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“The stock market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time.” – Jesse Livermore

The low liquidity chop continues to be driven by CB policy and headline risk as we start to settle into the main part of this earning season. As usual, it’s very hard to call this kind of action, all we can do is continue to focus on some of the key dynamics driving the bigger picture view and levels. For the time being, we would continue to focus on intraday action in: financials, crude and the vix. More on this in today’s session… If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content. Wishing everyone a great weekend ahead.
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“That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all the lessons that history has to teach.” – Aldous Huxley

As they say; sometimes, a picture is worth a thousand words… No big change to what we discussed in our > latest Weekly Outlook Video. Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read out latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too). If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content. Wishing you a great day ahead.
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Indecision and procrastination are corrosive habits. Those who wait for every little thing to be perfect before they embark on a project or who dislike the compromise of a partial solution are among the least happy. Ideal circumstances are seldom given to anyone for an undertaking. Instead there is uncertainty in every situation. The wise are those who can wrest great advantage from circumstances opaque to everyone else.” – 365 Tao: Daily Meditations

No big change to what we discussed in our > latest Weekly Outlook Video. One of the key charts we will be reviewing, discussing and following today is XLF. As we have been discussing for a while now, Financials are a key piece of the puzzle and a lead indicator. Key inflection points coming up on ITY and JNK too:
Keep an eye on the Twitter Feed today. Will try to post some updated charts there too. Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read out latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too). If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content. Wishing you a great day ahead.
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Forex & Futures Outlook | 14-18 Jan 2019 - YouTube
Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read out latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too). If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content. Wishing you a great day ahead.
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We continue to believe that, no matter what kind of intradAy action we may see on a short-term basis, we remain in a distributive market phase and that we still have some unfinished business at December lows. Remember that on top of the usual headline risk and ongoing Brexit Circus, we will see a pick-up in earnings and a lot of Central Bankers on the wires this week as we approach the G20. As we will discuss and review today we have chosen Crude for the chart of the week and we would make sure to keep a very close eye on this as well and on USDCNH to get a feel for intraday momo and flows. Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read out latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too). If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content. Wishing you a great day ahead.
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“When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering away at his rock, perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it. Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two, and I know it was not that last blow that did it, but all that had gone before.” – Jacob A. Riis

The aggressive squeeze continues in High Yield and it’s going to be key to see how this resolves for the next structural move across the board. As we have been discussing, our outlook on Junk and the broader markets has not changed in terms of a bigger picture view. Once again, it’s all about the FED. The turn this has taken is simply > Hawkish FED = Pressure ON / Dovish FED = Pressure OFF. We will discuss this today and how it’s important to both trade the hand we are given but also understand the limitations of this simplistic view and how we think this is likely to resolve. The Quick-Take is: nimble and tactical on intraday opportunities but use the broader action to position swings. If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content.
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“The greatest fear in the world is of the opinions of others. And the moment you are unafraid of the crowd you are no longer a sheep, you become a lion. A great roar arises in your heart, the roar of freedom.” – Osho

Today we will be reviewing 3 key charts we have been focusing on this week: ES > all about the 2600 mark from a day and week close basis now as we wait for Powell to speak today. Don’t forget the Buyback Blackout Period and q4 Earning…
USDCNH > trade for the move back to the opposite side of the range is done and now it becomes very interesting. Remember that this is going to be key for a lot action across the board. DXY > Moving along nicely for now. Focus will be on how we trade through Powell and how we settle this week but no change in outlook. Our Euro and Yen swings remain in play. If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content.
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“The best way is to understand yourself, and then you will understand everything. So when you try hard to make your own way, you will help others, and you will be helped by others. Before you make your own way you cannot help anyone, and no one can help you.” – Shunryu Suzuki

Key test for the ES today as we hover just below the 2600 mark. As discussed in our latest Weekly Outlook Video, this is a pivot bull/bear line and the day close will be very interesting. Bulls are clearly in control but remember that healthy markets don’t move in straight lines and that recent action is not really constructive for structural bulls. We will discuss and review this again in today’s webinar along with updating our roadmap from here on. Don’t forget to keep an eye on our Chart of the Week. If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content.
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Forex & Futures Outlook | 7-11 Jan 2019 - YouTube
If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content.
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“Your level of success in the world of financial markets is entirely up to you and has nothing to do with what the markets are doing. There will always be bull markets and bear markets. The occurrence of good or bad luck, if luck exists at all, evens out over time. Great success comes about as a result of commitment, a never-ending willingness to learn, steadfast determination, and that rare ingredient, a touch of humility.” – Clifford Bennett

Interesting week shaping up as the whole world should be back from the end of year break. We covered a lot in the latest Weekly Outlook > expect it to be posted here as an open access video sometime tomorrow. In the meantime, here is our chart of the week: If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content.
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