A critical game as regards the title battle this week as Celtic travelled to the soft play centre otherwise known as Ibrox. The SFA played it safe, putting their best guy in charge, John Beaton. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in … [continue reading] The post Honest Mistakes: Leading the Witness appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. Today we wrap up the written record of this study. I have presented several analyses. They all have a consistent result. There is one club that … [continue reading] The post Patterns of Assistance For One Club appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

After an interminable international break, the SPFL Premiership was back with Celtic at Livingstone and The Rangers hosting Hibernian. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 30/03/24 The Rangers vs Hibernian Incident 1 Referee David Dickinson Game Minute 20th Score … [continue reading] The post Honest Mistakes: Week 31 – Here We Go Again appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. In the seventh written summary, I want to show you the aggregated estimated expected points impact of penalties and red cards. Summary of Impact of Red … [continue reading] The post Patterns of Assistance: What Happened in 2020? appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. For the fifth written follow-up, I consider the distribution of awards of red cards. Red Card Differentials I would expect Celtic and Rangers to broadly receive … [continue reading] The post Patterns of Assistance: The Crawford Allan Coincidences appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

On Thursday 28th March I appeared on the A Celtic State of Mind Podcast with Paul John Dykes to lay out the data behind refereeing decisions over the last few seasons insofar as it impacts the top of the SPFL Premiership. Also, the data presented is detailed and written up in a series of articles … [continue reading] The post Patterns of Assistance: TRFC Fan Rebuttal appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. For the fourth piece as a follow-up, I consider what the timing is around when penalties are awarded, and how impactful they are. I have established … [continue reading] The post Patterns of Assistance: Not All Penalties Are Equal appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. In the third written piece as follow-up, I consider how likely a penalty is to be given and what the trends are in awarding and conceding … [continue reading] The post Patterns of Assistance: The Lack of Jeopardy appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. This is the first in a series of articles putting on record the details behind the data. First up, The Rangers remarkable lack of jeopardy as … [continue reading] The post Patterns of Assistance: “An anomaly that cannot be explained” appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more

I wrote extensively on Liam Scales in the Celtic Way last week. They have an incredible offer of only £1 a month for six months. The other writers are really strong, so I recommend it. It is always a challenge to come up with a compelling view that might tell a story that accurately reflects … [continue reading] The post Big Unit, Ball Master, or Both? appeared first on Celtic By Numbers ..read more