When it came to it, the impeachment vote against Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua on 8 October was decisive in the house, with 44 voting against, 281 in favour, 1 abstention and only 18 absent (many tactically).  Apart from his allies in Nairobi and Central Province, Gachagua's main defenders were the Wiper MPs, who had recently done a deal to back him, as a first step to a new political arangement as ODM moved closer to UDA.  Elsewhere, there were few ready to speak for him ..read more

The first regional study for a while. Needed some further research and there may still be some gaps. northern_political_history__2024_.pdf File Size: 1973 kb File Type: pdf Download File ..read more

Fully refreshed review of Ukambani - last version was from 2021. This is now current, with maps, errors fixed and the 2022 election result included akamba_political_history__2024_.pdf File Size: 2120 kb File Type: pdf Download File ..read more

Back with Number 16 in the seies, one of the tougher ones: South Nyanza (today Homa Bay and Migori). A few learnings for me as I put this together.  south_nyanza_political_history__2024_.pdf File Size: 1753 kb File Type: pdf Download File ..read more

The latest instalment - No.15 - in the series covers the political history of Taita-Taveta District and County since 1957. taita-taveta_political_history__2024_.pdf File Size: 1129 kb File Type: pdf Download File ..read more

No.14 in the series; a deep dive into the history of Kakanega and (after 1989) Vihiga districts, from the perspective of their political representation. Including a basic analsyis of the 2022 election results in the region. kakamega___vihiga_political_history__2023_.pdf File Size: 1500 kb File Type: pdf Download File ..read more

Back with No.,13 in this series on the political history of the rural Mijikenda of Kilifi and Kwale. Long and complex and still a few loose ends. mikijenda_political_history__2023_.pdf File Size: 1227 kb File Type: pdf Download File ..read more

Given its role as one of a dozen grounds for Azimio's contesting the 2022 presidential results, the four way match analysis proved quite popular, creating a second peak of interest last week and driving unique visits for the month over 10,000. Which was nice. Some small updates once more, the main addition being Tana River senator and women rep results (complete) and some more partials ..read more

The Ruto campaign hacking allegations, which became public on 15th February, were initially followed up in many media outlets around the world. It also notable that Odinga, the day before, made reference to "hiring ethical hackers" which may have been an attempt to pre-empt the story he knew was about to break: As the original Haaretz site is behind a partial paywall (I could read it initially, but now cannot), other links include: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/15/political-aides-hacked-by-team-jorge-in-run-up-to-kenyan-election https://www.occrp.org/en/storykillers/hacks-bots-a ..read more

Breaking news: An extremely detailed and specific set of allegations about an Israeli private sector cyber-intelligence team for hire, which appears to have been actively hacking the Ruto campaign during the election for Azimio and  - by implication if not exact claim - to have played a part in the recent campaign to manufacture fake results and cast doubt on the presidential election results. Read and judge for yourselves (with thanks to a friend for passing this on): https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/security-aviation/2023-02-15/ty-article-magazine/.premium/the-israeli-hackers-who ..read more