Webb of Deceit
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
2h ago
Logan Webb retired the first nine Padres he faced as the Padres play in San Diego for the first time this season. He struck out four, throwing 44 pitches through three innings. The Giants lead 1-0 as East Longmeadow’s own Nick Ahmed delivered an RBI double. Update: Xander Bogaerts singles leading off the fourth inning to break up the perfect game ..read more
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Trout Goes Out
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
2h ago
After striking out the first two Angels, Corbin Burnes gets burned by Mike Trout, who takes him out of the park in center for a 1-0 Angels lead over the Orioles after half an inning. Trout didn’t pull the pitch, otherwise it might have been caught in the deeper Orioles leftfield. The Stateside Season is underway. Update: The Orioles load the bases with no one out in the bottom of the first, and score two runs on a ground out and a single to lead the Angels 2-1 at the end of one. Update: Patrick Sandoval of the Angels exits with two out in the second inning, having allowed five runs so far. The ..read more
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Valdez Grounders
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
2h ago
Framber Valdez of the Astros keeps getting in and out of trouble against the Yankees. He induced the double play ground balls through four innings. Twice they came with the bases loaded and one out to end big threats. The Houston leads New York 4-0 in the middle of the fourth inning. Update: Juan Soto breaks the bases loaded double play streak with an RBI single in the top of the fifth inning. That cuts the Astros lead to 4-1 ..read more
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Houston, We Have Lift Off
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
2h ago
The Astros load the bases with two out in the bottom of the first, and Chas McCormick delivers a single on a 3-2 pitch to drive in two runs Yainer Diaz follows with a single and Houston leads the Yankees 3-0 ..read more
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Rendon at the Top
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
5h ago
I notice Anthony Rendon leads off for the Angels on opening day. I like this move. Rendon’s power dissipated with his injuries, but his ability to get on base remained good. Putting him in the lead-off slot allows him to concentrate on getting on base. If his power returns, the Angels can always move him down in the lineup. The Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) had Rendon batting ninth as a secondary lead-off man. The Angels were not going to bat someone making that much money ninth, so this is a good tradeoff ..read more
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Beat the Streak Picks
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
8h ago
I will officially start running Beat the Streak Picks tomorrow, as most of the 2024 hitters will be bootstrapped by then. However, since there is some data from the first two games of the season, here are the Log 5 Picks and the Neural Network (NN) picks: Log5: 0.261 — Freddie Freeman batting against Miles Mikolas. 0.260 — Mookie Betts batting against Miles Mikolas. 0.251 — Xander Bogaerts batting against Logan Webb. 0.248 — Shohei Ohtani batting against Miles Mikolas. 0.246 — Luis Campusano batting against Logan Webb. NN: 0.261, 0.707 — Freddie Freeman batting against Miles Mikolas. 0.260 ..read more
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Games of the Day
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
8h ago
The Angels and Orioles kick off the official start of the 2024 season with Patrick Sandoval taking on Corbin Burnes. Sandoval took a step back in 2023 as his strikeout rate dropped and his walk rate rose, increasing his ERA by over a run compared to 2022. His spring training numbers were very much in line with his 2023 rates. Burnes also showed a similar change in walks and strikeouts, but still managed a 3+ WAR season. At 4 PM EDT, the Cardinals visit the Dodgers with Miles Mikolas facing Tyler Glasnow. Mikolas rarely faced the Dodgers in his career during the regular season. This will be his ..read more
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Happy Opening Day II!
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
12h ago
After a preview of the 2024 last week in South Korea, the 2024 MLB season begins in earnest Thursday afternoon. Rain already postponed two east coast games, but the thirteen other games get underway between 3 PM and 10 PM EDT. The Angels and Orioles get things started at 3 PM. Enjoy the day ..read more
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Division Preview, 2024 AL East
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
1d ago
The division previews finish with the AL East. To help with evaluations, a crude runs created per game is calculated from Musings Marcels projections for both batters and pitchers. I then average these for the core of the team. The nine position players, the five starting pitchers, and the closer. I weight the pitchers as 90% starters, 10% closer. The selection of players comes from the FanGraphs Roster Resource. The bottom line is a Core Winning Percentage based on the RC/G of the core batters and core pitchers using the Pythagorean method. You can see the spreadsheet with the data here. Note ..read more
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Division Preview, 2024 NL East
Baseball Musings
by David Pinto
1d ago
The division previews continue with the NL East. To help with evaluations, a crude runs created per game is calculated from Musings Marcels projections for both batters and pitchers. I then average these for the core of the team. The nine position players, the five starting pitchers, and the closer. I weight the pitchers as 90% starters, 10% closer. The selection of players comes from the FanGraphs Roster Resource. The bottom line is a Core Winning Percentage based on the RC/G of the core batters and core pitchers using the Pythagorean method. You can see the spreadsheet with the data here. No ..read more
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