The American Monetary Association is a non-profit venture funded by The Jason Hartman Foundation that is dedicated to educating people about the practical effects of monetary policy and government actions on inflation, deflation and freedom. Our goal is to help people prosper in the midst of uncertain economic times.
Jason Hartman talks with Dan Amerman, CFA and author of books such as Mortgage Securities and Collateralized Mortgage Obligations: Unlock The Secrets Of Mortgage Derivatives, about how a heavy handed Fed has changed how inflation and housing have correlate to each other, why the Fed reacts to quickly, what the Fed is setting interest rates up to do, and much more.
[2:45] The Federal Reserve is getting more heavy handed as years go by, and hints of a coming recession could lead to more intervention
[7:39] Housing tracked inflation better than gold until the Federal Reserve got real heavy handed after 2001
[12:28] The Fed reacts too quickly to things
[14:07] Dan's prediction of where interest rates are about to head
[19:51] Certain Fed actions and yield curve inversions seem to have a correlation
In this off-topic 10th show, Jason Hartman speaks with Dr. Gina Loudon, co-host of America Talks Live on NewsmaxTV, certified hypnotherapist, founding writer at Breitbart and official Trump campaign surrogate, spokesperson to Donald Trump's 2016 Presidential campaign and member of the President's 2020 Media Advisory Board. The two discuss the political divide that's present in today's society and whether it's worse now than it's been in the past. They also discuss the 3 types of people in the world and how President Trump is one of the most misunderstood people on the planet.
[4:04] We frequently forget to look at the WHY all this division is going on
[7:05] Are we really divided more now or is it all just sensationalized?
[12:17] The USA is actually living in the most healthy, happy, prosperous and safest times in history
[17:00] The monologue media vs the dialogue media
[18:17] The 3 types of people in today's world
[22:17] Gina says President Trump is one of the kindest and loyal people she's ever met
Jason Hartman talks with Rohit Talwar, founder of Fast Future Publishing and author of A Very Human Future, about what we can do about the large companies who seem to be in a winner take all society, how life and body hacking are going to change the world, and more.
[3:27] What is value?
[10:30] The 4 views people have of companies like Facebook and Google
[14:06] 3 types of exponential thinking
[18:24] Rohit's example of pooled insurance
[23:08] What are we going to do with the people who are displaced by technology?
[26:13] Body hacking may give us advantages in areas that won't matter in the future due to automation
[27:37] What we need to change in order to have a more optimistic future
Jason Hartman talks with Dr. David Collum, Professor at Cornell University, about what all happened in 2018 and what we can expect in 2019. Jason and David discuss the skewed nature of CPI numbers, why institutional investors were able to get in to the housing market and what could cause them to get out, the impact of the Federal government potentially bailing out states and more.
[3:03] What happened in 2018, economically speaking?
[7:35] CPI numbers started getting skewed in the 1970s
[11:00] The MIT Billion Price Project
[14:38] Is there any gain from stock buybacks?
[18:20] Ultra low rates allowed institutional investors to come in to the single family housing market
[22:40] People that criticize religion never ask the right question
Jason Hartman talks to his in-house economist Thomas about the World Economic Forum in Davos and what came out of it. Thomas gives his predictions for the next 2-3 years, why some looming deflation might be a good thing, and whether we're in a 4th leg of the Industrial Revolution.
[2:07] Thomas sees some deflation coming up and doesn't think it'll be that bad
[6:09] Price discovery happens once we've put all the unused assets to work
[9:42] As long as GDP growth + Inflation is higher than the 10 year note, the economy is okay
[17:37] Are the next 5 years going to give us good or are they bringing bad?
[18:46] We're in the midst of the 4th industrial revolution and things are good
Jason Hartman talks with Harry Dent, author of Zero Hour, about Harry's optimism about our economy, the impact the high end real estate softening is going to have on all of the housing sector, why demographics are NOT looking good for China and other Asian countries, and more.
[00:57] Why is Harry more optimistic about our future than usual?
[3:15] People in San Francisco hate big tech companies like Google because they're driving up costs beyond reason
[5:31] The high end housing market is already softening, but how far down will the slowdown trickle?
[13:28] China's demographics have them looking straight into a disaster
[18:11] The hottest coming sector for the next 10-15 years in the US
[20:58] There are 2 waves of Millennials and the 2nd hasn't entered the workforce yet
Jason Hartman talks with Nobu Su, chairman of the shipping company Today Makes Tomorrow and author of The Gold Man From the East. Back in the 2008 financial crisis, Nobu's company was a $5 million victim of Western bankers. Nobu is now fighting back, suing the institutions that took his money and trying to tell his story so others don't suffer the same fate.
[1:22] What's the status of Su's lawsuit against JP Morgan?
[9:05] How long can our country keep going like we are?
Jason Hartman talks with Parag Khanna, author of The Future is Asian and founder of FutureMap, about what's really going on in regards to the trade war and its impact on Asia (which doesn't just mean China). The two discuss the role of technology in killing jobs around the world and Asia's impact on global consumption growth.
[1:07] What is Connectography?
[5:59] The premise of The Future Is Asian
[9:09] Parag can tell you who's going to win a trade war with China
[11:03] Technology is killing jobs a lot faster than trade is
[15:33] Most of the consumption growth is coming from Asia
[19:24] International competition is getting bigger and bigger, making any missteps even costlier
[25:23] Companies are shifting entire operations overseas to take advantage of those markets, but that's not necessarily a bad thing for America
Jason Hartman talks with Matt Taibbi, contributing editor at Rolling Stone and author of books such as Griftopia and The Divide, about bubbles. The two explore how Fed policy has been leading to bubbles throughout the years, how Wall Street is designed to take advantage of the average citizen and what we can learn from the history of bubbles.
[2:47] There's a pretty decent path from Fed policy to bubbles
[7:17] How the Great Recession came into being
[11:53] Institutions have learned how to create a bubble to profit from, but then also be prepared to make money when their own bubble bursts
[16:00] As long as trades are occuring Wall Street is making money
[17:50] How investment bankers are auctioning off America's infrastructure
[22:30] What is the investor's lesson from the bubble machine?
Jason Hartman talks with Steven Blue, author of Metamorphosis, about changing your business in today's economic environment. Steven explains what's happening in the Rust Belt, the impact tariffs are having, and the state of manufacturing in the United States.
[1:48] What's going on in the Rust Belt?
[4:27] Even with even tariffs, the circumstances each country allows their companies to have makes trade unequal
[9:20] The mainstay of the US is still manufacturing, but it's eroding because of fat, happy CEOs
[16:21] Can the "Rust Belt businesses" play the same game as the high tech companies?
[19:12] A quick tip on company culture: have a Cirque du Soleil culture