The Fed came in as promised, with a 25 bps rate hike, with another hike left on the table. Markets seemed to like the news, especially as Powell took to the podium to answer questions in his traditional idiotic contradictory opaque vague way. There were some key takeaways from the conference that pushed markets higher and a few blunder giveaways into the direction the Fed is leading. Fed is leaving all options on the table but signals to another rate hike on the table Fed puts more focus on Core CPI vs Head CPI ( Core CPI is ~5% vs Head of ~3%) Fed is sticking to 2% target, with prediction it ..read more

PPI came in lower than expected only showing a rise of .1% versus the estimated .2%. Some expectations were for a negative print, but PPI follows CPI with a better than expected number. This shows another cooling, which has traders yet again hoping for the Fed to not do any rate hikes the rest of the year. However, the jobs number comes in contradictory again, showing a lower than expected jobless number, coming in at 237k. This jobs number doesn't make sense as we have seen a growth in unemployment numbers. Especially when you factor in the real unemployment number ( which I covered earlier ..read more

As expected, CPI comes in lower than expected down to 4.8% versus the 5% expected. This comes coupled with lower energy prices and lower used car values which tumbled down 5%. I still doubt the accuracy of these numbers as there is conflicting data that has been reported . What does this mean for the Fed? The market is now factoring in a lower chance of a Fed rate hike coming into the next meeting. However, we are far off from the Fed's inflation goal, so another rate hike would be the smartest plan. But Powell is known for following politics over economic data. There are a lot of fed press co ..read more

If you have leaned heavy into tech this year, like myself, you are boasting some record level gains. The NDX is up 40% YTD, with stocks like #TSLA, #NVDA, #AAPL, #META leading the way with gains of over 100% so far this year. This bull run has been quite historic, but like anything in history all good things must come to an end. A rebalancing is set to come in this month, with a projected date of July 24th, and the measures to be announced July 14th. This has only been done twice in history in 1998 and 2011. Technically speaking, the rules state that if the aggregate total of all stocks with i ..read more

All eyes are once again on the core economic data this week as Core CPI and PPI year over year get reported. Last weeks jobs number left the market in limbo, as data continues to contradict itself. Job data continues show both growth and contraction at the same time, which frankly isn't possible. It is no surprise however, given that the data has been proven to be manipulated for political reasons to show a stronger economy for the Biden administration . If you think this is non factual or hyperbolic, the evidence was already proven and displayed as the Philadelphia Fed showed that key metrics ..read more

As the first trading day of September starts, the pain continues as the market slid into its 4th down day yesterday. The gains made in the previous month, seem to have been wiped away after the Fed meeting in Jackson Hole. All signs point to another bubble burst, and a 25% slide seems almost guaranteed. Tech continues to take larger hits. Especially for semi-conductor stocks as the U.S issued export trade embargoes to NVDA and AMD, to continue to hammer these stocks in a massive sell off. TRADES: I am already looking at the week ahead, putting on shorts yesterday for weekly options on TSLA, CM ..read more

Well after a much needed vacation , I am back to trading and will be blogging daily again on market news, trades, and more courses. If you don't follow my socials, I was on a six month hiatus traveling through Europe. I started my trip in London, where I spent an amazing New Years Eve. Then I headed to Mexico for a little break before heading out to Dubai. My trip spanned from Dubai to Turkey, where I spent time in Istanbul then headed to the much touted beach city, Antalya . Then I headed to Vienna, Austria then to the famous alps. Then to Lisbon, then Brussels, Bruges, Luxembourg, Prague and ..read more

With all the chaos going on with the Ukrainian war , all eyes have been pinned to news headlines and volatility. Amid all these turmoil, one might have overlooked a pretty large bullish run on TSLA. #TSLA spiked down to a 6 month low last month briefly touching her 750 range , a major pullback from a stock that was close to brushing the 1,000 level once again. This large pullback came as recalls splattered TSLA and Elon continued to make tweets ripe for SEC investigating. But the stock since touching the 6 month low, has skyrocketed back up with little resistance. Yesterday, TSLA pushed close ..read more

Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market have seen massive volumes in the last few days. Bitcoin has climbed back to the ~44k level, after touching ~32k earlier this year. This comes amid the Ukrainian war with Russia. The Ruble has been hammered, as Russia continues to receive strict banking sanctions. The Ruble (Russian's currency for those that don't know) has fallen to just less than .01 cents against the USD. The Russian financial markets have been completely hammered in the last week, as the invasion took place. Russia is scrambling to stay afloat . They have had to raise Central Bank r ..read more

Markets made history yesterday amid wild swings as the Russian invasion came to fruition. There has only been one other time in history where the S&P has hit a 6 month session low, was down -2%, and then finished up 1%. This index was not alone, as the NDX had even wilder swings, going from down over -3.5% , to rallying over 2%. Why did this happen? Well there are a few things that took place. One, historically there has been a rebound after an invasion. This is usually because the market expects a greater risk from the rumors, and then buys the news as the impact to the U.S. market is a l ..read more