338Canada
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The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Politico and L'actualité magazine, as well as a regular political contributor..
338Canada
1y ago
A previously unpublished Léger poll fielded 7-10 July, 2023, shows a widening gap between Justin Trudeau's Liberals and Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives.
With a nine-point lead from coast to coast, the Conservative have opened their largest lead in a Léger poll since before the 2021 general election.
Léger has the Conservatives at 37% among decided voters nationally, while the Liberals stand at 28%. The NDP remains in third place with 17%.
These new numbers from Léger generally align with recent results from other pollsters (see complete list of federal polls here). On Wednesday, just hou ..read more
338Canada
1y ago
It’s an extremely hypothetical question, yet polling on the subject yields surprising results.
The Liberals and New Democratic Party have been working together for more than a year — under the terms of a deal that could extend the life of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s minority government into 2025.
Sooner or later — by the fall of that year at the latest — the two federal parties are going to have to campaign against each other.
With decreasing daylight between their policies and platforms, playful observers occasionally speculate about what would happen if the parties were to strike a de ..read more
338Canada
1y ago
With seven weeks to go until voting day, it’s Danielle Smith’s race to lose.
From the outside looking in, it appears Premier Danielle Smith is doing everything she can to lose next month’s election in Alberta.
Read this column here.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute info ..read more
338Canada
1y ago
Always a fun tie to discuss numbers and politics with my friend Érci Grenier. Follow his stuff on TheWrit.ca.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com ..read more
338Canada
1y ago
The pro-independence movement is buoyed by new polling, though it also exposed an existential challenge.
Optimism within the Quebec sovereignty movement has not been this high in years.
The Parti Québécois suffered its worst results in half a century in last October’s provincial elections. It helps to explain why the latest Léger survey has pro-independence Quebecers abuzz.
Read this column here.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125 ..read more
338Canada
1y ago
New polling finds the country skeptical but supportive of the government’s pursuit of a net-zero economy.
Jonathan Wilkinson has stopped talking about a “just transition,” which is just as well since few Canadians had even heard of it.
The buzzwords were Liberal shorthand for long promised legislation to guide the Canadian economy away from fossil fuels toward greener, sustainable jobs. Last week, the natural resources minister shared a roadmap toward that goal.
Read this column here.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de ..read more
338Canada
1y ago
It’s rare for a provincial election to grab national attention, but Canadians should be dialed in for the battle of Alberta.
On May 29, if not earlier, Premier Danielle Smith and her incumbent United Conservative Party will face off against former premier Rachel Notley and the Alberta New Democratic Party.
Read this column here.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. I ..read more
338Canada
1y ago
How often have you attended a religious service in the past three months?
If your answer is “never” you’re in the majority, according to a new survey of Canadians from EKOS Research Associates. In fact, only 19 percent of survey respondents said they’d joined a service more than once during that time frame.
Read this column here.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada ..read more
338Canada
2y ago
We are stalled in the status quo, somehow.
The re-energized Conservatives have a new leader at the helm while the Liberals are being blamed for the cost of living and rising interest rates against a stream of headlines from the Emergencies Act inquiry.
Read this column here.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep d ..read more
338Canada
2y ago
The CPC is poised to pick a new leader after a historic membership drive. But summer polling reveals worrisome trends for a party looking to defeat Justin Trudeau’s Liberals.
Read this column here.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue ..read more