Iran’s October Missile Raid
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
1w ago
Iran just launched what may be the largest single missile raid in history, and Israel claims no Israeli deaths. While we’re still very early in the news cycle, Jeffrey and Aaron start picking apart the information available to look at what we can learn about the state of the Iranian offensive missile arsenal, weight what ..read more
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Busting the Burevestnik
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
2w ago
Friend of the Pod Decker Eveleth found the Burevestnik deployment site, it seems! Decker, of the CNA Corporation, has tracked down what appears to be the deployment site of the 9M730 Burevestnik, aka the SSC-X-9 Skyfall, using Planet Labs satellite imagery. It appears to be about 300 miles north of Mosco, near a national-level nuclear ..read more
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Russian Entanglement
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
3M ago
Tom Schelling described escalation as a “curved slope” where you won’t be able to predict when the final drop occurs, and Ukraine targeting an early warning radar in Russia certainly is at least a few steps down that slop. Jeffrey and Aaron sit down at the intersection of “legitimate conventional military target” and “direct cause ..read more
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TYPHON, FATHER OF MONSTERS
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
3M ago
Jeffrey and his team have been OSINT’ing the heck out of the deployment of the Typhon Strategic Mid-Range Fires (SMRF) ((Typhon Smurf?)) to the Philippines, and tracked down the airport and deployment zone. Recently the U.S. Army deployed the new Typhon SMRF system to the Philippines as part of an exercise, raising the ire of ..read more
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Chabahar Shuffle
Arms Control Wonk
by Dave Schmerler
5M ago
Satellite imagery reveals the location of Irans new space launch center being built near the city of Chabahar ..read more
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Iran’s Once in a Lifetime Moment
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
6M ago
And you may find yourself not complying with the IAEA And you may find yourself in a war in another part of the world And you may find yourself making a metaphor about an automobile And you may find yourself enriching your uranium stocks, and building reactors And you may ask yourself “Well, how did I ..read more
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Russian Nuclear Doctrine in the Financial Times 2: A Conversation with William Alberque
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
6M ago
William Alberque joins Jeffrey for a friendly and deep debate about the Russian Navy nuclear documents leaked to FT, covered in our previous episode. This is a fascinating discussion not only on the documents themselves, but what they imply for Russia’s view of its own territorial integrity, what it needs to convince its soldiers to ..read more
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Jeffrey Visits the Test Site
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
8M ago
Road trip to Vegas. As part of an NGO transparency visit, NNSA opened up the Nevada Test Site to a group of international nuclear weapons experts, including one Dr. Jeffrey Lewis. Jeffrey goes through what he saw: P Tunnel, The BEEF, and the crown jewel, U1a. This was an NNSA exercise in transparency, aimed at ..read more
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Russia Buys North Korean Missiles
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
9M ago
Shoigu went shopping.  Russia is buying KN-23 and KN-25 missiles from North Korea and launching them in support of its invasion of Ukraine. Imagery from on the ground clearly shows North Korean style solid-propellant missiles. Jeffrey and Aaron talk about what this means for global ballistic missile proliferation, possible South Korean responses, and the continued ..read more
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North Korea’s ELWR Now Appears Operating
Arms Control Wonk
by Jeffrey Lewis
10M ago
Under constructing since 2010, North Korea appears to have finally begun operating a new reactor at Yongbyon that could be a significant source of plutonium for its nuclear weapons program — but many of questions remain. North Korea’s Experimental Light-Water Reactor (ELWR) is Possibly Operating Jeffrey Lewis and David Schmerler North Korea’s Experimental Light-Water Reactor ..read more
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