Turkey has opted for the S-400 Russian missile over having the F-35, its partners and technology. Is the S-400 that good? A quick answer is "are you kidding me!". In that Turkey wants access to everything Russia can build going forward over US made implements of war. Turkey is now on an Island where Russia is stationed. The war is now being fought in the manufacturing arena and Turkey is playing its card rendering it as defenseless from NATO with Russian aspirations. Turkey's gain with the US closing its military door should be a short term impact. However, "pride does cometh before any Turkish fall".
A change has occured and the battle is lost by the US military complex. The war is what really concerns all those participants on the US side of things. Russia cannot sustain a military weapons surge. The SU-57 is good to up towards 100 of its type way less than the American F-22 and far far less than F-35. Turkey may get 60 5th generation aircraft and only forty S-400 packages in a Russian deal. Military technology will languish under a Russian plan into oblivion. It can't even make a successful car at this time because South Korean can and will do that much for its own industrial path.
The US needs Israel more than it needs Turkey as a military trade partner. Every pro Turkey S-400 comment is over-shadowed by a Russian brag about what it wants to do but not about what it can do. The US gave up on Turkey too easily because the S-400 missile was a "system in the bag" even by US standards and Russia could not meet Turkish expectations in the first place. While political theater has cost Turkey its independence from what it will never recover from during modern warfare. Turkey is done and is ready to be served.
The Max has had it rough these last few months groundings and re-groundings and just now after what was obvious several months back Boeing announced a change at its leadership's Max top when it removed key leadership for a new leadership this week.
Gulf Times Reports
"Boeing’s 737 program manager, Eric Lindblad, will retire in a matter of weeks after roughly 12 months on the job, McAllister told employees in the memo.
Lindblad, a respected engineer who had also run the 777X wide-body program, has been with Boeing for about 34 years and had mentioned retiring last year, McAllister said. Taking Lindblad’s place as the lead of the 737 program and the Renton, Washington, factory will be Mark Jenks, who has been leading Boeing’s potential new mid-market airplane project, McAllister said.
Jenks faces daunting challenges, including untangling a backlog of undelivered planes, getting production back on course for planned output increases, and finishing development of the 737 MAX 10, the largest Boeing single-aisle jet, sources said. The stakes are high as the 737 is the backbone of Boeing’s profits and must generate cash for new projects like the NMA. Described as a “quiet, get-on-and-do-it” engineer, Jenks spent half of his 36-year Boeing career on the 787 and an earlier alternative that was never launched, the Sonic Cruiser."
Boeing is finally shifting its efforts to what works for the airline maker and quietly letting loose of what is becoming a disastrous lack of decision making. Look for a December 737 Max relaunch as a stop gap single aisle offering.
Back in the day when taking Econ 101, we learned about micro and macroeconomics. Somewhere in between the two topics up came the laws of supply and demand. However, the world industrial culture has changed and Boeing is that milestone which marks the changes of supply and demand laws.
If enough supply exists then prices drop. If enough demand exists then prices rise and a corporation can flourish under these models. What if supply and demand are no longer the theoretical engines which drive the market place and the Golden parachute replaces the laws of Supply and Demand? If that is true, then a MAX 737 happens. The balance sheet is no longer about the product but the corporation becomes just good enough, as the standard supporting retirement chain of growth for its execs.
Decisions are made on both the 737 and 787 programs and possibly the up and coming 777X program.
The Golden retirement parachute holds the corporate high ground. If an airplane crashes while violating engineering laws of redundancy, then the money saved is plowed into someone's portfolio later on with a "who cares yawn". The 737 Max crashes are a model for corporate success thus violating the laws of supply and demand, but giving into a higher law of "just good enough", so a gold leaf parachute can be made for someone owning a mansion on Puget Sound.
Here comes the rub, future execs can expect dismal performances on its portfolios as Boeing comes back down to earth. The Golden Parachute will melt back to the old laws of supply and demand. Boeing execs just don't care at this time while "quality management" is the sacrifice for this sentiment. Debris found on completed aircraft; having single sensor technology, or using programming falling short of just good enough are the results. Boeing is taking a hard landing at this time and factory workers and its passengers are the victims emanating out of this new corporate culture super ceding supply and demand.
King 5 photo Boeing demand is frozen
737's parked as Boeing demand struggles to await its fixes and approvals.
Financial times photo
Airbus cannot supply fast enough for its demand.
The laws of supply and demand are now split between two giant aircraft makers. A supply sided Boeing and a demand strapped Airbus. Boeing executives are floating down from making just good enough mistakes with its key product in order to squeeze more post position income for themselves.
They just don't care and they also think it's not my job to fix what the corporate culture gave them. If you think Airbus has escaped this quagmire then an observer is mistaken. Airbus has had a string of fortunate luck with its product and is not facing the same type of press Boeing experiences today emerging out of everything Boeing. Regulatory agencies are seeking higher ground as they have failed to do their job in the first place. Agencies have let the fox guard the chicken coop and now Boeing is getting a thorough beating for its corporate culture troubles. It wasn't good enough! Please cancel your dividends on the way out the Boeing big doors.
Hey, what about the GE9X engine problems found in testing?
An engine "part" wore abnormally after thousands of hours under engine distress. Other than that the engine met expectations. So the part fix will come by the end of the year while a lot of experts expect a 777X delay from this issue.
Not so fast my friend yesterday the 777X ran a runway test with GE9X engines.
Boeing 777X made its first runway debut! - YouTube
BOEING 777X FIRST TAXI TEST IN EVERETT, SEATTLE - YouTube
Typically those kinds of tests come a week before first flight. A planeload of 777X engineers was onboard to measure everything 777X under the full engine power and full braking all day long! Just watch and smile when saying on June 26th, 2019. The 777X test vomit comet is ready to fly!
Since March 2019 the 737 Max has been grounded and parked. When airlines get excited about getting Max back in the air, I get excited. Air Canada the Max engine placement forward looks to get the Max flying at the end of summer, the earliest, and no later than October of 2019. Mark your Max calendar about September 20th, 2019 as a reasonable time frame for a return to the air for the 737 Max.
Some may even be quoted as saying the Max is becoming the world' safest aircraft given all this scrutiny. The inspectors, like FAA, are looking at everything and not just the MCAS system which is blamed for the two 737 Max crashes. The angle of attack is greatly affected by its engine placement and a propensity to stall since the center of the airplane gravity has moved forward from its forward engine placement.
Computer software kept Max from stalling with only one sensor in play. If the sensor was not functioning properly bad data went to the computer pushing its nose down while gaining speed to avoid stalling. Pilots who thought they were in control pulled up and saw speed indications were at maximum speed for the aircraft. The computer drove the aircraft downward while pilots could not solve a problem they had no training in. The Max just crashed at maximum speed into the earth/water. The computer allowed the pilots some upward mobility but then overrode pilot inputs until it crashed as the reports seem to document.
The solution is reported three fold but it is important to know there will be two sensors that must always function, agree and can be overridden by the pilot via switching off MCAS functions. The pilot is given ultimate control of the aircraft under all MCAS conditions at any time. The preventable stalling situation is only assisting pilots by its MCAS and adding new indicators informing the pilot of the aircraft flying conditions. MCAS will keep the MAX in flying balance but not fly the airplane. Boeing overbuilt and under built MCAS at the same time causing the crashes. It wouldn't let go of control when the one sensor it depended on failed. It overrode pilot control for a system or condition which didn't exist on the aircraft. It always was flying fast enough and there was no stall occurring. The aircraft didn't have a chance because a monstrous system was unchecked.
The outcome will be a thorough vetting of the Max making it the safest airplane humans can build from all the checking and changing that has occurred. It will be the first "world airplane" scrutinized by every world agency signing off on its airworthiness. The A320 will not of had this much testing, nor Embraer or a Bombardier. The 737 Max should fly with extreme confidence during 2019. Its been about 90 days since grounding and it will be another ninety-days before its return to service. It's the Middle of Grounding (MoG).
The Us stepped back today and did not strike Iran for its shoot down of an American unmanned drone. The US has shifted strategy on Iran at the last moment. Let Iran implode and not explode under its own weight of insanity. Economic sanction in place and added measures will make Iran a society of Top Ramen noodles instead of Chicken rice pilaf.
Trump did not want Iranians to die for the sake of an unmanned drone shot down.
Instead, what is now learned is a bullet is now chambered for Iranian mishaps in its judgment.
If a tanker is struck or attacked or another US military asset is destroyed by Iran there should be Iranian loss of life for these misdeeds. Notice has been served it's up to Iran what happens next and has become Trump's position on the matter.
Rashness from Trump was abated in this last event from a drone downing as he pulled back 10 minutes before an American air strike was launched. Trump's already in place duel strategy of "exploding" or "imploding" gave way to implode. Iran will collapse as the nation suffers economic despair for its misdeeds. The handwriting is already on the wall and its people regardless of a religious bent is more deadly than an unweaponized US drone flying over water in the Arabian Gulf.
Iran can implode and the US can wash its hands from this demolition of an errant or rogue nation. The people of Iran should worry and take control of its own security away from Iranian ner-do' wells having a righteous cause for the reason for troublemaking. Imploding is the Iranian bomb.
Will Iran collapse under its own weight and no shot will be fired? Or does the US Just intensify its military maneuverings? Both are probably true.
For Trump to go all-in, he needs a US casualty and not a manless drone shot down.
Trump needs prominent allies publically behind him before making an Iranian incursion. (having Great Britain, India, and Saudi Arabia say go for it all at once is needed).
Trump needs Iran to attack anything that resonates with American citizens at home.
Iran needs to economically hang on for another Year.
Iran must not allow its pride to pull the war switch.
Iran doesn't have the chops to win a war with the US but can gain style points in the world court of opinion if it loses badly to the US.
What will happen is already happening, the CIA, Israel, and others are cutting the head of the Iran snake off and then looking like a victim. Just wait, Kharg island will blow-up one day and somebody will say, "oops, it wasn't me". No Iranian oil for ten years going to Russia and an Iranian economic collapse will happen not affecting the G-20 members since Iranian oil is not in its collective play. The world has enough non-Iranian oil at this time. Sorry, China and Russia or maybe North Korea will have to scramble. No war please, just mishaps!
The F-35 must really work well. That is why the US has canceled the US/Turkey F-35 program. It really works and Isreal objects to Turkey owing any of its types. The S-400 Russian deal is just a subterfuge to the real deal. Turkey must have an F-35 and the US going way out of its sales momentum for its program sold Turkey the jet, even at all!
Now it has backed out because its NATO partners object, "you can't have the S-400 and F-35 at the same time".
The US already has the S-400 figured out. It is a potential risk that can be mitigated by missiles and space coordination.
Turkey almost pulled a fast one over the US's need for greed from selling procurement before it knew how the F-35 would become so key to American defenses. The F-35 is a controlled military substance and Turkey in a country dealing from a street corner.