Matrix Variate Regression as a Tool for Insurers
Variance
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5d ago
This paper introduces matrix variate regression for modeling three-way data responses and uses losses from natural hazards across space and time as an application example ..read more
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Modeling of Fire Contagion in Farms Insurance
Variance
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5d ago
Based on the distances between structures on the same farm, we propose a new pricing approach that considers fire propagation ..read more
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A Sparse Deep Two-part Model for Nonlife Insurance Claims
Variance
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1w ago
Our paper introduces a sparse deep learning method to enhance the frequency-severity modeling. It allows for frequency-severity dependence and variable selection simultaneously in neural net based predictive models ..read more
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Credibility theory using fuzzy numbers
Variance
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2w ago
This paper describes how to apply fuzzy set theory to actuarial credibility problems when the information about the loss model or its parameters is imprecise or vague ..read more
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Statistical Models and Algorithms for Assessing Robustness and Reliability of Networks with Applications in Cybersecurity Insurance
Variance
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1M ago
This paper proposes a modified Wiener process model with statistical test procedures to compare the risks of complex cyber networks in the cybersecurity insurance domain ..read more
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A Response to Dahms’s Discussion Published in Variance Vol. 14, Issue 1, 2021
Variance
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3M ago
This letter responds to the inappropriate assessment published in Variance Vol. 14, Issue 1, 2021 ..read more
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Order statistic exceedance probability sensitivities to alternative model assumptions
Variance
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3M ago
We discuss the order statistics for frequency and severity models applied in reinsurance applications, also the sensitivity of the order statistic exceedance probabilities using examples with implications for pricing metrics ..read more
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Multi-Peril Frequency Credibility Premium via Shared Random Effects
Variance
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3M ago
We introduce a shared random effects model to capture unobserved heterogeneity in risks and induce a natural dependence structure among the multiple perils, which leads to multi-peril credibility premium formula ..read more
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Simulation Methods for Compound Distributions
Variance
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5M ago
This paper illustrates how variance reduction methods, such as importance sampling, conditioning and stratified sampling, and their combinations, can be applied to effectively simulate compound distributions ..read more
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The Roulette Wheel and the Drunken Sailor: Principal-Agent Theory and its Ramifications for Insurance and Reinsurance Risk Management
Variance
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7M ago
We should adopt key ideas from Principal-Agent Theory into our foundations of insurance risk, resulting in a more expansive and more realistic framework for understanding insurance risk ..read more
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