Avoid Crisis
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By seeing what's in front of you and thinking about what can't be seen, one constantly weighs opportunity and risk in alignment with values, beliefs, objectives, and constraints. Crisis occurs when bad things happen to the unprepared. Preparation requires thought, decision, and action. Every moment is a choice and an action. Be deliberate. Avoid crisis. Listen to Avoid..
Avoid Crisis
3M ago
On this episode Rey and Allen talk with David Passiak, founder of Creator Pro AI, about how artificial intelligence can be used as a collaboration and empowerment tool for businesses and teams rather than something to be feared. They discuss the transformative potential of AI to increase productivity and accomplish more along with the importance of using metrics focused on long-term benefits to humanity rather than short-term engagement.
Connect With The Guests:
David Passiakhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/dpassiak
https://www.creatorpro.ai/home
Connect With The Hosts:
Rey Arellano
linkedin.com/i ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
May 10, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler are alarmed at the all time high average temperature in the oceans today and focus on how artificial intelligence will help track the continuing damage to the our earth in crisis, and its impacts to our economy. The hosts question believing in the promises from appointing czars in the government over AI, to any observations that come from penguining marches of billionaires to Washington. Without changes in human behavior, the environmental crisis will continue to worsen and disrupt food supply while wreaking havoc in weather ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
April 30, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler interrupt their weekend to plead for the Biden Administration to recognize the incompetence of the Federal Reserve and to try to stop the direct path to severe recession with an effort to save First Republic Bank. They predict a sale to a large bank will not stop the crisis.
Key Points from Rey:
The war room is set up here. In real time they are working on it now.
Was the Big Bank $30 Billion injection done when they knew how deep the deposit run was?
The fair market value of the assets has to be determined.
Fi ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
April 19, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler face the sting of preparation for changes coming from Artificial Intelligence and call out a disaster is in the making now. AI is a knowing and learning entity with the power of never forgetting. Snow pack melting and heavy rains resurface Tulare Lake, and put valuable farmland under water. Inflation battle expected to worsen with China’s economic gain.
Key Points from Rey:
Regulation is always behind. Things are happening faster and faster and the legislative process is too slow.
Something big is g ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
April 12, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler walk back the financial crisis memory lane and note that Warren Buffet, an invited guest, has not shown his cards about stepping in to support the regional banks. The banking models are showing signs of stress on both the balance sheet and income statement. Artificial Intelligence may take over your job.
Key Points from Rey:
First Republic Bank suspending the preferred dividend this year is indicative of the struggle banks are facing with the cash on the balance sheet.
Banking relationships are up in the ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
April 5, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler studiously postulate that the Jamie Dimon led $30 billion balance sheet injection to First Republic Bank will stop the spread of contagion in the banking crisis.
Key Points from Rey:
First Republic Bank (FRB) had big banks come to their aid, but we still don’t know if it was a rescue
FRB has lost key employees and their earnings may suffer
Do we have too many banks, does the market need this many
The Federal Reserve's next report on M-1 will be interesting to watch.
Money may be going back to the market
To hold a shor ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
March 30, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler open up about being a real podcast for real people, and that includes being in the process of figuring out technical challenges. Strange footnote in Form 10K from SVB parent gets a drill down on what it could mean. FTX impact is not fully known yet. First callouts for guests invited to the podcast are made.
Key Points from Rey:
You have to be aware of issues and that starts you down the path of Avoiding a Crisis.
Again, calling for FDIC to raise the insured deposit limits to $500,000
We have buyers for S ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
March 24, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler caution the tentacles of contagion have spread to the world as Credit Suisse is sent to the bank penalty box. The SEC warning on Crypto and the Wells notice to Coinbase could mean a crisis in crypto is on the way. Block and Cash App are targeted by a short report. Inflation may lead to a new wave of layoffs.
Key Points from Rey:
Avoid Crisis is going to cover more than just the banking crisis, but right now it is the topic of the day.
To avoid crisis you have to look at the signs in front of you. T ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
March 16, 2023 - Avoid Crisis hosts Reynaldo Arellano and Allen Plyler point to Jerome Powell as missing the mark on the timing of interest rates and claim the acceleration of rates ultimately destroyed certain Banking Franchise values. Rey gets pointed and calls for Jerome Powell to resign, as he calls it, a “fall on the Sword”. Both agree the Fed should pause and wait for more information before embarking on more rate hikes.
Key Points from Rey:
Major moves to stabilize the financial system. Other big banks coming in to provide funds to support First Republic ..read more
Avoid Crisis
4M ago
Rey and Allen talk with Lawrence Au CEO of Pangea Social, and Eric Forst, Head of Growth, to discuss their AI-powered writing assistant that provides real-time feedback to help writers communicate in a more effective, open-minded way, with the goal of improving online discourse. They explain the technology behind it, their vision for monetizing it through a subscription model rather than ads, and their plans to expand it to support conversations beyond just individual writing.
Connect With The Guests:
Lawrence Auhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/lawrence-aulau@pangeasocial.com
Eric Forst
https://www ..read more