Team Ratings for Round 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Panthers 12.72 14.73 -2.00 Broncos 8.12 9.07 -0.90 Storm 5.09 6.15 -1.10 Roosters 4.68 3.08 1.60 Sharks 2.10 2.94 -0.80 Cowboys 2.04 2.47 -0.40 Sea Eagles 1.88 -0.48 2.40 Warriors 1.65 -0.07 1.70 Knights 1.25 1.84 -0.60 Eels -1.50 0.14 -1.60 Raiders -1.65 -4.31 2.70 Dolphins -4.87 -7.09 2.20 Rabbitohs -5.07 0.87 -5.90 Dragons -7 ..read more

Team Ratings for Week 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Melbourne Demons 15.87 13.91 2.00 Brisbane Lions 15.74 17.47 -1.70 GWS Giants 14.07 12.60 1.50 Geelong Cats 14.00 10.50 3.50 Carlton Blues 10.52 9.73 0.80 Port Adelaide Power 9.41 8.83 0.60 Sydney Swans 9.09 9.23 -0.10 Collingwood 8.94 14.87 -5.90 Fremantle Dockers 6.08 0.40 5.70 Western Bulldogs 4.96 6.04 -1.10 Adelaide Crows 4.82 9.56 ..read more

Team Ratings for Week 8 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Crusaders 15.22 18.86 -3.60 Chiefs 13.80 13.21 0.60 Blues 13.34 12.20 1.10 Hurricanes 12.45 9.73 2.70 Brumbies 7.32 6.52 0.80 Reds 1.88 0.07 1.80 Highlanders 0.51 1.17 -0.70 Waratahs -2.69 -1.90 -0.80 Rebels -4.51 -4.59 0.10 Fijian Drua -7.37 -9.21 1.80 Western Force -8.25 -6.15 -2.10 Moana Pasifika -12.59 -10.80 -1.80   Perfo ..read more

Team Ratings for Round 6 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Panthers 12.72 14.73 -2.00 Broncos 8.29 9.07 -0.80 Storm 6.12 6.15 -0.00 Roosters 4.55 3.08 1.50 Cowboys 2.58 2.47 0.10 Warriors 2.14 -0.07 2.20 Sharks 1.54 2.94 -1.40 Sea Eagles 1.39 -0.48 1.90 Knights 1.38 1.84 -0.50 Raiders -0.85 -4.31 3.50 Eels -2.04 0.14 -2.20 Rabbitohs -4.51 0.87 -5.40 Dolphins -5.03 -7.09 2.10 Dragons -8.1 ..read more

Team Ratings for Week 6 A mea culpa this week regarding the predictions. When checking the grounds for the AFL  before posting my predictions, I didn’t use the official AFL site and failed to see that all games were in Adelaide. Consequently I had the home ground advantage wrongly specified for all but three games (the two Adelaide teams and Collingwood v Hawthorn). Thus I incorrectly predicted wins for the Dockers, Bulldogs and Tigers.  I decided to use the correct predictions this week because otherwise my ratings would get messed up for this week’s predictions. The basic method is ..read more

Team Ratings for Week 14 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Leinster 14.24 10.73 3.50 Bulls 9.42 9.00 0.40 Glasgow 8.29 4.19 4.10 Munster 7.88 10.54 -2.70 Stormers 6.35 8.93 -2.60 Ulster 3.63 7.80 -4.20 Lions 2.67 -4.26 6.90 Connacht 1.02 3.17 -2.10 Sharks -0.25 0.85 -1.10 Edinburgh -1.92 -2.26 0.30 Ospreys -2.19 -7.79 5.60 Cardiff Rugby -2.50 -5.16 2.70 Benetton -3.73 -5.12 1.40 Scarlets ..read more

Team Ratings for Round 21 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Stade Toulousain 7.14 7.24 -0.10 Stade Rochelais 5.96 6.40 -0.40 Toulon 5.45 3.11 2.30 Stade Francais 3.51 2.62 0.90 Racing 92 3.44 3.42 0.00 Bordeaux Begles 3.29 4.07 -0.80 Section Paloise 0.80 -0.44 1.20 Castres Olympique 0.03 -0.39 0.40 Montpellier -0.06 2.09 -2.20 Lyon -0.29 2.97 -3.30 Clermont -0.37 1.47 -1.80 Bayonne -0.97 -1 ..read more

Team Ratings for Week 7 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Crusaders 15.22 18.86 -3.60 Chiefs 12.78 13.21 -0.40 Blues 12.51 12.20 0.30 Hurricanes 12.45 9.73 2.70 Brumbies 6.80 6.52 0.30 Reds 1.88 0.07 1.80 Highlanders 0.51 1.17 -0.70 Waratahs -2.18 -1.90 -0.30 Rebels -5.17 -4.59 -0.60 Fijian Drua -6.71 -9.21 2.50 Western Force -7.41 -6.15 -1.30 Moana Pasifika -11.56 -10.80 -0.80   Per ..read more

Team Ratings for Round 15 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Saracens 8.43 6.82 1.60 Bristol 6.08 1.00 5.10 Leicester Tigers 4.13 6.13 -2.00 Northampton Saints 3.21 2.66 0.60 Bath 2.42 -1.26 3.70 Sale Sharks 1.66 6.46 -4.80 Harlequins 0.83 1.93 -1.10 Exeter Chiefs -0.97 -0.89 -0.10 Gloucester -2.84 -1.45 -1.40 Newcastle Falcons -12.21 -10.63 -1.60   Performance So Far So far there have be ..read more

Team Ratings for Week 5 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season. Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference Melbourne Demons 16.86 13.91 3.00 GWS Giants 14.55 12.60 1.90 Geelong Cats 12.35 10.50 1.90 Carlton Blues 11.49 9.73 1.80 Brisbane Lions 11.36 17.47 -6.10 Sydney Swans 11.09 9.23 1.90 Collingwood 10.45 14.87 -4.40 Port Adelaide Power 8.27 8.83 -0.60 Western Bulldogs 8.14 6.04 2.10 Fremantle Dockers 5.17 0.40 4.80 Adelaide Crows 4.76 9.5 ..read more