Spending remained strong in March on the heels of robust income growth despite sticky inflation, according to Commerce Department data released on Friday. The data pointed to the underlying strength of the economy and provided a rebuttal of sorts to the disappointing gross domestic product figure released on Thursday, which caused a negative market reaction even though domestic final sales ..read more

The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 5% at its meeting on Tuesday, as widely expected, while continuing its restrictive monetary policy of quantitative tightening. But the central bank made a marked shift in its statement, turning from a focus on inflation to one on growth with a decidedly dovish tone. The Bank of Canada is taking the cautious approach in waiting for evidence of ..read more

The U.S. consumer price index came in above expectations for March, putting the Federal Reserve in a difficult position as it seeks to starting cutting interest rates this year. Both overall and core inflation remained unchanged at 0.4% monthly, the third consecutive month that the overall CPI index has defied what had been a downward trajectory, according to government data released ..read more

While it’s always good to identify risks to the economic outlook, too often market players mistake the condition of a few trees—there are always isolated problems—with the health of the forest. The March jobs report shows just how healthy the American labor market is, despite isolated criticisms. It is dynamic, resilient and growing. Employers added 303,000 jobs on the month as the ..read more

Until recently, the idea that economy could simultaneously have low levels of unemployment and low inflation seemed to be a fantasy. Conventional wisdom, after all, holds that when unemployment is low, businesses need to pay higher wages to attract workers, which pushes up the cost of goods and services, and, ultimately, inflation. But that logic has been turned on its head ..read more

After two years of tightening monetary policy to restore price stability, the Federal Reserve is at an inflection point as it considers interest rate cuts. With inflation easing and the labor market showing signs of softening, the Fed has signaled that it intends to cut rates three times this year. But when will those cuts start? Join RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and U.S ..read more

The Federal Reserve is looking to cut its policy rate three times this year, according to information inferred from the Summary of Economic Projections and policy statement released on Wednesday. The cuts would reduce the policy rate by 75 basis points, from the current range between 5.25% and 5.5% to 4.5% and 4.75%, by the end of the year. This is consistent with RSM’s policy forecast ..read more

Canada’s consumer price index fell to 2.8% February, marking the second consecutive month of decline and bolstering the case for the Bank of Canada to cut rates. The decline wasn’t limited to just the headline number. Core measures of inflation eased as well: Trimmed CPI, which excludes extreme price movements, fell to 3.2%, and median CPI, which measures the 50th percentile of price changes ..read more

The consumer price index increased at a robust rate in February for the second month in a row though this increase was not a surprise given the recent rise in gasoline prices, and, more importantly, the noise in housing inflation data. The top-line and core CPI numbers both grew at 0.4% on the month, in line with our forecasts. That brought the top-line year-over-year rate to 3.2 ..read more

The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate unchanged at 5% for the fifth time in a row as it continued to wait for inflation to further moderate. Canada is in the home stretch in its path to price stability. It will be a few more months before the first rate cut, which we expect to occur in June. There are ample signs that monetary policy is working. January’s headline inflation number fell below ..read more