Oak Creek's March Madness
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Oak Creek's March Madness
2w ago
1. The Big XII is going to be a bloodbath. 7 teams in the top 20 of KenPom currently. The league will get weighed down by the bottom third as the season continues, but the top third is going to be capable of making a Final 4.
2. However, Arizona has a Caleb Love problem. Trendy pick for All-American, he’ll get his shots and I think that’ll be a problem for them. Big test for Tommy Lloyd to figure it out.
3. Kentucky will be less sexy without Cal but probably a better at playing basketball team. Will be curious to watch them at Clemson next month and against Gonzaga. Swe ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
1M ago
1. Alabama
2. Houston
3. Connecticut
4. Duke
5. Kansas
6. Gonzaga
7. Iowa State
8. Tennessee
9. Auburn
10. Arkansas
11. North Carolina
12. Baylor
13. Texas A&M
14. Creighton
15. Arizona
16. BYU
17. Marquette
18. Purdue
19. Rutgers
20. Florida
21. Texas Tech
22. Texas
23. Xavier
24. Boise State
25. Cincinnati ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
1M ago
We are less than a week away from College Basketball. Mini Preview coming....  ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
8M ago
Midwest Region: 1. Purdue vs. 2. Tennessee
Brian and I were exchanging texts on Friday night where I said I think we’re simply steamrolling to a Purdue-UConn final. Tennessee’s 18-0 run against Creighton gave me pause and then they almost blew it.
The Pick: Purdue 74 Tennessee 69
South Region: 4. Duke vs. 11. NC State
We’ve now arrived at the stage where NC State is no longer cute but annoying. I get it, the world hates Duke, but do we want Purdue-NC State? I think not.
The Pick: Duke 78 NC State 73 ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
8M ago
East: 1. UConn vs. 3. Illinois
UConn played their C game for a half against SDSU and then won by 30. Illinois jumped Iowa State and held on, but never really felt threatened, answering each Iowa State bucket that made it a one possession game. Impressive stuff in its own right.
Ultimately, I simply think UConn is better. Illinois can certainly shoot themselves to an upset but I have my doubts they get enough stops to fend off UConn like they did the Clones.
The Pick: UConn 82 Illinois 77
West: 4. Alabama vs. 6. Clemson
Of all the permeations you could get from the top-8 teams of this region, t ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
9M ago
1. Purdue vs. 5. Gonzaga
Another Sweet 16 for the Zags. Say what you will about them, but that is impressive in this day and age to continually be in the Sweet 16. Great teams get upset on opening weekend all the time. Great programs have down years all the time. Should probably appreciate the Zags.
As for the game, I want to find a reason to pick the Zags. Purdue can be dicey with the ball but Gonzaga typically doesn’t turn opponents over. The Zags don’t put teams on the line but Purdue is a different creature from anything any team has seen in that regard.
To win this game, the Zags ne ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
9M ago
2. Marquette vs. 11. NC State
Supposedly, they played for a title in 1974. Al McGuire got ejected before half. Imagine that today.
NC State rides a 7-game winning streak into this matchup and are an interesting team. Not great in anything other than not turning it over and not bad in anything. They’re an average team who has gotten hot or lucky, depending on how you look at it, at the right time.
Marquette is a poor rebounding team but NC State is average on the glass. Marquette thrives on turnovers but NC State doesn’t turn it over. Can Marquette increase NC State turnovers?
The d ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
9M ago
1. UConn vs. 5. San Diego State
UConn has won 8 straight tournament games by double digits. San Diego State doesn’t have enough offensive firepower to beat them. UConn’s spurtability will let them pull away and win comfortably.
The Pick: UConn 70 San Diego State 60
2. Iowa State vs. 3. Illinois
Contrasting teams meetup in this fascinating game. Iowa State is 49th and 1st in effective offensive and defensive efficiency. The Illini are 1st and 92nd in those categories.
Looking at the 4 Factors, Illinois is actually solid across the board defensively except turning teams over. They’re 360th of 3 ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
9M ago
2. Arizona vs. 6. Clemson:
In what is a bit of a surprise matchup, Clemson meets Arizona in the early tip Thursday. The Wildcats like to play fast, Clemson likes to slow it down. A matchup of clashing styles.
If we look at Arizona’s 4 Factors, we don’t find anything they do bad. Clemson on the other hand is a bad offensive rebounding team and one of the worst at turning teams over. Zona is 7th in the nation in defensive rebounding %.
I’d like to find a reason to pick Clemson in an upset but I think this is a game Zona handles with relative ease.
The Pick: Arizona 82 Clemson 69
4. Alabama vs ..read more
Oak Creek's March Madness
9M ago
Let’s rank out the Sweet 16 by KenPom. It’s a remarkably chalky Sweet 16. In theory, we should get better games, but we shall see.
1. UConn, 1st KP (1-seed East)
2. Houston, 2nd KP (1-seed South)
3. Purdue, 3rd KP (1-seed MW)
4. Arizona, 5th KP (2-seed West)
5. Duke, 6th KP (4-seed South)
6. Iowa State, 7th KP (2-seed East)
7. Tennessee, 8th KP (2-seed MW)
8. UNC, 9th KP (1-seed West)
9. Illinois, 10th KP (3-seed East)
10. Creighton, 11th KP (3-seed MW)
11. Gonzaga, 12th KP (5-seed MW)
12. Marquette, 13th KP (2-seed South)
13. Alabama, 14th KP (4-seed West)
14. San Diego State, 17th KP (5-see ..read more