Monsoon Watch -2 ...2024....21st April. 1.Mascrene Highs... This is a series of Very High Pressure areas. The power house of the S.W. Monsoon forming down South.  Formations below the Normal requirement. Indicator: Negative 2. Seasonal Pre Monsoon Heat...well,  there is complaint of "Heat", but observe the real scene. The squares show the "below normal" anomaly. The Monsoon parameters see this....reality  Indicator : Normal 3. Seasonal Low Core between 1006 mb...Should normally be 1004/1006.......As mentioned, by end May/early June it normally should reach a low ..read more

 Monsoon Watch  -2 coming up at 11 pm IST Today ..read more

Weekend outlook; 20th/21st/22nd April Mumbai: Dry heat gone...warm stuffy discomfort coming ! After seeing blistering heat last week at 38/39°, the next three days will witness a drop in day temperatures to 34/35°. But, with the humidity going high to almost 80%  the actual feel ( 38°c) will be more sweaty and uncomfortable.  Warm stuffy nights at 26°c. Pune:  Possibility of patchy thundershowers in some areas. Days around 39/40°c. But humidity around 55% may make it stuffy. Above Normal nights at 23°c. Mahabaleshwar: At 33°c, Hot and warm by this hill station standards, resulti ..read more

Reasons for heavy rainfall over UAE and parts of Oman  Clarification of some doubts, Vagaries briefly explains the reasons behind the recent heavy rains and thunderstorms which lashed UAE and Oman.  The main reason - a strong trough in the jet stream (strong Western Disturbance, as we call these systems over India) which was strong enough to generate a low-pressure system near the surface close to the warm waters of the Persian Gulf.  This system had typical characteristics which are seen in weather systems in the midlatitudes, and so strong thunderstorms and rainbands formed ..read more

 U.A.E. Oman and Dubai face severe W.D. SEE WORLD WEATHER NEWS PAGE  UAE had surpassed all the paper records in 75 years  since 1949 They recv more than enough. Total rainfall of 3.5 years receives in just 1.5days Highest places received rainfall between 14.04.2024 to 17.04.02024 morning  Khatam Al shaknah in Al ain (Abu Dhabi) 259.5 mm Kalba in sharjah  239.5mm Al Marmoom in Dubai Al ain road 219.4mm Wadi Al tuwa in ras Al khaimah 205.6mm Margham in dubai 200.6mm Saih Al Salem in Dubai 198.6mm Ras Al Ghanadah in Dubai 197.1mm Al faqa in Al ain (Abu Dhabi ..read more

Forecast for Mumbai/Pune: Similar weather expected for Mumbai and Pune for Wednesday 17th April.  Mumbai: Hot daytime weather in Mumbai city and suburbs, followed by humid afternoon and evening/night. Thane district will be hotter with above 40C max. Eastern outer townships of Thane/Raigad district may see some localized thundery buildup and rain. Some reduction in daytime heat can be expected from Thursday/Friday with the early onset of sea breeze. Pune: Hot daytime temperatures, followed by thunderstorms for Pune and Ghat regions. Pune region can see similar weather even for Th ..read more

 16th April Temperatures around Mumbai Mumbai Scruz 39.7° ( April record is 42.2° on 24-4- 1952). Colaba 35.2° ( April record 40.6° on 19 -4-1955). Koparkhairne 43.0°, Chembur 37.7° Pune 40.7° with hails and thundershowers  ..read more

A Different angle of seeing the Total Solar Eclipse. Other than the one we see normally: The Moon’s shadow swept over North America, from the Pacific coast of Mexico, through Texas, and over the Great Lakes before crossing the Atlantic coast of Newfoundland, Canada. On April 8, 2024, millions of Americans saw day turn temporarily to night as the Moon passed between the Sun and Earth to create a total solar eclipse. As people in the 115-mile-wide (185-kilometer-wide) path of totality looked up and saw the Moon conceal the bright orb of the Sun and obscure all but its wispy corona,  ..read more

Today..15th  Pune : 40.8°c..with thundershowers  Mahabaleshwar 33.0°c Mumbai MMR? Mumbai and Interior in line with our weekly estimate. ------------------------------ The topic of excited discussion encouraged by the "Warming" publicity... "Wow..really hot this year..never seen this in April..etc"....But, Public memory is very short..??? 15th April 2016...from Vagaries blog ..read more

14th April...Flash News Gujarat Rains in Kutch Desert and parts of Saurashtra :  Anjar Kutch 56mm? From Vag. Gaurav Some centres of west  Saurashtra got heavy showers as well...Mahuva 22 mms And vagaries were the first few to announce this in our 13th April article ..read more