Stats Chat
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"Statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write." - H.G. Wells
Stats Chat
3d ago
Team Ratings for Round 7
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Panthers
12.72
14.73
-2.00
Broncos
8.12
9.07
-0.90
Storm
5.09
6.15
-1.10
Roosters
4.68
3.08
1.60
Sharks
2.10
2.94
-0.80
Cowboys
2.04
2.47
-0.40
Sea Eagles
1.88
-0.48
2.40
Warriors
1.65
-0.07
1.70
Knights
1.25
1.84
-0.60
Eels
-1.50
0.14
-1.60
Raiders
-1.65
-4.31
2.70
Dolphins
-4.87
-7.09
2.20
Rabbitohs
-5.07
0.87
-5.90
Dragons
-7 ..read more
Stats Chat
3d ago
Team Ratings for Week 7
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Melbourne Demons
15.87
13.91
2.00
Brisbane Lions
15.74
17.47
-1.70
GWS Giants
14.07
12.60
1.50
Geelong Cats
14.00
10.50
3.50
Carlton Blues
10.52
9.73
0.80
Port Adelaide Power
9.41
8.83
0.60
Sydney Swans
9.09
9.23
-0.10
Collingwood
8.94
14.87
-5.90
Fremantle Dockers
6.08
0.40
5.70
Western Bulldogs
4.96
6.04
-1.10
Adelaide Crows
4.82
9.56 ..read more
Stats Chat
1w ago
Team Ratings for Week 8
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Crusaders
15.22
18.86
-3.60
Chiefs
13.80
13.21
0.60
Blues
13.34
12.20
1.10
Hurricanes
12.45
9.73
2.70
Brumbies
7.32
6.52
0.80
Reds
1.88
0.07
1.80
Highlanders
0.51
1.17
-0.70
Waratahs
-2.69
-1.90
-0.80
Rebels
-4.51
-4.59
0.10
Fijian Drua
-7.37
-9.21
1.80
Western Force
-8.25
-6.15
-2.10
Moana Pasifika
-12.59
-10.80
-1.80
Perfo ..read more
Stats Chat
1w ago
Team Ratings for Round 6
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Panthers
12.72
14.73
-2.00
Broncos
8.29
9.07
-0.80
Storm
6.12
6.15
-0.00
Roosters
4.55
3.08
1.50
Cowboys
2.58
2.47
0.10
Warriors
2.14
-0.07
2.20
Sharks
1.54
2.94
-1.40
Sea Eagles
1.39
-0.48
1.90
Knights
1.38
1.84
-0.50
Raiders
-0.85
-4.31
3.50
Eels
-2.04
0.14
-2.20
Rabbitohs
-4.51
0.87
-5.40
Dolphins
-5.03
-7.09
2.10
Dragons
-8.1 ..read more
Stats Chat
1w ago
Team Ratings for Week 6
A mea culpa this week regarding the predictions. When checking the grounds for the AFL before posting my predictions, I didn’t use the official AFL site and failed to see that all games were in Adelaide. Consequently I had the home ground advantage wrongly specified for all but three games (the two Adelaide teams and Collingwood v Hawthorn). Thus I incorrectly predicted wins for the Dockers, Bulldogs and Tigers. I decided to use the correct predictions this week because otherwise my ratings would get messed up for this week’s predictions.
The basic method is ..read more
Stats Chat
2w ago
Team Ratings for Week 14
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Leinster
14.24
10.73
3.50
Bulls
9.42
9.00
0.40
Glasgow
8.29
4.19
4.10
Munster
7.88
10.54
-2.70
Stormers
6.35
8.93
-2.60
Ulster
3.63
7.80
-4.20
Lions
2.67
-4.26
6.90
Connacht
1.02
3.17
-2.10
Sharks
-0.25
0.85
-1.10
Edinburgh
-1.92
-2.26
0.30
Ospreys
-2.19
-7.79
5.60
Cardiff Rugby
-2.50
-5.16
2.70
Benetton
-3.73
-5.12
1.40
Scarlets ..read more
Stats Chat
2w ago
Team Ratings for Round 21
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Stade Toulousain
7.14
7.24
-0.10
Stade Rochelais
5.96
6.40
-0.40
Toulon
5.45
3.11
2.30
Stade Francais
3.51
2.62
0.90
Racing 92
3.44
3.42
0.00
Bordeaux Begles
3.29
4.07
-0.80
Section Paloise
0.80
-0.44
1.20
Castres Olympique
0.03
-0.39
0.40
Montpellier
-0.06
2.09
-2.20
Lyon
-0.29
2.97
-3.30
Clermont
-0.37
1.47
-1.80
Bayonne
-0.97
-1 ..read more
Stats Chat
2w ago
Team Ratings for Week 7
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Crusaders
15.22
18.86
-3.60
Chiefs
12.78
13.21
-0.40
Blues
12.51
12.20
0.30
Hurricanes
12.45
9.73
2.70
Brumbies
6.80
6.52
0.30
Reds
1.88
0.07
1.80
Highlanders
0.51
1.17
-0.70
Waratahs
-2.18
-1.90
-0.30
Rebels
-5.17
-4.59
-0.60
Fijian Drua
-6.71
-9.21
2.50
Western Force
-7.41
-6.15
-1.30
Moana Pasifika
-11.56
-10.80
-0.80
Per ..read more
Stats Chat
2w ago
Team Ratings for Round 15
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Saracens
8.43
6.82
1.60
Bristol
6.08
1.00
5.10
Leicester Tigers
4.13
6.13
-2.00
Northampton Saints
3.21
2.66
0.60
Bath
2.42
-1.26
3.70
Sale Sharks
1.66
6.46
-4.80
Harlequins
0.83
1.93
-1.10
Exeter Chiefs
-0.97
-0.89
-0.10
Gloucester
-2.84
-1.45
-1.40
Newcastle Falcons
-12.21
-10.63
-1.60
Performance So Far
So far there have be ..read more
Stats Chat
2w ago
Team Ratings for Week 5
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating
Rating at Season Start
Difference
Melbourne Demons
16.86
13.91
3.00
GWS Giants
14.55
12.60
1.90
Geelong Cats
12.35
10.50
1.90
Carlton Blues
11.49
9.73
1.80
Brisbane Lions
11.36
17.47
-6.10
Sydney Swans
11.09
9.23
1.90
Collingwood
10.45
14.87
-4.40
Port Adelaide Power
8.27
8.83
-0.60
Western Bulldogs
8.14
6.04
2.10
Fremantle Dockers
5.17
0.40
4.80
Adelaide Crows
4.76
9.5 ..read more