PoliticalBetting
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Britain's most-read political blog and the best online resources for Betting on Politics. Read election analyst and gambler who's been running his award-winning blog since 2004.
PoliticalBetting
10h ago
Ash Regan, who holds decisive vote, has written to Yousaf with a series of demands around independence and women’s rights
Alex Salmond tells Times Radio: “If I were Humza Yousaf, I’d get drafting a very favourable answer, otherwise he’s going to be known as ‘Humza the Brief’" https://t.co/GVL6QNTWwN
— Kieran Andrews (@KieranPAndrews) April 25, 2024
When Ash Regan defected to Alba, Humza Yousaf said she was “no great loss to the SNP group”.
Now she gets to decide whether he survives as first minister or not.
Just too good. https://t.co/zcURZ7nH6m
— Kevin Schofield (@KevinASchofield) Apr ..read more
PoliticalBetting
16h ago
Scottish Green source said: "Everyone in that chamber is now more concerned with fucking with the SNP than passing good law.
"The idea that they can just pivot back to how they governed as a minority gov is just nonsense and will become clear as day immediately" https://t.co/87n5Ukmula
— Conor Matchett (@conor_matchett) April 25, 2024
Scottish Green co-leader Lorna Slater BLASTS Humza Yousaf as "weak" and as "selling out future generations"
It's a furious statement where they say the First Minister can "no longer be trusted" pic.twitter.com/fBEgXGQfPN
— Conor Matchett (@conor_matchett ..read more
PoliticalBetting
21h ago
Scenes in the Commons, where Angela Rayner has just called Rishi Sunak a "pint-size loser" #pmqs pic.twitter.com/2ujVX2RvFZ
— Alexander Brown (@AlexofBrown) April 24, 2024
I wonder if this attempt to belittle Rishi Sunak will backfire with below average height men. I know Angela Rayner would have been angry if Oliver Dowden had made a crack about her appearance.
That said Dowden did come up with a great gag at Rayner’s expense which shows how vulnerable she is.
Watch: Dowden takes a shot at Angela Rayner's living arrangements saying it is the fifth time they've faced off at PMQs and "anym ..read more
PoliticalBetting
2d ago
Biden: "It was a political deal to get rid of Roe, a political deal Trump made with the evangelical base of the Republican Party to look past his moral and character flaws in exchange for his commitment to appoint justices to SCOTUS who would overturn Roe." pic.twitter.com/s9rdQqkjbu
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) April 23, 2024
Biden in Tampa: "States all over this country from Ohio, Kansas, Michigan… women and men in every background voted in record number to protect reproductive freedom. This Nov., you can add Florida to that list… It was Trump who ripped away the rights of women in America ..read more
PoliticalBetting
2d ago
Start the flights.
Stop the boats.
That's what this bill delivers. pic.twitter.com/y93Ti3qe2k
— Rishi Sunak (@RishiSunak) April 23, 2024
While 69% of 2019 Tory voters support the Rwanda plan, they tend to think it is not good value for money (by 41% to 27%), and that is unlikely migrants will ever be deported to Rwanda (by 49% to 40%)
Data: https://t.co/A5i4xZEeeq / https://t.co/FPfISIa4gw /… pic.twitter.com/6p49lyWUv5
— YouGov (@YouGov) April 23, 2024
Exc: Rwanda flights will only carry ‘couple of dozen’ migrants each, Cleverly indicates to colleagues https://t.co/P4Lncz1X6K
— Arj S ..read more
PoliticalBetting
2d ago
Liz Truss has said she has "unfinished business" in politics, but 68% of Britons say they would not like it if she returned to frontline politics – only 9% would be pleased to see her returnhttps://t.co/46bk1DLjgr pic.twitter.com/1SKnm3drne
— YouGov (@YouGov) April 22, 2024
This is why Liz Truss remains a great lay in the next Tory leader/PM markets. I suspect those who would like her back is inflated by non Tories who want the Tories destroyed forever and see her return as the best to achieve that.
Only somebody with a fetish for sadomasochistic pain, punishment, and humiliation would wan ..read more
PoliticalBetting
4d ago
How many people go to church weekly?
Surveys say it's about 1 in 5 Americans.
Cell phone tracker data say it's actually closer to 1 in 20 Americans.
Fascinating new working paper!https://t.co/T7Hh4Ucj1w pic.twitter.com/pLmlVe1J6V
— John B. Holbein (@JohnHolbein1) April 15, 2024
Comparing survey and cell phone tracking data of religious attendance by state.
Look at Utah! pic.twitter.com/mSsXy0zHJe
— John B. Holbein (@JohnHolbein1) April 15, 2024
https://t.co/mCvlP7jw1e
— John B. Holbein (@JohnHolbein1) April 15, 2024
American think tank and pollster the Pew Research Centre have con ..read more
PoliticalBetting
4d ago
Two-thirds of Americans say someone with a felony conviction should not be allowed to be presidenthttps://t.co/LSS1iIqxrf pic.twitter.com/qAqxozVO68
— YouGov America (@YouGovAmerica) April 19, 2024
No wonder why Trump’s lawyers are trying to delay his trials until after the election. A conviction before November could see a Biden landslide.
TSE ..read more
PoliticalBetting
5d ago
The second of my threads on the forthcoming local elections looks at two southern coastal councils which should be the epitome of rock-solid Conservative territory but this year will be representative of that party’s current electoral strength or frailty.
These are among eight District Councils which normally elect by thirds but which, due to boundary changes, are having all-up elections this year.
Fareham sits between Southampton and Portsmouth. The local council (which also includes part of the Gosport constituency) has been Conservative controlled since 1999 when the Liberal Democrats were ..read more
PoliticalBetting
6d ago
Looking at the data tables I'd shade this tied poll slightly blue. Lab support draws a lot from people who didn't vote in 2021, and a Con lead emerges if you restrict it to those certain to vote. Houchen running ahead of the Con brand but still a big swing since 2021. https://t.co/syQpARSuhk
— Lewis Baston (@lewis_baston) April 20, 2024
The lack of a candidate from Reform UK could make a difference in a close election.
Tees Valley Mayoral Election VI, Reform UK Likely Voters*
Ben Houchen, Conservative 44%
Chris McEwan, Labour 6%
Simon Thornley, Liberal Democrat 5%
Don't Know 45%
*Note ..read more