Individual probability, model multiplicity, and multicalibration
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Jessica Hullman
6h ago
This is Jessica. I’ve been posting recently on questions related to individual probability, i.e., assigning probability to individual events, related to a course I just wrapped up where this was a theme. For example, previously we talked about how statistical ..read more
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On that claim about “How does energy impact economic growth”
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Andrew
6h ago
Hanno Böck writes: I recently saw a graphic coming from here posted multiple times on social media that I found quite misleading in its data representation. There exist some variations of it, but they all share the same problem. The ..read more
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Let’s analyze how we analyze!
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Lizzie
1d ago
This post is by Lizzie. I thought of calling this post also: Lynx, hares and the utility of many-analyst studies, but I thought that schmeared stuff more than I mean to. I also took the photo from Paris last fall ..read more
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Routine, bread-and-butter, run-of-the-mill junk science from 2015
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Andrew
1d ago
Just a reminder of what the world was like, in simpler days: Someone writes in: In the most recent absurd embodiment paper on wobbly stools leading to wobbly relationship beliefs, Psych Sci asked for a second study with a large ..read more
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We have here two papers that are critical of the culture of academic economics. Where can they be published?
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Andrew
3d ago
The first paper is by Haynes Goddard. It’s called Promoting Intellectual Honesty in Higher Education: Addressing Cognitive Biases, Political Discourse, and Court Decisions, and it follows up on a discussion we had in this space in 2021. Back then, lots ..read more
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“Can I teach integral calculus before differential calculus?”
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Andrew
4d ago
In answer to the above question, Ted Alper writes: Not only can you, but David Bressoud argues in his book, Calculus Reordered: A History of the Big Ideas, that you should teach integral calculus first, or — maybe a little ..read more
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The piranha principle: What does it mean, exactly?
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Andrew
4d ago
Barnabas Szaszi writes: I’m contacting you now to get your advice/interpretation on the piranha theorems regarding a paper I’m writing about the generalizability of behavioral interventions. Here, I use the Piranha theorem to back my claim that average affect of ..read more
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You can learn a lot from a simple simulation (example of experimental design with unequal variances for treatment and control data)
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Andrew
5d ago
We were talking about blocking in experiments in class today, and a student asked, “When should we have unequal numbers of units in the treatment and control groups?” I replied that the simplest example is when the treatment is expensive ..read more
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Ph.D. student position on extreme precipitation in a changing cold climate! Using Bayesian modeling and computation! At the University of Iceland!
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Andrew
6d ago
Birgir Hrafnkelsson writes: The Department of Mathematics at the Faculty of Physical Sciences, University of Iceland, seeks applicants to fill a PhD student position in Statistics for a project entitled: Sub-daily extreme precipitation in a changing cold climate. The project ..read more
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Starting a new position at the University of British Columbia
Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
by Charles Margossian
6d ago
(this post is by Charles) Hello wonderful blog readers! A short post to share that starting this summer, I will continue my academic journey as an assistant professor of statistics at the University of British Columbia in Vancouver, Canada. Full ..read more
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