Be careful what you announce about your expected value maximization
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
10h ago
Judge Kaplan: A man willing to flip a coin as to the continued existence of life on earth. Mr. Bankman-Fried knew that Alameda was spending customer funds on risky investments, political contributions and Bahamas real estate. The funds were not his to use — Inner City Press (@innercitypress) March 28, 2024 That is via Shiraz.  Here is my CWT with Sam Bankman-Fried, here is the key passage: COWEN: Should a Benthamite be risk-neutral with regard to social welfare? BANKMAN-FRIED: Yes, that I feel very strongly about. COWEN: Okay, but let’s say there’s a game: 51 p ..read more
Visit website
Thursday assorted links
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
12h ago
1. Why do people still pay mutual fund fees? 2. Open Philanthropy update. 3. Grazie Sophie Christie on marrying an older man. 4. Antidotes to cynicism creep in academia. 5. End of the CFA zone? 6. Bird species uses symbolic gestures. The post Thursday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         Comments #6. Bird species uses symbolic gestures. E.g., flipping the ... by MikeP   ..read more
Visit website
Another Thursday link
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
14h ago
Scott Alexander rules against Lab Leak as most likely.  Of course this is not the final word, but it is fair to say that Lab Leak is not the go-to hypothesis here.  Analytical throughout. The post Another Thursday link appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         Comments Really being clear about context (history and baseline of ... by Roland …the following comments will be super rational. by I'm sure... Related Stories Is there Hope for Evidence-Based Policy? Daniel Kahneman, RIP… Opening Borders   ..read more
Visit website
Is there Hope for Evidence-Based Policy?
Marginal Revolution
by Alex Tabarrok
16h ago
Vital City magazine and the Niskanen Center’s Hypertext have a special issue on the prospects for “evidence-based policymaking.” The issue takes as its starting point, Megan Stevenson’s Cause, effect, and the structure of the social world, a survey of RCTs in criminology which concludes that the vast majority of interventions “have little to no lasting effect.” The issue features responses from John Arnold, Jonathan Rauch, Anna Harvey, Aaron Chalfin, Jennifer Doleac, myself, and others. It’s an excellent issue. My contribution focuses on the difference between changing preferences versus const ..read more
Visit website
What should I ask Brian Winter?
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
21h ago
Yes I will be doing a Conversation with him.  Here is his bio: Brian Winter is the editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly and a seasoned analyst of Latin American politics, with more than 20 years following the region’s ups and downs. He lived in Brazil, Argentina and Mexico as a correspondent for Reuters before taking on his current role in New York, where he is also the vice president of policy for the Americas Society and Council of the Americas. He has been called “the best foreign expert on Brazil of this moment” by GloboNews. Brian is the author of several books inclu ..read more
Visit website
My Conversation with Fareed Zakaria
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
23h ago
Here is the audio, video, and transcript.  You can tell he knows what an interview is!  At the same time, he understands this differs from many of his other venues and he responds with flying colors.  Here is the episode summary: Tyler sat down with Fareed to discuss what he learned from Khushwant Singh as a boy, what made his father lean towards socialism, why the Bengali intelligentsia is so left-wing, what’s stuck with him from his time at an Anglican school, what’s so special about visiting Amritsar, why he misses a more syncretic India, how his time at the Yale Political U ..read more
Visit website
Strong AI and the O-Ring model
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
1d ago
Let’s say the Sumerians were gifted strong AI, simply as an exogenous shock to a historical model.  Could they put it to much use?  Electricity would be one immediate problem, but not the only problem. Or give strong AI to a caveman. Thomas Edison had electricity, but how much could he do with strong AI?  Lord Asquith?  Adlai Stevenson? Where exactly are we in this historical sequence? The post Strong AI and the O-Ring model appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         Comments In reply to Jing. Should say “actual algorithmic research ..read more
Visit website
Wednesday assorted links
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
2d ago
1. Woman names herself after a London train station she loves very much. 2. Dylan Matthews on AI and economic growth. 3. The Minimal Effects of Union Membership on Political Attitudes. 4. The great Richard Serra has passed away (NYT). 5. A short essay on Cowen’s First Law. 6. New Erik Matson IEA book on paternalism. The post Wednesday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         Comments Nowadays, given the high body counts, many women are the ... by EdR   ..read more
Visit website
Daniel Kahneman, RIP…
Marginal Revolution
by Tyler Cowen
2d ago
Here is a WaPo obituary.  For the curious, here is my (earlier) Conversation with Daniel Kahneman.  Here are earlier posts on him. The post Daniel Kahneman, RIP… appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         Comments In reply to Takaya. At least McShay is still young. 47 as of ... by Greg Blache In reply to EdR. Agreed. We should ban it. Or at the very ... by Left Wing Bill In reply to Tom Meadowcroft. Awareness of mortality effect? ... by Rahul In reply to Rahul. When you get into your 50s and beyond, ... by Tom Meadowcroft The two public figures ..read more
Visit website
Opening Borders
Marginal Revolution
by Alex Tabarrok
2d ago
Open borders hasn’t been getting a lot of good press recently but next week Bulgaria and Romania will join the Schengen Area for air and sea travel (road travel will likely follow). No more passports or visa necessary! The Schengen Area is a remarkable achievement for a part of the world once riven by violence and rivalry. Recall: Created in 1995 with 10 countries, the Schengen Area has since grown to cover more than 1.5 million square miles, allowing almost 420 million people to move freely between 27 countries, currently. It’s important not to confuse the Schengen Area with the Eu ..read more
Visit website

Follow Marginal Revolution on FeedSpot

Continue with Google
Continue with Apple
OR