The Uncounted Losses to Russia's Air Force
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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6M ago
For now, despite the Kremlin's dysfunctional decisions, Russia's defensive positions in Ukraine are still secure. But for how long? The cumulative pressure of bad choices is mounting and the problems endemic to Russia's campaign in Ukraine are likely to worsen ..read more
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The Russo-Ukrainian War Has Bolstered Ukraine's Nonstate Alliance Network
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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7M ago
Civilian-based resistance in Ukraine began in the first hours of Russia's 2022 invasion. Civilians' actions have potential value in helping ensure victory by regaining territorial integrity and maintaining political sovereignty. And this war offers insight into what civilian contributions in future wars could look like ..read more
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Ukrainian Civilians' Contributions to Resisting Russia
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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7M ago
Civilian-based resistance in Ukraine began in the first hours of Russia's 2022 invasion. Civilians' actions have potential value in helping ensure victory by regaining territorial integrity and maintaining political sovereignty. And this war offers insight into what civilian contributions in future wars could look like ..read more
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All Is Not Well on Russian Front Lines
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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8M ago
For now, despite the Kremlin's dysfunctional decisions, Russia's defensive positions in Ukraine are still secure. But for how long? The cumulative pressure of bad choices is mounting and the problems endemic to Russia's campaign in Ukraine are likely to worsen ..read more
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The Wagner Group Will Live to Fight Another Day
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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9M ago
Yevgeny Prigozhin led Wagner Group fighters in what appeared to be a direct challenge to the Russian military establishment. But it's unlikely that the Kremlin will dissolve Wagner's paramilitary enterprise. It is too significant to Russia's greater geostrategic aims and economic strength ..read more
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What F-16s Will (and Won't) Do for Ukraine
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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9M ago
Ukraine may soon launch a counteroffensive against Russian forces entrenched in eastern and southern Ukraine. We consider three ways this counteroffensive might end and their implications for the future ..read more
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The Russian Military's Looming Personnel Crises of Retention and Veteran Mental Heath
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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9M ago
Moscow's desire for additional fighters in Ukraine has created a breeding ground for Russian private military company (PMC) development. This explosion of what are essentially private armies is not only shaping the battlefield in Ukraine; it could have devastating impacts long after this conflict ends ..read more
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How Might Ukraine's Counteroffensive End, and What Comes After?
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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9M ago
Ukraine may soon launch a counteroffensive against Russian forces entrenched in eastern and southern Ukraine. We consider three ways this counteroffensive might end and their implications for the future ..read more
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Ukraine Is a Breeding Ground for Russian PMCs
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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9M ago
Moscow's desire for additional fighters in Ukraine has created a breeding ground for Russian private military company (PMC) development. This explosion of what are essentially private armies is not only shaping the battlefield in Ukraine; it could have devastating impacts long after this conflict ends ..read more
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Russian Troops Know How Little They Mean to Putin
RAND Corporation » Russia's War in Ukraine
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1y ago
Russian President Vladimir Putin has put the world on notice that Russia might resume nuclear explosive testing. He may see this as bolstering his scare tactics over Ukraine by signaling a possible willingness to use nuclear weapons. While testing could also help Russia improve its nuclear arms, politics rather than technology are likely to drive any decision to test ..read more
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