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One of the most-watched and most popular events around the world, the Super Bowl is the annual championship game in the NFL. Held each year to determine the champion for the current season, the Super Bowl is a show watched by millions of people in the USA and around the world. Scheduled for February 2, 2020, the Superbowl LIV is the 54th edition of the championship game that will give us the 2019 season champion.

Apart from being a popular event for NFL fans, the Super Bowl is especially popular among bettors. Every year, bettors place millions in bets on the two finalists, with even celebrities joining in on the fun. Betting odds and lines are revealed way before the teams even make it to the final, with every bettor excited to get in on the action. Follow this link to find great NFL betting odds in Canada – https://canadiansportsbetting.ca/nfl-betting-tips-odds/. The Super Bowl is popular in Canada as well, with many bookies offering odds on the potential Super Bowl winners. The best Canadian online bookies also offer NFL prop player betting, team props, and future bets that can lead to potentially stunning wins.

Let’s see the biggest favorites for the Super Bowl LIV:

New England Patriots

With the NFL season fast approaching, the Pats once again lead the pack when it comes to the champions. Currently going for 6-1 at most bookies, the Patriots stand out from the rest of the pack. Last year, Bill Belichick’s team defeated the Los Angeles Rams 13-3 at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, and there are great chances that they can repeat the success this year.

With Tom Brady in the team, titles are a guarantee. However, with the quarterback in his last years, the Pats have been looking for a viable replacement recently. You can see more on that here – http://sportspickle.com/news/report-patriots-stockpiling-draft-picks-in-hopes-of-taking-a-quarterback-who-can-catch.html. If Brady stays healthy and in top form, though, it’ll be hard to pick anyone else over the Pats.

Kansas City Chiefs

After last year’s impressive game against the Pats in the AFC championship game, the Chiefs have been made co-favorites with the Patriots for Super Bowl LIV. Many fans considered the Chiefs the second-best team in the league last season and they weren’t far from the truth. Patrick Mahomes ended up the league MVP and if he carries last season’s form into this one, he can end up MVP again. Check out Mahomes’ insane arm strength here – https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/look-patrick-mahomes-shows-off-absurd-arm-strength-throws-football-out-of-chiefs-stadium/.

Who Are the Other Challengers?

The Rams and Saints @ 8/1 and the Colts @ 12/1 seem to be the biggest threats to the Pats and Chiefs for the 2020 Super Bowl game. With the addition of Odell Beckham Jr., the Cleveland Browns are among the biggest threats for the title as well. Originally considered a playoff team, the Browns have jumped up the list of favorites after the acquisition of Beckham. Currently going for 12/1, the Brows could pose a serious threat to the Brady-Belichick dynasty.

The Cleveland Browns were a much-improved team in 2018, and the addition of Odell Beckham Jr. in the offseason will drive them further forward. With a bit of luck, they could end up the top favorite no matter who they face.

The Biggest Outsiders

As things stand now, the Miami Dolphins are the biggest outsiders for the Super Bowl LIV. Once a dominant force in the NFL, the Dolphins have fallen out off the tracks. Currently going for 150/1, there aren’t many experts that consider Miami a favorite to win the upcoming Super Bowl. The teams closest to the Dolphins are the Bengals, Redskins, and Buffalo Bills, all with equally unimpressive chances to win the Super Bowl LIV.

The post Who’s the Favorite for the Super Bowl LIV? appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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You might think that the Patriots are going to win the Super Bowl again …

… Or that the Drew Brees will get his second ring on the tenth anniversary of his first Super Bowl win back in the 2009-2010 season when they defeated the Colts. Not only is that most likely not the case, but it’s also a sucker bet. Top online sportsbooks have the New Orleans Saints at +850 (8.5/1) and the Pats at +700 (7/1). Sure, seven to one seems like a good deal but, given the fact that the Jets and Giants are 80/1 … and the Bills are 100/1. The best value is obvious. You can spread your money around to all three of these teams and still win more than you would off the likes of the Patriots.

New York Jets

There was a lot of hope for the Jets at the beginning of the season last year. A new-look defense and a brand spanking new NFL-ready QB. But the problems started early. Injury after injury, especially at running back and on the offensive line.

But now the whole, moving the ball problem won’t be an issue as they Jets have one of the best rock-rushers in the NFL in Le’Veon Bell. After a year of rest, we should see him in top form and ready to get a ton of touches. The other determining factor as to why the Jets are the likely winners of the AFC East is the fact that Sam Darnold now has a full year under his belt and a sophomore slump is not in the picture. In fact, Darnold has all the makings of a 1984 Dan Marino. Dan the Man went 14-2, passed for 5,084 yards and 48 TDs in his sophomore year in the league. This is the bar that is set for young Sam.

Buffalo Bills

If there is any team on the rise in the NFL, it’s the Bills. And let’s be honest … there is really only one thing that’s important to Bills fans: just that they are better than the Jets.

Well, after this offseason it’s going to be a two-horse race in the AFC East to capture the division title. Josh Allen has reportedly completely eliminated all of his herky-jerky play – no more under-pressure-tourettes– he is now the model of poise. Plus, he’s got a stable of sticky-handed targets with unbeatable verticle leaps. Cole Beasley may only be 5’8, but did you know that he can dunk? And not just a little bit, the kind where the ball muffs against the rim and barely goes in … No. Beasley can slam it. Good luck deflecting passes in a jump-ball situation against that guy.

On top of it all, the Bills might just have the most improved offensive line in the entire NFL. Now, Josh Allen is going to be able to just chill out in the pocket and wait for his receivers to get open. Bills running back. They’ll also part defensive lines like the Moses and the Red Sea for Frank Gore and LeSean McCoy. Yep. With their newly balanced offense, the Bills are going to be tough to beat in 2019.

New York Giants

Not quite as likely to win their conference as the one-two punch combo over in the AFC, the Giants are still worth a look.

It’s Barkley’s second year, and we are likely to see Pat Shurmur work in a QB who can actually throw the ball with some accuracy beyond the ten-yard hash-mark (Daniel Jones). So, many have chastised the decision to take Jones over Haskins, but I’m telling you, he’s a future Hall of Famer.

Plus we know that magic is going to happen downfield with receivers, Golden Tate … and Brittan Golden … and Sterling Shepard … and Russell Shepard. Opposing secondaries are sure to get confused as to which man they are covering, which will open up tons of opportunities for busted coverage down deep throughout the season.

With three drastically improved teams in New York, at least one of them is making it to the Super Bowl.

The post At Least One Super Bowl 54 Team Comes Out of New York appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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When it comes to any sport, there ae those people who believe that they know all that is to know about the game that they are watching. They make sure that they interject everything that you say when it comes to that particular. Today on the other hand, we will give you some fun and interesting baseball facts that will their jaws drop when you tell them.

All About Baseball The Ball

It can’t be a game of baseball without the ball. That being said, our first fact is about the ball that is used in the game. According to https://www.worldbookies.com/ the life span of a major league baseball is 5-7 pitches. Such that during a game, approximately 70 balls will be used. Which is no shock as those balls are battered by the players. No wonder they don’t last long.

For the Love of the Game

The history of baseball dates its origins back to the USA. However, the game has since spread to over 100 countries world-wide. And to add on to that, Japan has the largest pro baseball league outside the USA. As we said, jaw dropping facts.

 The Ladies in the Game

All the sports these days are played by both genders. Be it basketball, netball, hockey and even baseball. However, some sports are still male dominated like baseball. Such that no woman has ever played in the major league baseball game. Effa Manley (1987-1981) who was a sports executive is the first and only inducted int o the Baseball Hall of Fame.

The Gloves

Baseball Gloves we all know that technology evolves. That is why it moved from arcade games to online casino games, soon to be available at sport bet. However, technology is not the only thing that has evolved. Baseball gloves have evolved more than any other piece of sports equipment. Its either the first gloves where really bad or baseball has some serious enthusiasts. Who wants the best for the players.

The post A Few Fun Baseball Facts appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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Before the great NFL stars became what they are today, they had to go through training since childhood. As we all know that this is where it all starts. The burning passion of a child or a teenager to be something greater. They watch the games with you every Sunday and in their mind, they tell themselves that one day, they too will be part of the NFL and make you proud. But is this the right choice or is just a child’s dream after watching too much of the NFL Pro Bowl?

Pros of Playing Football

For both child and adult alike playing football does have advantages and disadvantages? This is just like playing top usa casino games, we have the good and the bad.  One of the main advantages of playing in football for both child and adult allow the body to stay in shape. With all that running in the field you are bound to stay fit.

Also playing sports helps to teach us about teamwork. As small as it may seem, teamwork is a very important aspect that we all in need in life. And what better way to learn this than be in in a team?

Looking specifically on the children, playing sports like football help them to do better in school. This is because brain and body fitness seem to be the same thing.

Cons of Playing Football

The truth hits hard when you really want to do something. That being said, playing in the NFL can lead to a number of injuries. These include sprains, broken bones, and concussions as well. The brain injury has become a major concern for football players. These will affect adults, teens and children who play the sport. With dozens being sent to hospitals every year. But you can let your children participate in sports betting offers as long as they are 18+ years.

Dealing with minor injuries that will eventually heal is easy. However, with playing football, they can be long lasting. And this can be a big blow for players. As your career and dream can be instantly destroyed.

The post Should you let your Child play in the NFL? appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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If you have ever laid down a bet in the past, then you understand that your success rests on more than luck. Keeping an eye on your bankroll, researching the sport and knowing when to stop are some of the things that can help you enjoy making successful bets.  Although some newcomers get lucky with their first wagers, all experienced players know that there are systematic strategies that can help them produce a good yield.

Why you need betting strategies

Betting strategies generally work to help you use odds from bookmakers and manage your money in such a way that will give you an advantage that you would otherwise not have. All betting professionals understand that even the slightest strategy can work wonders in the long run. Whether it’s being able to use your budget to make larger bets or using better odds on horse racing, it’s the element of fresh thinking and control that could really bring dividends in the long run.

Although many newcomers will carelessly bet an amount on an athlete or team due to their instincts, serious bettors will rely on a system that governs what they bet on and what they choose to wager. Overall, betting strategies are systems that can help manage your betting budget and also assist you in making bets that are based on statistical evidence. Here are the top 3 betting strategies to focus on

Only bet 1 to 2% of your bankroll

While most sports bettors put a large portion of their bankroll into each bet, this should not be the case. If you want to move your sports betting to the next level, you need to limit the amount of cash that you put on each contest. This is because sports betting is a streaky activity; hence even the best bettors usually go through long losing streaks. As a professional bettor, you need to put only 1 to 2% of your bankroll into each bet

Focus on one team

In any good day, you’ll find hundreds of betting lines across multiple sports. With all these variables, it’s easy to get sucked into making several bets on multiple teams. While this is fine, if you are casual bettor, it won’t give you an opportunity to learn everything that you need to make an informed bet. If you are new to betting, it’s highly recommended that you focus on one team as this will help you gain enough knowledge about the team and reduce the time that you use to research. It’s, therefore, imperative to follow this betting guide.

Use software to develop advanced strategies

You can always buy software from companies such as Sports Insights and Swish Analytics to build your betting strategies. These software programs have huge databases including money line range, opponent rank, and team versus team among others. By using a number of variables, you can see how teams fare and spot some trends that the public do not know about. You can also find free database calculators that will give you some options.

As a beginner, if you don’t have much time or are only casually betting then focusing on some of these strategies will significantly help you.

The post The Ultimate Strategies to use When Betting appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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We are sure that you have heard stories of athletes that use steroids right? But the main question being that, if steroids of these drugs make one more swift then what seems to be the problem? Isn’t one of the reasons they require the best is to override the rest of the people competing. And what better and easier way to do that than take in steroids and the job is done for you.

Apparently not! If you are an individual with such mentality then totally obliterate them from your mind. Because you have it all wrong. Now keep on reading and know the story behind steroids and why they are an atrocity.

Professional sports and doping

According to online casinos New Zealand the word professional has a lot of connotations that it will knock into your head. And you do not want to disregard this. When in the professional space there are things that you can’t do and doping or doing drugs is certainly not one of them.

This seems perceptible but doping is banned from sports because of health problems that occur in the long run when using them. When one takes in steroids into the system truth be told you will be x2 on top of your game. But as this is happening they also weaken your immune system. The side effects might not show immediately but they will sooner or later.

And the other reason that is on a clear is the fact that drugs are illegal. We don’t need stamps on our foreheads to remember that one. It is because of the addiction that makes them dangerous just like gambling is if you are not cautious sadly, visit best united states casinos to learn more about responsible gambling. With professional sports, the name of the club means everything, because people work to put up a reputation and to be just be destroyed just like that is not an option.

But sorry to mention this but steroids although they are illegal they will always going to have a place in sports. Anyone would risk it to have their name being praised, it’s a matter of crossing your fingers not to be caught.

The post The Real Reason Why Athletes are Banned if they Take Steroids appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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Neymar’s father has dismissed reports linking his son with an exit from Paris Saint-Germain in the summer.

The Mirror claims that Neymar Sr, who also doubles as his son’s representative insists he is presently working on extending the Selecao captain’s stay with the French champions.

Reacting to a question concerning his son’s link with Real Madrid and Barcelona during an interview on Brazil’s news channel UOL Esporte, Neymar Sr, revealed there is hardly any transfer season Neymar is not linked with a top club.

“This means that he has good career management. He is always among the names (being linked). If it’s an important signing, Neymar is involved. Thank God! But this doesn’t mean he’s going to that club or another

His name has been speculated on since he was 17, since he made his professional debut. Neymar has only had two transfers in his life, but we’ve had speculation for 10 years.

The probability of him not leaving is very high. He is in the second year of his contract. So, he has three more years until the end of that contract, and we are now starting on a renewal with Paris Saint-Germain,” Neymar Sr noted even as he went down memory lane to recount his son’s experience during an assessment trip to Real Madrid. “We had been there for several days and in Spain they don’t have rice and beans. I said: ‘Man, this is difficult.’

“And we didn’t manage to eat many of the things they had there. The food in the hotel was always the same things: cured ham.

“Now we are used to that, but at the time we really missed rice and beans. Neymar seemed to be getting weaker, the guy wasn’t eating.”

However, Brazilian businessman Wagner Ribeiro took them to Robinho’s house in Madrid, who at that time was playing for the Los Blancos where they had enough rice and beans.

Read the ending of the story on https://www.legit.ng/latest/

The post Neymar’s father speaks on son’s future at PSG amid Real Madrid links appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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The NBA is one of the most iconic sports associations in the world with fans of every age and from all walks of life. With a league made up of 30 high calibre teams, spectators can be rest assured of a fast pace game whether they are watching the Eastern or Western conferences sessions. Fans and the media have witnessed a fantastic season that was beset with uncertainty at the start of the season.

Its Only Words

When it comes to betting on NBA games it is important to make sure the terminology is understood and used correctly. At best, not knowing what you’re doing could cause some embarrassment, whilst at worst a lot more than a little hurt pride could be lost.

Point Spread

In essence, betting on a basketball game is not much different to betting on a game of football and one of the best used tactics is the “point spread.” This is a simple technique that applies a handicap to one team based on their previous performance. In short this means that a strong team may have to win additional points for a spectator to win.

Totals Bets

Over/under bets are also a keen favourite where the bookie sets an expected score and bettors must bet on whether the final score will be over or under the predicted score. This is more commonly known as a “Totals” bet.

Money Line Wager

Another alternative form of bet is the Money Line Wager. This is a simple bet on the winner of the game, without levelling the field as is the case in a Point Spread. The rub with this is that if the bettor wants to bet on a likely winner, they are often required to lay a much bigger bet down.

Parlays and Teasers

Finally we come to Parlays and Teasers, sometimes also known as exotic bets. These are in effect a form of cumulative betting where the bettor must accurately guess the winner of a minimum of two games. Parlays can be used in combination with Point Spreads or a Money Line bet whist Teasers can only be used with the Point Spread bet. However, be warned, Parlays are only effective if you win all the bets laid down.

Making the Most of Online Bonus Offers

These days more and more people will take advantage of being able to make their bets online. Canadian gaming sites are of great help to new bettors navigating through their first few bets by making use of the excellent help pages, FAQs and online chats.

The other benefit to using online casinos is that many offer a wider range of casino bonuses. The bonuses can come in a variety of forms, such as Match Bonuses, which are usually awarded when a customer signs up and deposits a qualifying amount of money. However occasionally they may be awarded simply on registration, a so-called Sign-up Bonus or No Deposit Bonus. You can read more about casino bonus games and how to obtain a certain bonus on casino guide site such as https://slotscanada.ca/bonus.

Always Read the Small Print

The one thing to bear in mind is that although some of the bonuses on offer can be very generous players should be aware that any winnings made may carry additional requirements before they can be withdrawn. This may be as simple as having to make an initial deposit above a certain amount, or more commonly, playing a set amount of money through specific games on offer.

The great news is that all the terms and conditions are listed on the website, so there is always plenty of time for players to peruse the guides and get to know the rules and etiquette.

The post National Basketball Association, Betting and Bonuses appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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The superstar blueliner will be this summer’s John Tavares… but where will he end up?

The spotlight is shining brightly on pending free agents Artemi Panarin and Sergei Bobrovsky of the Columbus Blue Jackets and Matt Duchene and Mark Stone, formerly of the Ottawa Senators this season. So, hockey fans might have forgotten that two-time Norris Trophy winning defenseman Erik Karlsson is also slated to hit the open market as a free agent this upcoming offseason.

The 28-year-old smooth skating blueliner is putting up another stellar season, despite struggling early in the campaign while adjusting to his new team. Karlsson, of course, was traded to the San Jose Sharks from the Senators last offseason in a blockbuster deal that essentially signaled the End of Days in Ottawa. The moment he was traded to San Jose most fans assumed Karlsson would ink a new long-term deal with the team, but so far, he’s been non-committal about his future in the Bay Area. Will he re-sign? Or will he test the market? If you think you know where he will end up, you could place your bets at college sports betting at 888 Sport.

Here are our top five most likely destinations for Karlsson this upcoming offseason:

San Jose Sharks

This is cheating, right? The truth is… Karlsson is a pretty good fit with the Sharks. Again, despite struggling a bit early in the season, Karlsson has been a terrific addition to the Sharks’ core. He’s likely to hit the 50-point plateau for the eighth time in his career and has developed real chemistry with defensive partner Brent Burns.

The Sharks have managed to make Karlsson’s $6.5 million annual salary fit under the salary cap, but GM Doug Wilson will need to be creative this offseason if he’s to keep Karlsson around long-term. Karlsson could command $10 million per season or more on a new deal and Wilson already has pending UFAs Joe Pavelski, Joe Thornton and Gustav Nyquist to deal with. The Sharks currently have less than $500,000 in cap space, so don’t be surprised if a mid-tier blue liner like Justin Braun and his $3.8 million salary or Brendan Dillon and his $3.27 million salary end up being sacrificed in an effort to sign Karlsson.

Vancouver Canucks

Why? Mainly because Swedes are revered in Vancouver (Uh… not you, Loui Eriksson), the Canucks have money to spend and GM Jim Benning loves making a splash in free agency.

There were rumors last offseason that the Canucks were interested in Tavares, despite the team being nowhere near contender status. In previous offseasons the team was linked to Steven Stamkos and P.K. Subban. It’s safe to say that Benning loves to do some big game hunting in the offseason. Assuming Benning is working under the same ideology this upcoming offseason and because the Canucks’ blue line needs some stability moving forward, an EK65 signing in Vancouver isn’t such a farfetched idea.

The Canucks have nearly $9 million in cap space currently and they’ll need to get a deal done for Brock Boeser and Alex Elder before they can think about Karlsson, but if they can manage to rid themselves of Eriksson’s $6 million annual salary, they’ll have plenty left over for Karlsson on a long-term deal.

Vegas Golden Knights

Flashback to the 2017 NHL Trade Deadline and the stars seemed to be aligning for the expansion darlings in Vegas. The team was inexplicably on top of the Western Conference standings and was reportedly on the verge of landing Karlsson from the Sens. As we all know now, the deal fell through, Knights GM George McPhee panicked and overpaid for Tomas Tatar from the Detroit Red Wings and Karlsson played out the season with the lowly Sens.

McPhee again missed out on Karlsson last offseason, but… third time’s the charm?  The only problem now is that McPhee has added several high priced contracts to his team’s payroll since first pursuing Karlsson, including Paul Stastny at $6.5 million, Max Pacioretty at $7 million, Marc-Andre Fleury at $7 million and Mark Stone at a reported $9.5 million. Additionally, McPhee locked in blue liners Nate Schmidt and Shea Theodore at $5.95 million and $5.2 million, respectively. There’s no doubt that Karlsson would make an excellent addition to an already stacked roster, but does Vegas have the wiggle room to make it work financially?

Karlsson’s namesake William “Wild Bill” Karlsson will need a new contract this offseason. With just under $3 million in cap space and his very little dead money on the payroll, McPhee may have simply priced himself out of the Karlsson Sweepstakes.

Dallas Stars

Another team rumored to be in on Karlsson trade talks last offseason, the Dallas Stars reportedly refused to part with top prospect Miro Heiskanen in a potential deal for Karlsson and given the youngster’s rookie campaign it’s clear to see why.

Heiskanen has burst onto the scene as a teenager like few other blueliners before him. Now the Stars have a real shot at landing both Heiskanen and Karlsson, without having to sacrifice one or the other. The Stars are currently tight to the cap, but they’ll free up over $10 million this offseason by letting forwards Jason Spezza and Mats Zuccarello walk in free agency.

A defense corps featuring Karlsson, Heiskanen and John Klingberg could give teams in the tough Central Division absolute fits for years to come.

New York Rangers

Because they’re in on every big-name free agent, right? The Rangers shot their shot with 2017’s biggest free agent defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk when they inked him to a four-year deal worth $6.65 million. Since then they’ve tumbled down the NHL’s standings and the Shattenkirk signing looks unwise, to say the least. So… what’s the plan now? Double down on more big-ticket free agents.

The Rangers have been linked to Panarin, Duchene and Karlsson in rumor reports, just as they have with seemingly every big-name free agent over the past two decades. There’s reason to believe that there are better days ahead for the rebuilding Rangers, but will Karlsson be willing to wait things out? He didn’t seem keen to stick things out in Ottawa, but players throughout history have made bigger sacrifices just to play in New York City… will Karlsson be the next?

Wherever Karlsson ends up next season and beyond, it’s clear he’ll be a very, VERY rich man. He has options and it’ll be interesting to see what his motivations are beyond financial incentive. Does he want to win or simply chase that paper?

The betting odds give the Sharks the inside track, but don’t count out the Canucks, Stars, Golden Knights and Rangers.

The post The top five possible destinations for Erik Karlsson appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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Odds are already out on who will win the NCAA Basketball tournament at top sportsbooks like Sportsbetting.Ag.

But as we move closer to Conference Tournament dates, what are the probabilities of the top teams? Are the AP Polls correct or should we be looking at beyond the NCAAM rankings?

The AP Top-10

The Top-5 in both the AP Poll and the Coaches Poll are finally aligned. Tennessee leads the way on both polls, followed by Duke, the Zags, UVA, and Kentucky.

  1. Tennessee Volunteers
  2. Duke Blue Devils
  3. Gonzaga Bulldogs
  4. Virginia Cavaliers
  5. Kentucky Wildcats
  6. Michigan Wolverines
  7. Nevada Wolf Pack
  8. North Carolina Tarheels
  9. Houston Cougars
  10. Marquette Golden Eagles
The Best in the Country

Ok, so the consensus is that Tennessee is the best team in the country. So they should be the favorites to win the big tournament in March, right? Wrong. The favorite is Duke by far at +177 to win it all. The Tennessee Volunteers +750 odds are nothing to scoff at but according to NCAAB handicappers and lines-makers, they are almost seven-times less likely to win the Big Dance than the Blue Devils.

Best Odds:

  • Duke +177
  • Gonzaga +575
  • Virginia +640
  • Tennessee +750
  • Kentucky +1050

OK, Duke is No. 2 in the Polls —though they could move to No. 1 at any time— and they are the top team on the odds boards in Vegas. But do they line up at the top spot according to renowned statisticians? The answer to that is yes.

Ed Feng, a Stanford Ph.D. of applied math, has Duke at No. 1. We should pay attention to Ed’s algorithms on ThePowerRank.com because he predicted Villanova last season. He literally has this down to a science. How about the rest of the top ten?

Ed’s statistical analysis:

  1. Dukes
  2. Virginia
  3. Gonzaga
  4. Michigan State
  5. Tennessee
  6. Michigan
  7. Kentucky
  8. UNC
  9. Purdue
  10. Wisconsin

Woah … That is a vastly different Top-10 than the AP. Though the power ratings at TeamRankings look similar. Their projections in order are Duke, Gonzaga, Virginia, Michigan State, UNC, Tennessee, Kentucky, Michigan, Nevada, Purdue.

Ed Feng hasn’t put out his March Madness predictions chart yet, because we don’t have the actual seeds for each region yet. But last year he had Villanova at 29.2% to walk away as Champions. TeamRankings currently has Duke at 28%. We can assume that the Blue Devils will come in somewhere around there (depending on the starting bracket) after selection Sunday.

At This Point, Your Money Should Be on Duke

We have established that Duke is the top team in both major analytical sites, No. 1 in Las Vegas and No. 2 in the Polls (for now). So, it is clear that they are the most likely candidate to win it all this season. The Zags and the Cavs are also the top three in Vegas and my top analytical sites.

The oddball here is Tennessee. Sure, they are winning in the SEC, but their only really big win came by three points against Gonzaga. If they were playing in the Big 10 or the ACC would they be undefeated in conference? That’s highly doubtful. So why is the AP so high on them if all the statisticians and handicappers have them back around No. 6? The point here isn’t to tear the Volunteers down. They are a great basketball team; one of the best in the country. But don’t buy into the No. 1 thing and throw any early money on them winning it all in March Madness. It just isn’t going to happen. If you had to drop early money on a team with value, it would be the Spartans. At +1575 they are worth throwing a couple of dollars at to win it all, especially since they are projected at a 25.7% chance of making the Final 4 and 6.1% chance of winning it all. The Vols are at 200% less valuable at +750 and have a slightly worse probability at a 5% chance of winning.

The post Analyzing Early March Madness Favorites appeared first on Sports Pickle.

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