Applying Chain-of-Thought to AI-enhanced human thinking
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
2M ago
Among the most important recent innovations for improving the value and reliability of Large Language Models are Chain-of-Thought and its derivatives including Tree-of-Thought and Graph-of-Thought.  These structures are also extremely valuable in designing effective Humans + AI workflows for better thinking. In this article I’ll provide a high-level view of Chain-of-Thought and then look at applications to AI-augmented human intelligence. Chain-of-Thought Large Language Models (LLMs) are generally excellent at text generation, but poor at any tasks that involve sequential reasoning. The l ..read more
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The long quest for news discovery apps that don’t suck
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
2M ago
Artifact, the news discovery app launched a year ago by the founders of Instagram, has just announced it is shutting down, saying “the market opportunity isn’t big enough to warrant continued investment in this way.” As pointed out in TechCrunch, Artifact “hadn’t quite defined what it wanted to be”, iterating from its initial personalized news discovery platform to include conversations about news articles and the essence of a social network.  Given my lifelong focus on information discovery I was excited by the launch of Artifact and was an early user. I found it somewhat useful in ..read more
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Just launched: 2024 Ventures Map
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
2M ago
Visual frameworks are invaluable to clarify the relationships between ideas. Among the many visual frameworks I have created are a number of visual representations of my business models, both to communicate effectively and provide greater clarify for myself. I am now entering a new phase of my work and ventures built over the last 18 months. Here is the visual framework of my current ventures, followed by an explanation of each of the elements. Click on the image for full size pdf Amplifying Cognition This sits at the center, not as the most important venture, but as the over-arching theme t ..read more
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Scenario planning in practice in an accelerating world
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
3M ago
I have been helping clients implement scenario planning for a quarter century, since 1998, in a very wide variety of contexts. Therea are situations where scenario planning is more and less applicable. Especially pertinent today, as I have noted: The greater the uncertainty, the greater the value of scenario planning. There are many factors that impact the degree of uncertainty in decision-making, including timeframes, industries, information availability, technological context, and many more. Cycles and secular shifts in uncertainty Over time there have tended to be cycles in unpredictabili ..read more
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If AI ethical advice is as good as human advice, what is its role?
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
5M ago
A very interesting paper The AI Ethicist: Fact or Fiction? reports that there is “no significant difference in the perceived value of the advice between human generated ethical advice and AI-generated ethical advice”. In fact the random (as opposed to professional ethicist or MBA student) subjects preferred the AI advice, the paper suggests because AI is generally very agreeable. The question is what is the role of AI in human ethical decisions? I have long said that ethics is a distinctly human capability and ever-more important as our actions shape the future of humanity. If AI can provide ..read more
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University education still matters, especially for generational economic mobility
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
5M ago
Formal education is critical for generational mobility, allowing young people to transcend engrained perceptions to not just learn, but demonstrate their capabilities by recognised paths. Jose Luis Alvarado, dean of the Fordham Graduate School of Education, has written an excellent counter-narrative to those saying that tertiary education doesn’t matter any more, om the deep inequity of the anti-college movement. He shares how he was told at school he shouldn’t aspire to going to college. Others didn’t see his potential, quite possibly because of his family background. I have long pointed to ..read more
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How to shape strategy and lead for 2050: SxSW Sydney session
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
5M ago
Australia’s national science agency CSIRO and leading deep-tech venture capital firm Main Sequence Ventures sponsored a 2050 content track at SxSW Sydney. It is fantastic to see truly long-term thinking in action in venture capital and tech innovation in Australia (or anywhere). As part of the track Main Sequence Ventures partner Phil Morle and I had a conversation on The Next Blur: How To Be Ready for a World of Accelerating Change, essentially how to think strategically about 2050 for entrepreneurs and business leaders.   Here are some highlights from what we covered: Framing think ..read more
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David Droga at SxSW Sydney on creativity and AI
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
5M ago
David Droga is absolutely someone I wanted to hear from at SxSW Sydney (among many other claims to fame he is the most awarded creative ever at Cannes Lion and CEO of the $16 billion agency Accenture Song). Creativity was long supposed to be last bastion of human dominion over machines,. Yet over the last 18 months that has been cast into doubt. So what is the future of creativity in a world in which AI is – in some ways at least – becoming creative? It’s best to get it in David’s words. Here are some of most interesting quotes I captured from the session. “My starting point is I don’t think a ..read more
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Future of work at SwSX Sydney: beyond productivity and amplifying human potential
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
5M ago
On Thursday I was on the Thriving in the Future of Work panel at SXSW Sydney with Derek Laney of Slack, Mary Lemonis of REA Group, and Dominic Price of Atlassian. It was a highly stimulating, rich discussion. Below are slivers of the discussion organized around just two of the major themes of the conversation, focusing on my thoughts but also including insights from the other panelists (distorted through my memory and perception):  Beyond productivity Productivity should not be the goal; productivity is a flawed concept that only measures efficiency of tasks and output, not value created ..read more
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Four pillars boards need to understand about generative AI
Ross Dawson Blog | Keynote Speaker, Futurist and Author
by Ross Dawson
6M ago
Generative AI is moving past being a buzzword to being woven into the fabric of business strategy and operations. It will undounbtedly lead to innovation, reconfiguration, and transformation across sectors. As it moves to the heart of business models and work structures, boards and executives must not only understand but adeptly navigate its complexities. Responding to the results of a survey of board members, leading business thinker Tom Davenport asks Are Boards Kidding Themselves About Generative AI? In particular he points to their claimed degree of expertise in generative AI. Source: Al ..read more
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