Please keep up on the latest weather information.  ..read more

Today is the day after one of the most urgent tornado forecasts in years.  I validate my forecasts rather than the NWS's. If you scroll down, you'll see the forecast I made Sunday afternoon and the tornadoes reported, so far. I predict that in three days -- after the NWS's field surveys-- the number of red dots will double. Three of the existing red dots are of the violent, fatal tornado that destroyed much of Barnsdall, OK and did significant damage in Bartlesville. The Oklahoma side of the forecast was pretty good. I suspect the enhanced area (red) and significant (orange) will work ou ..read more

There is an enhanced tornado risk in the Midwest today. The yellow, hatched area has an enhanced risk of strong tornadoes. The brown area has a significant risk. The preliminary tornado forecast for Wednesday also has a significant risk of strong tornadoes.  Of course, I will update these forecasts. I'll have comments about yesterday's forecast later this morning.  ..read more

After 17 continuous hours of storm coverage, I'm going to have to end for the night.  Barnsdall, OK was struck by a violent tornado. There are reports of extensive damage and unconfirmed reports of fatalities.  Bartlesville, OK has significant damage. Don't know about injuries.  There is a chance of tornadoes in the Midwest Tuesday and a larger risk in the Midwest and South on Wednesday. Please check back in the late morning Tuesday for my updated forecasts.  ..read more

I can't emphasize how much I hate days like this. Violent tornadoes are likely which means that if people are not in shelter and they are hit, serious injuries will result. In 14-days, it will be eleven years since the last EF-5 tornado -- the longer interval ever. Unfortunately, it is possible that record will be broken today. The above is not to frighten you, it is to motivate you to make sure you are ready to take shelter if a tornado warning is issued. If you live in a mobile home and don't have a community shelter, makes plans now to get to shelter when the tornado watch i ..read more

 No significant tornado activity is expected today. Unfortunately, tomorrow (Monday) appears to be a day with major tornado potential in the central and southern Great Plains.  I want to wait until some of the models I trust come in to make a forecast, so it will be early to mid-afternoon before I post a detailed forecast for tomorrow. Please check back. And, you are welcome to follow my real-time severe/extreme weather updates on Twitter @usweatherexpert.  ..read more

Are you as sick of college protests as I? If so, you will love this video of college protesters fleeing police -- done in the style of NFL Films and the late, great John Facenda. Please click here.  ..read more

Now that this has actually happened, I'm sure homeowners insurance companies will use it as an excuse to further hike their rates.  ..read more

Important rains have fallen over the winter wheat belt the past three days to 10am CST Saturday. Here is a zoom-in to the primary producing areas.  Here are point amounts from last night's rain via the Kansas Mesonet.  ..read more

Saturday Afternoon and Evening The area in brown has a significant tornado risk. The area hatched in yellow has an enhanced risk of strong tornadoes. It will be important to monitor the weather in this area later today. Sunday and Sunday Night Happy to say the risk tornadoes and violent thunderstorms is minimal.  Monday and Monday Night Monday may be a bad one. The map depicts the combined risk of tornadoes (likely strong), hail (likely very large) and damaging thunderstorm-generated winds in one graphic. The highest risk is in the red hatched area, then the yellow hatc ..read more