The polling in the 2023 Chicago Mayoral election was not “off.” It was spot-on. Some “experts”claim the Mayoral polling was “off.” It wasn’t. Polls are not predictions. It’s a common misconception even among those who know better. Turnout matters. Weather matters. Last minute messaging matters. A candidate’s “ground game” matters, including their skill at utilizing every aspect of elections, including early voting, ballot harvesting, a mail-in ballot program, and an effective election day field organization. All are difficult to poll because they happen post-poll. Polls are not done in a vacu ..read more

April 2, 2023 For immediate release For more information Contact 312-388-1782 Chicago mayoral candidates Brandon Johnson (left) and Paul Vallas (right) shake hands before a mayoral debate at WLS-TV ABC Channel 7’s studio on Thursday. Tyler Pasciak LaRiviere/Sun-Times In the last official independent poll of the Chicago Mayoral run-off election, former Chicago School CEO Paul Vallas saw his lead over Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson widen from two points to two four points (49.6%-45.4%) from the previous poll conducted March 20-22. The percentage of respondents who said they are still ..read more

Johnson Shores Up Progressive Coalition March 23rd, 2023 For more information Contact 312-388-1782 For immediate release Photos by Kamil Krzaczynski/Getty Images (left) / Scott Olson/Getty Images (right) In the latest official independent poll of the Chicago Mayoral run-off election, former Chicago School CEO Paul Vallas saw his lead over Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson shrink from six points to two (46.3%-44.2%) from the previous poll conducted March 6-9. The percentage of respondents who said they are still undecided in the race shrank almost in half from 16% to 9.6%. According to ..read more

Top Four Candidates Within Margin of Error January 26th, 2023 For more information For immediate release Contact 312-388-1782 As the election for Chicago Mayor nears the final month, former Chicago School CEO Paul Vallas holds a very slight lead over Mayor Lori Lightfoot, according to the latest Illinois Poll. According to the poll, the top four candidates are within the margin of error for the lead. Vallas leads the pack at 19.5%, with Lightfoot at 19.2%. Congressman Jesus “Chuy” Garcia is in third place with 16.6% and Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson in fourth place at 15.5%. Busine ..read more

For more information For immediate release Contact 312-388-1782 One month from the November 6th election, Governor Bruce Rauner faces a steep, uphill climb for re-election, according to the latest Illinois Poll. If it wasn’t before, the 2018 Illinois Governor election has turned into a referendum on Rauner’s four years in office. According to the poll, the Governor is beset by not only a large deficit in the head to head contest with his Democratic opponent, but also by low personal favorability ratings, low job approval, a relatively poor showing by the rest of the statewide Republican ticke ..read more

August 16, 2018 For more information For immediate release contact Rod McCulloch 312-388-1782 On Governor’s Day at the Illinois State Fair, Democratic challenger JB Pritzker leads incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner by nearly eleven percent (41.1%-30.2%), according to the latest Illinois Poll. Conservative Party candidate State Senator Sam McCann is at 8.8% and Libertarian Party candidate Kash Jackson received 1.6% in the poll. Almost a fifth of voters (18.3%) say they remain undecided. The poll of 1208 likely Illinois general election voters was conducted August 12-14, 2018. The margi ..read more

For immediate release For more information 312-388-1782 In the first poll released after new petition filings, Democrat JB Pritzker leads incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner by 15 % in a four way race including Conservative Party candidate Sam McCann and Libertarian Kash Jackson. The poll of 1208 likely Illinois general election voters was conducted June 26-28, 2018. The margin of error is 2.8%. The poll was conducted by live callers and answered on both land lines (631) and cell phones (577). Since 2001, Victory Research has conducted a semi-monthly statewide poll called The Illinois ..read more

May 31, 2018 For more information For immediate release contact 312-388-1782 https://www.facebook.com/VictoryResearch/ www.illinoispoliticsblog.com @ilpolster On the day the Illinois General Assembly passed a state budget, incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner trails Democratic challenger JB Pritzker by fifteen points (47.3%-32.2%) according to the May edition of The Illinois Poll. The poll shows that a lingering division in the state’s Republican Party still hampers the Governor’s re-election bid. Last month’s Illinois Poll showed Pritzker with an 18% lead over Rauner. The poll of 1208 ..read more

VICTORY RESEARCH 312-388-1782 Poll of 2018 likely Illinois general election voters conducted May 22-24, 2018, Margin Of Error 2.82% If the election for Governor and Lt Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were? Governor Rauner Pritzker Dk/Und Total 32.2% 47.3% 20.5% Male 32.6% 44.8% 22.7% Female 31.9% 49.5% 18.7% Chicago 10.6% 75.6% 13.8% Cook County 25.0% 55.7% 19.3% Collars 40.6% 39.9% 19.5% Northern 42.3% 38.5% 19.2% Central 35.7% 35.3% 29.0% Southern 46.1% 29.7% 24.2% White 37.1% 42.1% 20.8% African-American 8.8% 73.6% 17.6% Latino 27.7% 48.2% 24.1% Other 41 ..read more

For more information For immediate release Contact 312-388-1782 One month from the November 6th election, Governor Bruce Rauner faces a steep, uphill climb for re-election, according to the latest Illinois Poll. If it wasn’t before, the 2018 Illinois Governor election has turned into a referendum on Rauner’s four years in office. According to the poll, the Governor is beset by not only a large deficit in the head to head contest with his Democratic opponent, but also by low personal favorability ratings, low job approval, a relatively poor showing by the rest of the statewide Republican ticke ..read more