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The inversion of the yield curve has raised concerns in the media over the possibility of a recession in the next 12 to 18 months. Considering the inversion has been a reliable indicator during the past 40 years, it could…

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The recent election in Spain (April 28) ended with three significant changes: The Socialist party (PSOE) was able to receive 122 seats (out of 350) – the most in 11 years. It won’t be enough for Pedro Sánchez to form…

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Everybody is talking about the global slowdown. Central banks all over the world have responded, but also governments need to do something. Are they doing enough? You are welcome to listen, subscribe, provide feedback and pledge support on Patreon. US:  The…

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After a dark December, markets have become calm and optimistic about everything. Is this positive sentiment justified? We examine the three key topics: the Fed, Brexit, and China’s economy.  Fed: Markets have discounted a rate hike this year and even…

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The short answer – it’s a wash, but it’s also complicated. This question has become more critical as the U.S. economy has been expanding its oil production in a couple of years. Currently, the U.S. produces more than 11.5 million…

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J. Powell, the Fed’s Chairman, faces a problem; perhaps the biggest challenge in his tenor so far. The financial markets – mainly equities in the U.S. – have signaled that they cannot and won’t stand another rate hike. Over the…

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The most powerful central bank is set to raise rates but there is a lot of uncertainty. Uncertainty also dominates trade talks and Trump’s reactions, as well as Brexit, where everything is up in the air. You are welcome to…

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The Bank of Israel (BOI) surprised the markets on November 26th by raising its cash rate for the first time in over seven years. The BOI raised rates by 0.15 percentage point – to 0.25%. This “lift-off” — although at this point it’s…

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US stocks are falling from the highs and are officially in correction territory. But are the bears in full control? We analyze the reasons for the drop and argue about the next moves before providing an update on Brexit. What’s…

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IS the Fed’s policy hawkish or dovish? We dive into the US economy and the central bank’s policy which impacts global markets and then move to oil prices. You are welcome to listen, subscribe, provide feedback and pledge support on Patreon.…

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