Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. Former President Donald Trump’s Tuesday night announcement (and formal filing) for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination is not surprising — mostly since he teased it through the final weeks of the midterm elections — but its impact will be far-reaching. This wee ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. We still don’t know who’s in control of Congress. As of Thursday, more than 30 Congressional seats remain undecided, leaving control of the US House of Representatives still up in the air (and slowing down the maneuvering for House leadership positions). The upper cham ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. The last few weeks we’ve covered the top five gubernatorial races to watch and whether House control is still up for grabs. The final major piece of the 2022 midterm puzzle, and the biggest nail-biter, has come down to which party will control the US Senate. We’ve been ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. With eleven days left in the 2022 midterm election cycle, Republicans and Democrats are statistically tied when it comes to which party voters nationally want to see controlling the House of Representatives, but the numbers that could make the difference are all leanin ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. Gubernatorial races don’t always get the same attention as the battle for Congress in midterm elections, and especially not this year, when the race for control is so close. But governors have profound implications at the state-by-state level, especially at a time when ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. Candidate debates are starting to heat up in the final weeks before the midterm elections in most of the battleground states. Debates are usually a chance for candidates to make their final pitch to voters, highlight their opponent’s flaws and defend any open questions ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. Campaigns are left with just a handful of weeks in the midterm election cycle to define their opponents and win over voters with their closing messages. Republican candidates by and large have pivoted to crime-heavy messaging and have continued to focus on immigration ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. One of the most catastrophic hurricanes in Florida history made landfall as a Category 4 storm on Wednesday and wreaked havoc on the state as it made its way northeast. While we don’t yet know the full extent of the damage or the number of lives lost, at least 2.6 mill ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. As much as people cite polling results leading up to recent elections, there looms concern in the background that we are being misled by the numbers, as we were in 2016 and 2020. This week we’re looking at how both sides of the aisle and the pundits are thinking about ..read more

Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. With the midterm election slate basically set after this week’s final primaries (we’re looking at you Louisiana!), both parties are honing in on their general election messages. We’ll take a look at how Republicans are hoping to make immigration a top issue for the nex ..read more