I’ve been quiet for a while now due to having to work overtime and moving to a new town recently. But I figured it’s Worlds 2020 (aka 2020 League of Legends Season World Championship) and I cannot let it pass without writing a few lines about it. And groups are just the time when the teams from the weaker regions get filtered out (hello NA). Therefore, we haven’t got to the exciting part yet and I am hopefully not late to the party. So, here are my two cents on League of Legends World Championship 2020 Shanghai. What are the highlights so far, which teams over- and underperformed in the groups ..read more

Old followers of my blog would be familiar with an article I’ve released back in 2017 about the profitability of backing the draw in close games in the Premier League. The idea was borrowed from David Sumpter’s book Soccermatics. Two and a half years have passed since then, but the strategy is still alive as could be seen in some of Cassini’s from the green-all-over blog recent articles. With still not that much sports to bet on and the Premier League scheduled to resume in less than a week (on June 17th), I thought the time is right to reevaluate backing the draw in the Premier League and be ..read more

It has been already a month since the massive worldwide coronavirus outbreak has started. Most countries are in a lockdown, many businesses are fighting for survival and a huge number of workers are being laid off as a result. The crisis has terrible implications, personally for those infected by the virus and their close ones and economically for them and everyone else. One of the many consequences of the current situation is that the vast majority of sports leagues were halted with no clarity about when they are going to resume. That also means there is almost nothing to bet on. Obviousl ..read more

The team over at RebelBetting did go the extra mile to offer their customers a fair deal in the current COVID19-pandemic. Due to the significantly decreased number of games available, if you subcsribe now, RebelBetting is offering you 2 extra months of subscription for free. That is three months for the price of one and would hopefully make up for the loss of action due to the current situation. The offer applies both to the ValueBetting and the RebelBetting (arbitrage) products of the brand. With an effective monthly price of €23 / €43 respectively, you really can’t do much wrong. This is ..read more

It seems that these days the corona virus has taken over pretty much all the media and our daily lives. Today I would like to offer you some change of that routine with a review of a (relatively) new value betting company called Mercurius and their predictive Mercurius Tradr model identifying value on the football market. I will look into Mercurius’ concept for identifying value, their performance-based fee structure as well as my experience with the service. This review is probably a bit overdue, as I have informally announced it some months ago and was approached by a few readers about it ..read more

Advantage gambling has a long history beyond the realms of sports betting. The value bettor of today is the blackjack card counter of yesterday. Indeed, if you set your mind on beating a game of chance, you will see opportunities where nobody else assumed they existed. If you come up with your original idea you have a good chance of making a fortune. The stories of those who did inspire anyone who has set the goal of beating the betting markets. Today I would like to tell you the fascinating story of the men who cracked the roulette – Ed Thorp. If you a regular follower of this blog, you ha ..read more

Many of you follow or have followed a Technical Value Betting strategy throughout the years. If that applies to you, you understand the importance of a good value betting software. You are perhaps familiar with the tools you can choose from, many of which I have reviewed on this website – like Trademate Sports or the arbing tools of RebelBetting and BetBurger. Since several months this toolset has expanded with yet another new option – the ValueBetting tool by RebelBetting – which I am going to review today. The Value Betting tool offers a lot of unique features compared to the older RebelB ..read more

“In the long run we’re all dead” John Maynard Keynes I have previously written about the Closing Line Value, the benefits of taking positive expected value (EV+) bets and how to find out if your bets contain value. Indeed, if you ever want to make money in sports betting, placing EV+ bets is the only way to do it. Having established that EV+ bets are the first step in your quest for profit, what is the second one? The answer is: a staking plan. A staking plan, money management or bankroll management are terms that refer to the same concept. They all try to answer the question, how m ..read more

For League of Legends fans it is that time of the year again – Worlds 2019 is here. This year Berlin, Madrid and Paris are hosting the event, where the best LoL teams from around the world contest the most valuable LoL trophy. The Group Stage is already behind us with 8 teams having qualified for the quarterfinals, so it is the right time to have a look at how the tournament has gone so far, who were the big winners and losers and how are my LoL Elo ratings doing so far. League of Legends Worlds: 2019 World Championship A few words on the biggest LoL-tournament for those unfamiliar wi ..read more

WinnerOdds have announced a price increase on the 1st of October 2019. There are still 4 days left to lock in the old prices. WinnerOdds is a great tennis betting software based on a machine learning algorithm, returning profit in soft and sharp books alike. 30 days profit guarantee If you have considered joining in, now is the right time. With the 30 days profit guarantee (pay attention to the required number of bets) you don’t have much to lose. The post WinnerOdds Increasing Prices appeared first on The Church of Betting ..read more