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Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

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Global export loadings of liquefied natural gas last month totaled approximately 30.8 million tons on board 504 vessels, considerably higher than April 2018's pace of 24.1 million tons on 418 vessels. Approximately 31.0 million tons arrived at import terminals last month, compared to 23.1 million tons in March 2018.

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With production restrictions at Brazil’s alumina refiner Alunorte lifted, the company’s caustic soda demand is likely to increase gradually. Alunorte’s increase in demand was expected to lead to a more balanced market following a period of caustic soda length in the region, the company’s restrictions on alumina refining since early 2018, and the general decline in caustic soda consumption.

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Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

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Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

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Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

Read Full Article
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Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

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Venezuela’s political and economic crises continue to deteriorate, all while PdVSA tries to maintain steady oil flows.

On Tuesday, opposition leader Juan Guaido, accompanied by several members of the Venezuelan armed forces, called for military support to oust Nicolas Maduro.

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A sharp increase in April soybean imports into China appears to be due to seasonal stockpiling rather than any sort of stabilization in the ongoing African Swine Fever (ASF) epidemic. The month of April saw soybean arrivals accelerate to around 7.5 million tonnes, the largest monthly figure for 2019 and the largest since September 2018 when imports hit 8 million tonnes according to Chinese customs data.

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Back in 2014, amid sanctions on Iran, Turkey was importing around 100,000 barrels per day of Iranian oil. Imports doubled to over 200,000 bpd in 2017, before the re-imposition of sanctions by the United States late last year. 

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