Cultivate Labs Blog
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Cultivate Labs' blog covers internal enterprise crowdsourcing topics, such as idea crowdfunding, prediction markets, and company and product updates. Cultivate Labs is a research firm that builds crowdsourced forecasting and internal crowdfunding programs for private sector organizations, governments, and institutions worldwide.
Cultivate Labs Blog
1M ago
Our AI forecast rationale summaries have been updated to include citations, so you can see the original context of the forecast and rationale contributed ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
1M ago
Crowdsourced forecasting is the process of soliciting quantitative forecasts (e.g. probabilities) about future events from a large group of people, then aggregating them into a "crowd" forecast. By harnessing the collective intelligence of a large, diverse group of people, crowd forecasting gives an analyst or decision maker valuable outside perspectives to consider ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
1M ago
Cultivate supports government national security communities and multinational organizations in implementing crowdsourced forecasting. This methodology builds a cycle of information, in which experts can tap into the collective intelligence of their organization to bolster decision analysis ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
4M ago
With the rise of AI, disinformation in mass media will only continue to grow and evolve. Turning our attention to crowd forecasting is one way that we can better understand, monitor, and respond to global uncertainty – together ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
5M ago
We released a new feature on our forecasting platform: AI-powered forecast rationale summaries using Anthropic’s Claude2. Read about how forecasters and analysts are already using this capability ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
5M ago
New whitepaper explores how to use AI across different aspects of crowdsourced forecasting, including question development, reporting, engagement, and forecasting ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
6M ago
As a company, we hold small group forecasting sessions regularly. We’ve learned a few tactics to help other teams surface diverse viewpoints and avoid groupthink. Here are some recommendations for any teams forecasting together ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
8M ago
We are launching a new service offering "issue decomposition" workshops - new way of methodically understanding how the future will impact your most important decisions and policies ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
9M ago
Cultivate has released a new “request for response” capability that allows you to send any audience a simple survey, in which they can submit forecasts that will automatically get aggregated with your crowd’s on your Forecasts platform ..read more
Cultivate Labs Blog
11M ago
We recently launched an update to our binary question interface – it will now show both “yes” and “no” answer options, rather than a single “yes” option. When you change the probability for one answer, the other will automatically update to ensure the probabilities always add to 100 ..read more