The Cashflow Memo 4 22 24 20 Ppgs 581KB ∙ PDF file Download Download Shownotes 00:01:05 Exhibit C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND: Discussion on recent geopolitical events affecting oil prices and their impact on global oil supply and demand. 00:04:03 Exhibit B: US GAS DEMAND / SUPPLY: Analysis of the U.S. natural gas market, including production rates and future demand projections. 00:07:16 Exhibit A: US GOV’T REVENUES AND EXPENSES: Discussion on U.S. government spending, revenue trends, and fiscal policies. 00:08:33 Page 1: TSLA - Earnings Review & FSD 12: Overview of Tesla's earnings, Fu ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 4 15 24 20 Ppgs 580KB ∙ PDF file Download Download Shownotes [00:00:00 - 00:00:54] Intro [00:00:54 - 00:02:15] Exhibit C: World Oil Supply/Demand Oil price around $85 is great for producers, likely to be sustained due to uncertainty after Iran's drone/missile launch on Israel Israel expected to respond, creating risk premium on oil prices Houthis have disrupted traffic to Suez Canal, could impact Straits of Hormuz Oil supply is higher than demand as Saudi Arabia and UAE are holding back production Russian production down ~1M barrels/day due to Ukraine situation ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 4 8 24 20 Ppgs 580KB ∙ PDF file Download Download Shownotes This episode of Telltales covers several key topics related to investing, energy markets, and the pharmaceutical industry. Here's a summary of the main discussions with timestamps for the chapters: [00:00:54] Exhibit C: WORLD OIL SUPPLY / DEMAND The hosts discuss the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, and how the withdrawal of Israeli troops could impact oil prices. Hunt mentions that with Russian oil production down by at least 1 million barrels per day due to the Ukraine conflict, and OPEC count ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 4 1 24 20 Ppgs 579KB ∙ PDF file Download Download Oil Supply/Demand and Natural Gas (Exhibits C & B) The oil demand/supply balance has tightened. Russian production is down at least 1 million barrels per day due to the Ukraine conflict. This decline in Russian supply is meaningful as they export not just crude oil but also refined products. Saudi Arabia and UAE are holding back over 1 million barrels in spare capacity. Without these cuts, we'd face oversupply. But the $85 WTI oil price is attractive. U.S. natural gas production held at 102 bcf/d in late 2023, lower th ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 3 25 24 20 Ppgs 579KB ∙ PDF file Download Download Episode 2413 Summary: The episode opened by examining the current geopolitical factors impacting global oil supply and demand. The hosts discussed how Russian refinery outages caused by Ukrainian drone attacks have tightened supply, while OPEC's ability to increase production by 3 million barrels per day looms as a bearish threat. They shifted to the natural gas market, noting forecasts for lower U.S. production in 2024 compared to late 2023. However, rising power demand from data centers and LNG exports could support pri ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 3 18 24 20 Ppgs 578KB ∙ PDF file Download Download Shownotes [00:00:00] Introduction [00:01:02] Exhibit C: World Oil Supply/Demand Discussion of rising oil prices due to drone attacks on Russian refineries and potential threats from Houthi rebels in Yemen Analysis of global oil supply numbers for 2023, highlighting oversupply situation if Saudi Arabia increases production Potential for downside in oil prices if Saudi Arabia raises output to 11 million barrels per day [00:03:29] Exhibit B: US Gas Demand/Supply Analysis of US natural gas production running at 102 ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 3 4 24 20 Ppgs 578KB ∙ PDF file Download Download [00:00:00] Intro Mike set the stage for an episode packed with energy, tech, biotech analysis and a special guest from the OakCliff Sailing Center. [00:01:14] Exhibit C: World Oil Supply/Demand Hunt discussed Saudi Arabia's potential to unleash 3 million barrels per day of held-back oil production to flex on cheating OPEC nations. A simple move with profound market implications. [00:01:58] Exhibit B: US Gas Demand/Supply Warm weather had depressed natural gas prices lately. But the team saw prices firming if production is ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 2 26 24 20 Ppgs 587KB ∙ PDF file Download Download [00:00:00] Introduction [00:00:36] Energy Sector Insights: Insights from Hunt on potential gas supply shutdowns and their impact on gas prices, as well as the implications of the U.S. government shutdown and budget negotiations. [00:01:44] World Oil Supply and Demand: Hunt provides an update on the oil market, cautioning about the potential impact of increased production from Saudi Arabia and the UAE. [00:02:12] U.S. Gas Demand and Supply: Discussion on the natural gas oversupply and the potential for wells in t ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 2 20 24 20 Ppgs 575KB ∙ PDF file Download Download In the latest episode of the Telltales investing podcast, hosts Hunt Lawrence, Jason Wallace, and Mike Nicoletti delve into a range of topics, from the intricacies of the energy sector to the valuation and technological advancements of Nvidia. World Oil Supply/Demand The hosts begin by examining the current state of oil supply and demand. Despite global issues, demand remains robust, particularly in China. The conversation highlights that the oil market's stability hinges on the production decisions of Saudi Arabia and Ab ..read more

The Cashflow Memo 2 12 24 20 Ppgs 575KB ∙ PDF file Download Download In the latest episode of the Telltales investing podcast, hosted by Hunt Lawrence, Jason Wallace, and Mike Nicoletti, a rich tapestry of topics was woven, touching upon the intricate interplay between geopolitics, macroeconomics, energy, technology, and individual company performances. The episode, intended for informational purposes, encourages listeners to conduct their own research before making investment decisions. World Oil Supply and Demand was the first point of discussion, highlighting the disciplined production ..read more