Geopolitics might not thwart a recovery in bank shares
Capital Economics
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6d ago
All nine constituents of the S&P 500 diversified banks index have now released their earnings reports for Q1. While the performance of their shares has typically been underwhelming of late, in some ..read more
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Protectionism seen as a vote winner by both parties
Capital Economics
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6d ago
In a campaign stop at a union headquarters this week, President Joe Biden called for a tripling of the tariffs on steel imports from China to 25%, from the current 7.5% rate, originally introduced by ..read more
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Nigeria naira rebound, SA election and late rate cuts
Capital Economics
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6d ago
The naira’s surprising recent recovery appears to have been driven by FX reserve sales and the currency risks becoming overvalued again. We think renewed naira weakness is on the cards over the rest ..read more
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Dollar in consolidation mode, despite Middle East escalation
Capital Economics
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6d ago
Financial markets have largely taken the latest escalation in the Middle East over the past week in stride. Having spiked from $87pb to $90pb on the news of today’s attack, Brent crude oil has now ..read more
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Uganda: strong recovery set to weaken
Capital Economics
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2w ago
Uganda’s strong recent economic recovery is facing domestic and external headwinds, including international condemnation of the government’s Anti-Homosexuality Bill – and the associated impact on ..read more
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Tough times for Japanese equities may not last
Capital Economics
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2w ago
We expect Japanese equities to do quite well this year, as hype around artificial intelligence proves a more powerful catalyst than the headwind we anticipate from a stronger yen ..read more
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Falling full-time employment not a sign of weakness
Capital Economics
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2w ago
The rise in part-time employment is not a sign of economic weakness, but instead reflects the large inflow of prime-age women into the labour force, who have been the big beneficiaries of the post ..read more
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A close race for fourth place
Capital Economics
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2w ago
The slump in the yen has resulted in Germany overtaking Japan as the world’s 3rd largest economy at market exchange rates. We expect Japan to overtake Germany yet again in the early 2030s as the yen ..read more
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Baltimore tragedy not a major issue for energy flows
Capital Economics
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3w ago
The collapse of the Francis Scott Key bridge in Baltimore this week is unlikely to have a large impact on global energy flows. For oil, flows of crude and refined products to or from Baltimore are ..read more
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Japan Activity & Labour Market (Feb.) & Tokyo CPI (Mar.)
Capital Economics
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3w ago
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