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In "The Book," Tango/Lichtman/Dolphin found that batters perform significantly worse when they play a game as DH than when they play a ..read more
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In "The Book," Tango/Lichtman/Dolphin found that batters perform significantly worse when they play a game as DH than when they play a ..read more
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Back in 2005, I came up with a method to try to estimate how lucky a player was in a given season (see my article in BRJ 34, here). I ..read more
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(Note: Technical post about practical methods to figure MLB distribution of player talent and regression to the mean.)------For a long time ..read more
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Sabermetric Research by Phil Birnbaum - 8M ago
This was Frank Thomas in 1993, a year in which he was American League MVP with an OPS of 1.033.                     PA   H 2B ..read more
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Back when I calculated that it took 73 NHL games for skill to catch up with luck in the standings, I was surprised it was so high. That's ..read more
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Five years ago, I calculated that in the NHL, it took 73 games until talent was as important as luck in determining the standings. But in a ..read more
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The puzzle from last post was this:  What's wrong with this argument, that a run scored has to be worth exactly the same as a run ..read more
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Last post, I argued that a defensive run saved isn't necessarily equally as valuable as an extra offensive run scored.  But I didn't ..read more
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Is it possible, as a general rule, for a run prevented to be worth more than a run scored?I don't think so. Suppose every team in the ..read more

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