Loading...

Follow Coach Cox on Feedspot

Continue with Google
Continue with Facebook
or

Valid

From Saturday, 29th February through to 7th March 2020 I will be hosting the eighth annual Coach Cox Lanzarote Training Camp at Sands Beach Resort. One week of coached swim sessions, swim video analysis, miles on the bike and quality run training to kickstart the 2020 season.

The camp is already two thirds full with previous attendees, but I have a limited number of places available. If you’re interested, get in touch.

I run a friendly, supportive camp that is open to athletes of all abilities. The main focus and structure of the camp suits those racing Ironman and 70.3. As last year’s itinerary shows the schedule is big, but it’s also flexible and I will adapt plans towards individual needs. I encourage athletes to do as much as they can while respecting their experience and goals.

The swim focus is around improving technique while working hard. Every athlete on camp will receive a detailed video review of their swim alongside daily coached sessions that incorporate technique work and conditioning. The bike is about volume, with a variety of rides scheduled including a full loop of the Ironman course. Run volume is more moderate, but we ensure quality is there with hill and interval work during the week.

For more information you can read last year’s training camp itinerary – remember this is just a guide and sessions are adjusted to suit individuals.

You can also look back at reports from earlier training camps in my Lanzarote Training Camp section.

The price of the 2020 camp is £750 for half board accommodation in a superior room (shared with one other athlete). A discount is available for anyone also signed up for coaching with me.

Rooms are spacious and comfortable and easily accommodate two athletes with all their equipment. They’re also right by the pool for the early swim starts! Buffet breakfast and dinner is included; athletes will need to cover additional food and drink costs each day, but these should be minimal.

Full details of the camp can be found on my training camp page. If you have any questions, or are interested in coming on the camp, .

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

The second Ironman of the weekend, Ironman Vitoria-Gasteiz, was a brand new race. The opening year was mid-sized with roughly 1,750 starters and offered the standard 40 Kona slots for age group athletes. As a new race I don’t have historical results to compare which means this will be a quick look at the results. I have included some data from Ironman Barcelona to give some context.


The distributions from Vitoria-Gasteiz compare quite well with those from Ironman Barcelona 2018. Overall Vitoria-Gasteiz trends very slightly faster, but this is a really small shift in the chart. The differences appears to come from both bike and run which are a fraction faster at Vitoria-Gasteiz. Ironman Barcelona is a fast course and while 2018 wasn’t the fastest year it’s a still a reasonable example; this suggests that Ironman Vitoria-Gasteiz offers a fast course.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Vitoria-Gastiez and Barcelona
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
Vitoria-Gastiez 2019
1747
1723
1.4%
1669
3.1%
1598
4.3%
8.4%
Barcelona 2018
2713
2673
1.5%
2559
4.3%
2466
3.6%
9.1%

The DNF rates from Vitoria-Gasteiz are normal for Ironman racing as shown by the comparison with Barcelona last year. Course and conditions didn’t present any additional challenges to competitors beyond racing an Ironman distance.

I’ve not offered comparison of median splits across age groups as they follow similar trends to the distributions: Vitoria-Gasteiz generally slightly faster than Barcelona 2018.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Vitoria-Gastiez
Country
Count
Percentage
Spain
944
50
France
202
10.7
United Kingdom
137
7.3
Portugal
87
4.6
Italy
75
4
Belgium
54
2.9
Israel
47
2.5
Germany
41
2.2
United States
31
1.6
Netherlands
31
1.6
Ironman Vitoria-Gastiez 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
Spain
37.5
50.0
Belgium
7.5
2.9
Germany
7.5
2.2
United Kingdom
7.5
7.3
United States
7.5
1.6
Switzerland
5.0
0.7
Israel
5.0
2.5
France
2.5
10.7
Guatemala
2.5
0.1
Slovenia
2.5
0.2
Sweden
2.5
0.5
Poland
2.5
0.8
Mexico
2.5
0.3
Portugal
2.5
4.6

The new race drew quite a wide range of nationalities to compete with Kona slots spread widely among them.


The main thing the age group top twenty charts show is how fast Kona qualification placings were. A lot of sub-9 hour Ironman qualifiers in the biggest age groups. While the course appears to be fast that’s still a challenging qualifier.

Ironman Vitoria-Gastiez 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:29:51
09:29:51
09:29:51
M25-29
2
09:00:06
09:03:48
09:07:31
M30-34
3
08:39:49
08:42:59
08:46:18
M35-39
4
08:46:45
08:51:28
08:58:09
M40-44
6
08:48:29
08:54:41
09:04:03
M45-49
4
08:53:26
09:08:22
09:18:49
M50-54
3
09:14:21
09:25:06
09:31:03
M55-59
2
09:29:57
09:43:44
09:57:32
M60-64
1
10:17:25
10:17:25
10:17:25
M65-69
1
12:18:07
12:18:07
12:18:07
M70-74
1
14:07:20
14:07:20
14:07:20
M75-79
1
No Finishers
 
 
F18-24
1
10:52:04
10:52:04
10:52:04
F25-29
1
10:39:57
10:39:57
10:39:57
F30-34
1
09:39:20
09:39:20
09:39:20
F35-39
1
09:56:21
09:56:21
09:56:21
F40-44
1
09:33:34
09:33:34
09:33:34
F45-49
1
10:18:23
10:18:23
10:18:23
F50-54
1
10:44:52
10:44:52
10:44:52
F55-59
1
10:59:52
10:59:52
10:59:52
F60-64
1
12:37:12
12:37:12
12:37:12
F65-69
1
14:38:48
14:38:48
14:38:48
F70-74
1
No Finishers
 
 

Based on the athlete lists I’ve calculated the Kona slot allocation and from that the automatic qualification times in each age group. Final allocation may vary and roll down will influence times (two age groups appear to have had no finishers ensuring 2 slots rolled to other divisions). You can compare this with other races on my Kona qualification page.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Vitoria-Gasteiz 2019 on my Google Drive.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

I’ll start this week’s analyses with Ironman UK. A mid-sized race with the standard 40 Kona slots on offer to age groupers. While it’s been hosted in Bolton for a decade this year’s race saw large changes to the bike course. The new course has had a major impact on results, slowing an already slow Ironman further.

2018 results have been excluded from amalgamated data due to the shortening of the bike course last year. Other variations in the Bolton course remain as they were not as significant.

It’s quite clear that the new bike course has had a large impact on race results. Comparing with the previous 10 years of racing in Bolton shows a roughly 30 minute slowing of the distribution from front to back. This pushes many more athletes closer to the bike course cut off than before. Swim and run distributions don’t vary too much. the run is a little slower, possibly a knock on effect from the longer bike. Naturally the overall distribution is slower for this year’s race too.



Given the size of the shift and the much slower bike median I thought I’d compare distributions with a couple of other races at the slow end of the Ironman Calendar. The new Bolton bike course trends slower than either the Wales or Lanzarote courses. Lanzarote is faster at the front of the race which may reflect the field that it draws. The welsh distribution trend about 20 minutes faster than the new UK bike course. It’s worth remembering we’re looking at one year of data for the new course, so we can’t say exactly how representative these results will prove to be.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman UK
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2009
1652
1252
24.2%
1252
0%
1255
%
23.7%
2010
1109
1046
5.7%
1046
0%
1047
%
5.1%
2011
1115
1026
8%
1026
0%
1036
%
6.9%
2012
1275
1273
0.2%
1210
4.9%
1180
2.5%
7.5%
2013
1450
1424
1.8%
1381
3%
1354
2%
6.6%
2014
1748
1728
1.1%
1639
5.2%
1602
2.3%
8.3%
2015
1861
1855
0.3%
1739
6.3%
1707
1.8%
8.3%
2016
1826
1812
0.8%
1724
4.9%
1685
2.3%
7.7%
2017
1874
1854
1.1%
1744
5.9%
1717
1.5%
8.3%
2018
1890
1881
0.5%
1847
1.8%
1806
2.2%
4.4%
2019
1618
1599
1.2%
1369
14.4%
1336
2.4%
17.2%

We do see an increase in DNF rates from this years race. Again the fault lies with the bike where the rate shot up into double figures. Potentially much of this comes from athletes being pushed outside of the cutoff time on the longer course, certainly there is a lot more weight towards the tail of the bike distribution. It’s hard to say how much of this is the case and while the course is slower, cut off times were standard.


Comparing the age group medians reiterates the pattern of the distribution. A significantly slower bike median across age groups. Run medians are slightly slower, but not as consistently across age divisions.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman UK
Country
Count
Percentage
United Kingdom
1740
89.7
Ireland
33
1.7
United States
18
0.9
Poland
13
0.7
France
11
0.6
South Africa
11
0.6
Germany
11
0.6
Italy
9
0.5
Australia
6
0.3
Netherlands
6
0.3
Ironman UK 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
United Kingdom
60.0
89.7
France
7.5
0.6
United States
5.0
0.9
Italy
5.0
0.5
Denmark
2.5
0.1
Sweden
2.5
0.2
Germany
2.5
0.6
Netherlands
2.5
0.3
New Zealand
2.5
0.2
Slovakia
2.5
0.1
Switzerland
2.5
0.2
Monaco
2.5
0.1

Ironman UK largely draws a local crowd with a small number of other nationalities racing. The Kona slots look to be spread a little more widely though.


Tracking the times for specific age group positions shows how Ironman UK has been quite a variable race over the years. 2019 does push towards the slowest times, but this varies with size of division and also position within the division. At the very front of the race the change is often much smaller and times aren’t so far from previous years. Further back in the age groups and the impact is larger. We can also see how much faster 2018’s short course was in comparison.

Ironman UK 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:53:00
09:53:00
09:53:00
M25-29
3
10:03:50
10:17:32
10:25:15
M30-34
4
09:38:05
09:56:34
10:06:51
M35-39
4
09:27:12
09:58:46
10:25:58
M40-44
5
10:12:11
10:24:45
10:46:25
M45-49
5
10:13:01
10:46:07
11:03:40
M50-54
3
10:45:47
10:59:21
11:10:48
M55-59
2
11:23:09
11:41:14
11:59:20
M60-64
1
12:45:25
12:45:25
12:45:25
M65-69
1
16:46:44
16:46:44
16:46:44
M70-74
1
16:22:49
16:22:49
16:22:49
F18-24
1
13:18:32
13:18:32
13:18:32
F25-29
1
11:18:39
11:18:39
11:18:39
F30-34
1
10:39:48
10:39:48
10:39:48
F35-39
1
11:49:04
11:49:04
11:49:04
F40-44
1
11:02:15
11:02:15
11:02:15
F45-49
1
11:55:32
11:55:32
11:55:32
F50-54
1
12:23:39
12:23:39
12:23:39
F55-59
1
13:37:52
13:37:52
13:37:52
F60-64
1
14:29:38
14:29:38
14:29:38
F65-69
1
No Finishers
 
 

Based on the athlete list I’ve calculated the Kona slot allocation and from that the automatic qualifying times in each age group. Final allocation might vary slightly and roll down will impact the qualifying times. You can compare this with other races on my Kona qualification page.


Finally the top twenty within each age group. The main trend is slower than average times, but there are variations. Age group winners are generally closer to the race average and some smaller age groups trend much closer to average. There are also instances where we see the slowest times for Bolton in the top twenty, but that’s not universally the case. Overall the new course makes Bolton a slower race.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman UK 2019 on my Google Drive.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

The biggest Ironman distance event of the last weekend was Challenge Roth. Roth is a fast course with a long history and superb support. That’s enough to earn it some analysis in the absence of Kona slots. Times are fast in Roth and this year was no exception.

Comparing this years result distribution with that of the last 9 years shows it to largely typical for the course. The bike and the run both trend very slightly faster than usual and that does give a marginally faster overall distribution, but this is not particularly significant.

DNS and DNF Rates at Challenge Roth
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2010
3133
2759
11.9%
2687
2.6%
2651
1.3%
14.6%
2011
2793
2790
0.1%
2790
0%
2790
0%
0%
2012
2753
2750
0.1%
2749
0%
2748
0%
0%
2013
3407
3121
8.4%
3015
3.4%
2879
4.5%
15.4%
2014
3459
3150
8.9%
2852
9.5%
2673
6.3%
22.5%
2015
2734
2690
1.6%
2690
0%
2734
%
0%
2016
2930
2908
0.8%
2908
0%
2929
%
0%
2017
3142
3109
1.1%
3006
3.3%
2860
4.9%
8.7%
2018
3050
3040
0.3%
2920
3.9%
2831
3%
7%
2019
3272
3242
0.9%
3152
2.8%
3084
2.2%
5.2%

My data hasn’t always given a clear picture of DNFs rates (only including finishing athletes), such rows are marked in red. Where numbers are clearer, in blue, we can see this year saw a drop in the DNF rate in bike and run. So, slightly faster times and lower DNF rates there suggest good conditions on the course.


Generally the pattern in the age group median splits above matches that of the distribution with slightly faster bike and run. The differences are small, particularly on the bike.


Since 2014 times for specific age group places have been quite consistent in Roth. A little annual fluctuation, but no major shift. This year is no exception. Smaller age groups, like most of the women’s field, show a bit more annual variation in times. The largest are much more consistent in results.


Top twenty age group times this year trended slightly ahead of the average. As with other differences this is mostly a small shift and often at the front of the age groups the times are average or slower. A few older male age groups have more significantly improved performances in their top twenties. Broadly though, the 2019 race was a little bit faster than usual.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

This week’s big European Ironman is Ironman Austria. Austria is a large race with almost 2,800 starters and offers the standard 40 Kona slots for age group athletes. This years race looks to have been a little slower than the average, but not too significantly. Austria saw some storms, but not quite the extreme’s of heat or rain seen i the previous couple of weeks.

Both swim and bike trended slower than the previous decade this year. The shift appears to be consistent from front to back of pack in both cases. The run remained similar to previous results, but the longer swim and bike times mean the finish times also trend slower. The difference appears to be around 20-25 minutes at the median for overall times.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Austria
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2009
2276
1981
13%
1981
2028
10.7%
2010
2225
2022
9.1%
2023
2045
7.8%
2011
2461
2287
7.1%
2287
2343
4.8%
2012
2361
2330
1.3%
2193
5.9%
2008
8.4%
14.8%
2013
2631
2613
0.7%
2564
1.9%
2497
2.6%
5.1%
2014
2621
2598
0.9%
2524
2.8%
2437
3.4%
7%
2015
2501
2491
0.4%
2412
3.2%
2332
3.3%
6.7%
2016
2545
2527
0.7%
2469
2.3%
2408
2.5%
5.4%
2017
2603
2590
0.5%
2523
2.6%
2461
2.5%
5.4%
2018
2499
2482
0.7%
2420
2.5%
2312
4.5%
7.5%
2019
2764
2710
2%
2593
4.3%
2485
4.2%
10.1%

The DNF rate this year was on the high side for Austria with the bike and swim being the areas that saw the most change. the only time Austria has seen a higher level of DNFs was back in 2012 when heat was a major issue.


The median age group splits follow the trends shown in the distributions above: slower swim and bike medians. The pattern is almost universal with the odd exception like the F40-44 bike which trends a little faster than usual this year.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Austria
Country
Count
Percentage
Austria
816
25.2
United Kingdom
396
12.2
Italy
387
11.9
Germany
328
10.1
Israel
177
5.5
Spain
132
4.1
Belgium
122
3.8
Poland
88
2.7
France
82
2.5
Czech Republic
66
2
Ironman Austria 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
Austria
47.5
25.2
Germany
17.5
10.1
Hungary
5.0
0.9
Russia
5.0
0.8
United Kingdom
5.0
12.2
Italy
2.5
11.9
United States
2.5
2.0
Spain
2.5
4.1
Norway
2.5
0.3
Slovenia
2.5
1.2
Czech Republic
2.5
2.0
Belgium
2.5
3.8

It’s a very diverse field in Austria with only a quarter from Austria itself. That said they appear to hold on to nearly half the slots with the rest being broadly distributed.


There has been some variation in age group times by position over the years. Some of it relating to conditions, some variations in the course and the competitive field. generally for the largest age groups times have been quite stable, particularly towards the front of the race. 2019 actually appears to be quite comparable with the previous year which also saw a shift of around 20 minutes at the median.

Ironman Austria 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:38:44
09:38:44
09:38:44
M25-29
2
08:52:07
08:56:37
09:01:07
M30-34
3
08:52:47
09:03:47
09:10:12
M35-39
4
08:49:51
09:01:16
09:08:34
M40-44
5
08:55:41
09:09:48
09:18:06
M45-49
5
09:26:25
09:31:23
09:35:39
M50-54
4
09:21:17
09:29:02
09:35:51
M55-59
2
09:56:16
10:09:47
10:23:18
M60-64
1
10:21:59
10:21:59
10:21:59
M65-69
1
11:24:55
11:24:55
11:24:55
M70-74
1
15:32:49
15:32:49
15:32:49
M75-79
1
15:31:05
15:31:05
15:31:05
F18-24
1
10:22:18
10:22:18
10:22:18
F25-29
1
09:56:36
09:56:36
09:56:36
F30-34
1
09:43:41
09:43:41
09:43:41
F35-39
1
09:57:13
09:57:13
09:57:13
F40-44
1
10:29:19
10:29:19
10:29:19
F45-49
1
09:49:20
09:49:20
09:49:20
F50-54
1
11:07:09
11:07:09
11:07:09
F55-59
1
11:30:21
11:30:21
11:30:21
F60-64
1
13:35:01
13:35:01
13:35:01
F65-69
1
No Finishers
 
 

Based on the start numbers I’ve calculated the Kona slot allocation and from that the automatic qualifying times at this race. Final numbers may vary and I don’t account for roll down in these statistics. You can compare this with other races on my Kona qualification page.


Times for the top twenty in each age group generally trend a bit behind the average, but not as much as they did in 2018. The gap is small, particularly towards the very front of each division. In a few cases, such as F55-59, we see faster than average results from the age group.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Austria 2019 on my Google Drive.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

The last race of the weekend is a small one – Ironman Haugesund Norway 2019. Haugesund drew a field of just under 350 athletes competing for 30 age group Kona slots; that works out at about 1 slot per 10 athletes.

Every stage of the race trended faster this year. As we only have two years of race results we can only build a limited picture of the course though. After a slower 2018 this year’s times appear more in line with some of the faster European races like Sweden or Copenhagen.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Norway
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2018
571
571
544
4.7%
525
3.5%
8.1%
2019
348
342
1.7%
328
4.1%
315
4%
9.5%

The DNF rate is slightly higher at this year’s race, partly from some DNF on the swim. However these numbers aren’t exceptionally high by Ironman standards.


As with the distributions this year’s age group medians trend faster than 2018.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Norway
Country
Count
Percentage
Norway
156
38.4
United Kingdom
40
9.9
Sweden
37
9.1
United States
22
5.4
Belgium
17
4.2
Germany
17
4.2
Denmark
17
4.2
France
15
3.7
Switzerland
9
2.2
Russia
8
2
Ironman Norway 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
Norway
30.0
38.4
Denmark
20.0
4.2
Sweden
10.0
9.1
Belgium
10.0
4.2
United States
6.7
5.4
France
6.7
3.7
Germany
6.7
4.2
United Kingdom
3.3
9.9
Estonia
3.3
0.2
Russia
3.3
2.0

A broad range of nationalities race in Norway with the slots being equally widely spread.


How performances changed between the two years of racing depends very much on position within age groups. This is largely a reflection on the small size od the field which means 50th place may be towards the back of an age group. So we see times improve at the front of the race, but for smaller age groups they slow further back as the lower placings represent further back in the pack.

Ironman Norway 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:39:42
09:39:42
09:39:42
M25-29
2
09:08:04
09:13:54
09:19:45
M30-34
2
09:15:00
09:19:17
09:23:35
M35-39
3
09:09:59
09:10:46
09:11:55
M40-44
4
09:27:28
09:37:11
09:41:11
M45-49
3
09:01:38
09:16:13
09:36:51
M50-54
3
10:10:10
10:19:06
10:33:14
M55-59
2
10:12:52
10:26:50
10:40:49
M60-64
1
10:52:29
10:52:29
10:52:29
M65-69
1
12:15:14
12:15:14
12:15:14
F25-29
1
10:37:33
10:37:33
10:37:33
F30-34
1
10:25:53
10:25:53
10:25:53
F35-39
1
10:50:45
10:50:45
10:50:45
F40-44
1
11:18:35
11:18:35
11:18:35
F45-49
1
11:16:00
11:16:00
11:16:00
F50-54
1
11:28:19
11:28:19
11:28:19
F55-59
1
12:21:36
12:21:36
12:21:36
F65-69
1
14:32:26
14:32:26
14:32:26

Based on the start list I’ve calculated the Kona slot allocation and automatic qualification times. The final numbers may have varied and roll down would influence final qualifying times. You can compare this with other race on my Kona qualification page.


When we look at the top twenty of each age group we see a faster race, but also the impact of a small field. Times fall off rapidly in a thinner field so while the very front is normally much faster that can quickly fall away. |n smaller age groups times are more variable and we see a slower race for many of these too.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Haugesund 2019 on my Google Drive.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

The biggest Ironman of the weekend was the 2019 Ironman European Championship in Frankfurt. Ironman Frankfurt is a large race and as a championship event comes with 80 age group Kona slots, but competition for them is high. Normally a fast course, but when conditions are as hot as they were at the weekend the pace slows. June has been a tough month for Ironman racing, like Cork the week before DNF rates were exceptional in Frankfurt.

Race distributions clearly reflect the impact of high heat on the race. The non-wetsuit swim naturally trends slower than the amalgamated results of the previous 10 years. The bike is around 20 minutes slower at the median and through to the top 5% of the field, and the run trends similarly behind. Overall the impact is around an hour at the median and around 30 minutes for the top 5%. Those are big shifts for a single year of racing.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Frankfurt
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2009
2593
2055
20.7%
2055
2120
17.9%
2010
2434
2058
15.4%
2058
2115
12.9%
2011
2750
2429
11.7%
2302
5.2%
2217
3.7%
19.3%
2012
2574
2547
1%
2426
4.8%
2316
4.5%
10%
2013
3015
2693
10.7%
2621
2.7%
2459
6.2%
18.4%
2014
3015
2642
12.4%
2580
2.3%
2388
7.4%
20.8%
2015
2636
2544
3.5%
2335
8.2%
2004
14.2%
23.9%
2016
3171
2743
13.5%
2687
2%
2606
3%
17.8%
2017
2740
2693
1.7%
2598
3.5%
2432
6.4%
11.2%
2018
2597
2545
2%
2443
4%
2261
7.4%
12.9%
2019
2746
2703
1.6%
2483
8.1%
2024
18.5%
26.3%

Perhaps the clearest indicator of the challenging conditions is the exceptional DNF rate. As usual blue row have a clear separation of DNS and DNF figures while red rows merge DNS and DNF numbers. 2019 is the highest rate of DNF seen on the Frankfurt course with most athletes dropping out during the run.


Of course the age group medians show the same trends as the distributions. Almost consistently slower across swim, bike and run.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Frankfurt
Country
Count
Percentage
Germany
1544
47.9
Spain
247
7.7
France
157
4.9
United Kingdom
147
4.6
Italy
147
4.6
Belgium
85
2.6
Switzerland
72
2.2
Japan
68
2.1
Netherlands
66
2
United States
54
1.7
Ironman Frankfurt 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
Germany
63.8
47.9
France
5.0
4.9
Denmark
3.8
1.0
Spain
3.8
7.7
Switzerland
2.5
2.2
United Kingdom
2.5
4.6
Austria
2.5
1.5
Russia
2.5
0.5
Poland
1.3
1.6
Sweden
1.3
0.7
Netherlands
1.3
2.0
Finland
1.3
0.4
Hungary
1.3
0.4
Turkey
1.3
0.7
Slovenia
1.3
0.3
Colombia
1.3
0.4

As we saw with Nice over the weekend, the major European races draw a wide range of nationalities and tend to spread Kona slots among them.


Comparing times for specific age group positions shows that the last time we saw such a slow day in Frankfurt was in 2015, another hot year. Generally Frankfurt has been quite consistent at the front of the race and it’s taken hot conditions to slow the course down. This year definitely falls towards the slow end of racing for Frankfurt.

Ironman Frankfurt 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:36:00
09:36:00
09:36:00
M25-29
4
09:13:05
09:25:43
09:34:39
M30-34
8
09:10:18
09:26:06
09:37:06
M35-39
10
09:04:11
09:31:01
09:42:44
M40-44
12
09:16:11
09:53:44
10:06:30
M45-49
12
09:37:20
10:00:08
10:08:48
M50-54
9
10:04:58
10:23:23
10:39:18
M55-59
5
10:30:36
10:41:14
10:55:46
M60-64
2
10:33:54
11:14:13
11:54:33
M65-69
1
12:49:20
12:49:20
12:49:20
M70-74
1
No Finishers
 
 
M75-79
1
No Finishers
 
 
F18-24
1
11:18:47
11:18:47
11:18:47
F25-29
1
10:10:21
10:10:21
10:10:21
F30-34
2
10:05:17
10:20:19
10:35:22
F35-39
2
10:38:06
10:49:49
11:01:33
F40-44
2
10:24:40
10:27:58
10:31:17
F45-49
2
11:07:54
11:13:44
11:19:34
F50-54
1
10:27:52
10:27:52
10:27:52
F55-59
1
11:29:31
11:29:31
11:29:31
F60-64
1
13:12:33
13:12:33
13:12:33
F65-69
1
No Finishers
 
 

Based on the start list for Frankfurt I’ve calculated the Kona slot allocation and from that the automatic qualification times in each age group. Numbers may vary and roll down will affect final qualifying times. You can compare this with other races on my Kona qualification page.


The final piece of evidence of tough conditions is the times from the top twenty in each age group. In many age groups this year is the slowest of the last decade. That’s not a consistent pattern, but almost every division is slower than their average. The overall picture is that this was a slow year from front to back of the race and while the very front of the race tends to suffer less the impact of hot weather was still present.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Frankfurt 2019 on my Google Drive.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

After a big weekend of Ironman racing in Europe I’m starting my reviews with Ironman France. Ironman France is a large race which receives the standard 40 Kona slot allocation for age group athletes. This year’s race saw adjustments to the bike and run due to conditions with both shortened (152km and 30km respectively). Changes of that magnitude obviously have a significant impact on results when we look to compare with previous years.

Given the level of adjustment that took place we can only really compare how much quicker this year’s race was. The swim remained the full distance and doesn’t differ hugely from the course norms. Both bike and run are significantly quicker leading to an overall distribution about 1:20 faster at the median. That the difference isn’t bigger given the changes goes some way to reflect the conditions on the day.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman France
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2009
2741
2054
25.1%
2054
2323
15.2%
2011
2617
1733
33.8%
1733
2054
21.1%
2012
2306
2270
1.6%
2192
3.4%
2051
6.4%
11%
2013
2783
2473
11.1%
2438
1.4%
2347
3.7%
14.8%
2014
2759
2504
9.2%
2407
3.9%
2324
3.4%
15.7%
2015
2783
2475
11.1%
2385
3.6%
2247
5.8%
19.1%
2016
2885
2570
10.9%
2495
2.9%
2407
3.5%
16.6%
2017
2070
1848
10.7%
1760
4.8%
1627
7.6%
20.9%
2018
2557
2538
0.7%
2457
3.2%
2374
3.4%
6.9%
2019
2537
2514
0.9%
2380
5.3%
2278
4.3%
10.1%

Despite the shorter bike the DNF rate this year is one of the highest at that stage. Run DNFs are average however and the overall DNF rate isn’t significant. We’d expect a shortened course to reduce DNF rates normally so it’s interesting to note the increase on the bike.


Age group medians obviously reflect the impact of the shortened course with bike and ru trending faster for each age group.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman France
Country
Count
Percentage
France
1548
54.7
United Kingdom
217
7.7
Italy
203
7.2
Belgium
172
6.1
Spain
126
4.4
United States
77
2.7
Germany
59
2.1
Sweden
47
1.7
Netherlands
42
1.5
Switzerland
38
1.3
Ironman France 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
France
45.0
54.7
Germany
10.0
2.1
Spain
10.0
4.4
Italy
7.5
7.2
Belgium
5.0
6.1
Netherlands
5.0
1.5
United States
2.5
2.7
Russia
2.5
0.7
Sweden
2.5
1.7
United Kingdom
2.5
7.7
Switzerland
2.5
1.3
Brazil
2.5
0.4
Kazakhstan
2.5
0.1

As with most European races France draws a wide range of nationalities and shares Kona slots among them.


Ironman France is no stranger to hot conditions and as long standing Ironman races go it’s been quite variable over the years for performances. Again we can’t really compare this year due to the major adjustments to the course.

Ironman France 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
07:53:31
07:53:31
07:53:31
M25-29
2
07:57:35
07:59:35
08:01:35
M30-34
4
07:53:05
08:07:15
08:22:42
M35-39
4
08:05:22
08:13:26
08:19:04
M40-44
5
08:07:38
08:17:25
08:25:11
M45-49
5
07:55:00
08:15:24
08:24:38
M50-54
3
08:34:44
08:42:48
08:53:09
M55-59
2
08:43:45
08:56:41
09:09:37
M60-64
1
09:10:50
09:10:50
09:10:50
M65-69
1
11:14:26
11:14:26
11:14:26
M70-74
1
13:06:04
13:06:04
13:06:04
M75-79
1
13:18:43
13:18:43
13:18:43
F18-24
1
10:47:21
10:47:21
10:47:21
F25-29
1
09:47:40
09:47:40
09:47:40
F30-34
1
08:49:48
08:49:48
08:49:48
F35-39
1
08:58:35
08:58:35
08:58:35
F40-44
1
09:38:42
09:38:42
09:38:42
F45-49
1
09:02:44
09:02:44
09:02:44
F50-54
1
10:13:45
10:13:45
10:13:45
F55-59
1
11:25:35
11:25:35
11:25:35
F60-64
1
13:05:47
13:05:47
13:05:47
F65-69
1
13:19:41
13:19:41
13:19:41

Based on the athlete list I’ve calculated the slot allocation and automatic qualification times for Ironman France. Exact numbers may vary and roll down will influence final qualifying times too. You can compare with other races on my Kona qualification page, but expect this year’s times to be much faster than usual.


Finally when we review the top 20 of each age group we again see how much difference the shortening made to times. This year’s race will be excluded from future analysis of Ironman France as the results are so heavily skewed by the course alterations.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman France 2019 on my Google Drive.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

This weekend saw Ironman Ireland join the Ironman calendar. Around 1,800 athletes started the race in competition for a standard allocation of 40 age group Kona slots. Unfortunately it debuted with a cancelled swim due to conditions so the race was held as a full bike and run. An altered course and the lack of historical results limits the scope of this analysis. I’ve made some comparisons with Ironman Wales to give context where I can.


To help assess Ironman Ireland I’ve used results from last year’s race in Wales with finish times adjusted for the swim. Without a swim results distributions from Ironman Ireland and Wales are quite similar. Wales is one of the slowest Ironman courses and Cork appears to be comparable with a faster run helping to put it very slightly ahead. Conditions on Sunday were cold and wet so it’s likely this has helped to keep slow bike times.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Ireland and Ironman Wales
Year
Listed Athletes
Starting Athletes
Overall DNS
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNF
Ireland 2019
2067
1836
11.1%
1495
18.6%
1407
5.9%
23.4%
Wales 2018
2387
2208
6.5%
2078
5.3%
2043
1.7%
7.5%

I’ve adjusted my usual DNF table so we can better compare Wales and Ireland without the swim. DNS rates in Ireland were slightly higher than Wales and perhaps pushing towards the high end for most races. Potentially more athletes dropped out once the adjustment was announced or based on expected conditions. What’s most significant though is how much higher the bike DNF rate is in Ireland. This definitely reflects a difficult race day and also suggests that the bike distribution would be slower had more been able to finish the course. Run DNFs are also much higher than Wales and the overall DNF rate at almost a quarter of all starters is at the extreme for Ironman.

Median splits for each age group show the usual patterns of slowing times with age. Without comparison it’s hard to add more commentary to this.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Ireland
Country
Count
Percentage
Ireland
926
44.8
United States
450
21.8
United Kingdom
290
14
Spain
38
1.8
Germany
34
1.6
France
29
1.4
Canada
28
1.4
Australia
26
1.3
Netherlands
25
1.2
Poland
22
1.1
Ironman Ireland 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
United Kingdom
22.5
14.0
Ireland
15.0
44.8
Germany
10.0
1.6
Netherlands
10.0
1.2
Poland
10.0
1.1
Canada
7.5
1.4
United States
7.5
21.8
Sweden
5.0
0.8
France
2.5
1.4
Switzerland
2.5
0.8
Austria
2.5
0.3

The race drew a diverse field from around the world with US athletes being the most numerous after the Irish. Slots were also distributed quite broadly with the UK taking the largest share.


As a first year race there’s not much that can be said about the top twenty times for each age group. They are slow for a race without a swim. They also drop off steeply from first back to twentieth with a wide range of times. This may reflect a smaller field size by the time the race was over.

Ironman Ireland 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:46:01
09:46:01
09:46:01
M25-29
2
08:12:48
08:18:31
08:24:15
M30-34
3
08:14:27
08:23:24
08:32:01
M35-39
4
08:36:33
08:49:13
08:58:37
M40-44
5
09:13:59
09:25:06
09:33:04
M45-49
5
09:00:34
09:21:46
09:38:37
M50-54
3
09:35:01
09:57:49
10:10:46
M55-59
2
09:44:53
09:49:21
09:53:50
M60-64
1
11:10:24
11:10:24
11:10:24
M65-69
1
12:49:36
12:49:36
12:49:36
M70-74
1
12:51:19
12:51:19
12:51:19
M75-79
1
14:19:08
14:19:08
14:19:08
F18-24
1
09:43:43
09:43:43
09:43:43
F25-29
1
10:21:50
10:21:50
10:21:50
F30-34
1
09:49:51
09:49:51
09:49:51
F35-39
1
10:56:15
10:56:15
10:56:15
F40-44
1
10:18:12
10:18:12
10:18:12
F45-49
1
10:33:53
10:33:53
10:33:53
F50-54
1
11:37:41
11:37:41
11:37:41
F55-59
1
12:00:41
12:00:41
12:00:41
F60-64
1
12:23:47
12:23:47
12:23:47

Based on the start numbers I’ve calculated the slot allocation for Ironman Ireland using the current method. From there I’ve determined the automatic qualifying times within each age group. These slots and times may vary and roll down isn’t considered. Allowing for the lack os a swim, you can compare this with other races at my Kona qualification page.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Ireland 2019 on my Google Drive.

  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

The second Ironman of last weekend was Ironman Boulder. Another mid-sized race that comes with a standard 40 Kona slot allocation. Boulder has the additional challenge of altitude which makes for a tougher races for athletes travelling from sea level. With strong front of pack competition this tends to result in a broad spread of results from the course.

This year’s results were slightly faster than the amalgamated historical results. This is especially the case at the front of the race with the top 5% trending 20-30 minutes faster than the past. The major contributor appears to be a faster than usual run.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Boulder
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2014
2790
2255
19.2%
2179
3.4%
2000
8.2%
27.5%
2015
2769
2201
20.5%
2121
3.6%
2010
5.2%
27.4%
2016
1490
1456
2.3%
1411
3.1%
1313
6.9%
11.9%
2017
1338
1168
12.7%
1142
2.2%
1071
6.2%
19.9%
2018
1493
1424
4.6%
1321
7.2%
1181
10.6%
20.9%
2019
1147
1087
5.2%
1054
3%
1002
4.9%
12.6%

The faster run also has a much lower DNF rate than recent years. After two years with high drop out rates Boulder appears to have settled a to a more reasonable level. Although, this is still towards the higher end for Ironman courses.


Age group medians largely reflect the trends from the distribution with a much faster set of run medians and also faster bike medians in most age groups.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Boulder
Country
Count
Percentage
United States
1102
80.9
Canada
50
3.7
Mexico
43
3.2
United Kingdom
17
1.2
Germany
14
1
Switzerland
11
0.8
France
10
0.7
Colombia
9
0.7
Venezuela
8
0.6
Netherlands
6
0.4
Ironman Boulder 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
United States
75.0
80.9
Canada
5.0
3.7
Switzerland
5.0
0.8
Australia
2.5
0.3
Venezuela
2.5
0.6
India
2.5
0.1
United Kingdom
2.5
1.2
Belgium
2.5
0.1

The majority of athletes come from North America and they keep hold of most of the slots. A small spread of other nationalities claimed a handful too.


Tracking times for specific age groups positions shows that in the largest age groups the front of the pack has been quite consistent over the last 6 years. Further back there’s more variability with 2017 and 2018 being particularly slow for the mid to back of pack athletes.

Ironman Boulder 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:46:07
09:46:07
09:46:07
M25-29
3
09:12:35
09:21:48
09:33:01
M30-34
3
08:55:52
09:09:28
09:25:11
M35-39
4
09:23:35
09:34:48
09:42:33
M40-44
4
09:03:36
09:30:53
09:50:24
M45-49
4
08:59:35
09:35:05
09:52:55
M50-54
3
09:33:48
09:51:06
10:08:03
M55-59
2
10:36:38
10:46:24
10:56:10
M60-64
1
10:55:03
10:55:03
10:55:03
M65-69
1
11:55:30
11:55:30
11:55:30
M70-74
1
13:52:16
13:52:16
13:52:16
F18-24
1
11:18:09
11:18:09
11:18:09
F25-29
1
10:12:35
10:12:35
10:12:35
F30-34
1
10:18:34
10:18:34
10:18:34
F35-39
2
09:36:32
09:51:37
10:06:43
F40-44
2
10:15:36
10:22:43
10:29:50
F45-49
1
10:06:56
10:06:56
10:06:56
F50-54
1
11:02:41
11:02:41
11:02:41
F55-59
1
13:02:54
13:02:54
13:02:54
F60-64
1
12:53:45
12:53:45
12:53:45
F65-69
1
15:15:20
15:15:20
15:15:20

Based on the athlete list I’ve calculated the Kona slot allocation for Ironman Boulder and from that the automatic qualification times in each age group. The allocation may vary slightly and roll downs will influence final qualifying times. You can compare this with other races on my Kona qualification page.


The times fo the top twenty in each age group trend around the average or slightly better in some cases. Overall this year’s front of pack results come in faster than average and towards the fastest.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Boulder 2019 on my Google Drive.

Read for later

Articles marked as Favorite are saved for later viewing.
close
  • Show original
  • .
  • Share
  • .
  • Favorite
  • .
  • Email
  • .
  • Add Tags 

Separate tags by commas
To access this feature, please upgrade your account.
Start your free month
Free Preview