Impacts of the Transition to the Expected Loss Model on the Portuguese Banking Sector
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
This study addresses the implementation of the International Financial Reporting Standard 9 (IFRS 9) in the European Union as of 1 January 2018, replacing the International Accounting Standard 39 (IAS 39) to introduce a new model for recognizing Loan Loss Provisions (LLP), based on Expected Credit Loss (ECL). This model responds to criticisms of the former Incurred Credit Loss (ICL) system for its inability to reflect credit losses in a timely manner, potentially exacerbating the effects of financial crises. This study focuses on the effects of adopting the ECL model on the level of Loan Loss ..read more
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Testing and Ranking of Asset Pricing Models Using the GRS Statistic
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
Supplementary File 1 (ZIP, 1226 KiB) We clear up an ambiguity in the statement of the GRS statistic by providing the correct formula of the GRS statistic and the first proof of its F-distribution in the general multiple-factor case. Casual generalization of the Sharpe-ratio-based interpretation of the single-factor GRS statistic to the multiple-portfolio case makes experts in asset pricing studies susceptible to an incorrect formula. We illustrate the consequences of using the incorrect formulas that the ambiguity in GRS leads to—over-rejecting and misranking asset pricing models. In addition ..read more
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What Drives Asset Returns Comovements? Some Empirical Evidence from US Dollar and Global Stock Returns (2000–2023)
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
This paper focuses on returns comovements in global stock portfolios including the US Dollar as a defensive asset. The main contribution is the selection of a large set of macroeconomic and financial variables as potential drivers of these comovements and the emphasis on the predictive accuracy of proposed econometric models. One-year US Expected Inflation stands out as the most important predictor, while models including a larger number of variables yield significant predictive gains. Larger forecast errors, due to parameters instabilities, are documented during major financial crises and the ..read more
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Do ESG Factors Prove Significant Predictors of Systematic and Downside Risks in the Russian Market after Controlling for Stock Liquidity?
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
This paper reveals the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scores on systematic and downside risks in the Russian stock market. We analyze the influence of a broad set of ESG factors controlling for stock liquidity, financial indicators of companies, and macroeconomic indicators. The period under consideration is from 2013 to 2021. The methodology of our research is based on regression analysis with multiplicative variables to reveal the changes induced by the COVID-19 pandemic. We obtain several novel results. Social responsibility is one of the most significant non-fundamen ..read more
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Corporate Social Responsibility: Impact on Firm Performance for an Emerging Economy
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) was usually referred to as a concept where companies initiate voluntary action towards social and environmental concerns in the context of business operations related to the stakeholders of the company prior to the CSR Act 2013 in India. Post-2013, the voluntary initiative was replaced by regulatory guidelines to address social and environmental concerns. The CSR applicability–investment gap was used as a base concept in this study with instrumental theory; the study offers a strategic perspective of CSR and how organizations emphasized maximizing stakehol ..read more
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Modeling Funding for Industrial Projects Using Machine Learning: Evidence from Morocco
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
Moroccan manufacturing companies investing in the metallurgical, mechanical, and electromechanical industries sector are among the contributors to the growth of the national economy. The projects they are awarded do not have the same specific features as those of operating activities within other companies. They share several common features, making them particularly complex to fund. In such circumstances, supervised machine learning seems to be a suitable instrument to help such enterprises in their funding decisions, especially given that linear regression methods are inadequate for predicti ..read more
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Impact of Water Management Policies on Volatility Transmission in the Energy Sector
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
Purpose: This study evaluates the impact of the water management policies of energy companies on their volatility interactions with energy commodities. Design/methodology: We tested for volatility transmissions between 66 energy funds and fossil-fuel commodities. After identifying possible integrations, we investigated whether water management policies, after controlling for other fund characteristics, impact the probability of integration. Results: Our findings indicate strong volatility transmission from oil prices to energy funds. However, a reverse of this information flow was not observed ..read more
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High Risk, Constrained Return: Impact of Student Loans on Agricultural Real Estate
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
A farming household’s decision to continue producing agricultural commodities within the United States is influenced by a multitude of factors. Thus, this study seeks to examine whether the outstanding student loan balance of any member within a farming household may explain why the total number of acres devoted to the production of agriculture in the United States continues to decline. Panel data from the 2007–2009 Survey of Consumer Finances are analyzed via a fixed effect model to estimate the effect of outstanding student loan balances on farmland acreage owned, controlling for other facto ..read more
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Transformation of the Ukrainian Stock Market: A Data Properties View
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
This paper investigates the evolution of the Ukrainian stock market through an analysis of various data properties, including persistence, volatility, normality, and resistance to anomalies for the case of daily returns from the PFTS stock index spanning 1995–2022. Segmented into sub-periods, it aims to test the hypothesis that the market’s efficiency has increased over time. To do this different statistical techniques and methods are used, including R/S analysis, ANOVA analysis, regression analysis with dummy variables, -tests, and others. The findings present a mixed picture: while volatilit ..read more
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DAO Dynamics: Treasury and Market Cap Interaction
MDPI » Journal of Risk and Financial Management
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6d ago
This study examines the dynamics between treasury and market capitalization in two Decentralized Autonomous Organization (DAO) projects: OlympusDAO and KlimaDAO. This research examines the relationship between market capitalization and treasuries in these projects using vector autoregression (VAR), Granger causality, and Vector Error Correction models (VECM), incorporating an exogenous variable to account for the comovement of decentralized finance assets. Additionally, a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model is employed to assess the impact of carbon offset t ..read more
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