continues.
Check out our stats, analysis, and free tips for Belarus vs Northern Ireland, and Belgium vs Scotland.
Belarus vs Northern Ireland (7.45)
Northern Ireland sit proudly on top of Group C after starting their Euro 2010 qualifying campaign with three straight wins, whilst Belarus sit pointless at the bottom after three straight defeats.
Northern Ireland have beaten Estonia, who are also pointless, twice, whilst they only just overcame Belarus 2-1 at home thanks to a late goal. The other two defeats for Belarus came away in Holland and at home against Germany, games they were expected to lose.
FIFA have Northern Ireland well ahead on world rankings, with Northern Ireland ranked 33 and Belarus ranked 81. However, both teams will be in the “C” Groups for the next Nations League tournament after Northern Ireland were relegated from their “B” Group and Belarus were promoted from their “D” Group.
The main problem for Belarus is goals as, since their 5-0 home win over San Marino in September, they’ve scored just twice in eight games. That means Northern Ireland may have enough firepower to outscore them again, especially as they’ll be motivated to maintain their 100% record before they meet the big guns of Germany and the Netherlands.
Free Tip For Belarus v Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland @ 2.75 Bet365, SkyBet, Smarkets
Belgium vs Scotland
Cast your mind back to September 2018 when Scotland last played Belgium and it’s not pretty reading for Scotland fans. Belgium took a 1-0 half-time lead in Scotland but quickly wrapped the game up in the second-half with three goals in 15-minutes.
Belgium haven’t been invincible since, with a home draw against the Netherlands and that shock 5-2 away defeat in Switzerland in the Nations League, but they’ve still racked up plenty of wins since against Iceland (twice), Kazakhstan, Cyprus, and Russia.
Meanwhile, Scotland are already looking highly unlikely to qualify for Euro 2020. They struggled to beat San Marino 2-0 in Scotland and needed an 89th-minute goal to see off Cyprus. They also lost 3-0 in Kazakhstan, which suggests that the bookies have it right by making Belgium a best-priced 3/19 to win three points on Tuesday night.
It’s surely a question of how many, and that’s where the betting could get interesting. A couple of bookmakers were going as big as 7/5 about more than 3.5 goals at the time of writing, which looks generous considering Belgium won 4-0 last time they met and are at home this time.