Iran’s Once in a Lifetime Moment
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
6d ago
And you may find yourself not complying with the IAEA And you may find yourself in a war in another part of the world And you may find yourself making a metaphor about an automobile And you may find yourself enriching your uranium stocks, and building reactors And you may ask yourself “Well, how did I ..read more
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Russian Nuclear Doctrine in the Financial Times 2: A Conversation with William Alberque
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
1w ago
William Alberque joins Jeffrey for a friendly and deep debate about the Russian Navy nuclear documents leaked to FT, covered in our previous episode. This is a fascinating discussion not only on the documents themselves, but what they imply for Russia’s view of its own territorial integrity, what it needs to convince its soldiers to ..read more
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Jeffrey Visits the Test Site
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
2M ago
Road trip to Vegas. As part of an NGO transparency visit, NNSA opened up the Nevada Test Site to a group of international nuclear weapons experts, including one Dr. Jeffrey Lewis. Jeffrey goes through what he saw: P Tunnel, The BEEF, and the crown jewel, U1a. This was an NNSA exercise in transparency, aimed at ..read more
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Russia Buys North Korean Missiles
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
3M ago
Shoigu went shopping.  Russia is buying KN-23 and KN-25 missiles from North Korea and launching them in support of its invasion of Ukraine. Imagery from on the ground clearly shows North Korean style solid-propellant missiles. Jeffrey and Aaron talk about what this means for global ballistic missile proliferation, possible South Korean responses, and the continued ..read more
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North Korea’s ELWR Now Appears Operating
Arms Control Wonk
by Jeffrey Lewis
4M ago
Under constructing since 2010, North Korea appears to have finally begun operating a new reactor at Yongbyon that could be a significant source of plutonium for its nuclear weapons program — but many of questions remain. North Korea’s Experimental Light-Water Reactor (ELWR) is Possibly Operating Jeffrey Lewis and David Schmerler North Korea’s Experimental Light-Water Reactor ..read more
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North Korea’s New Satellite
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
5M ago
North Korea finally got a reconnaissance satellite into orbit, after several failed prior attempts! While it is a little rough around the edges, every program has to start somewhere. Jeffrey and Aaron talk through the implications of the DPRK’s reconnaissance satellite, the relationship of the DPRK missile and space programs, and the importance of high ..read more
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The Reason We’re all Still Here
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
6M ago
Take a listen to the latest season of Jeffrey Lewis’s podcast, The Reason We’re All Still Here Far too often, governments behave like toddlers. They’re fickle. They don’t like to share. And good luck getting them to pay attention to any problem that isn’t directly in front of them. They like to push each other to ..read more
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Shenanigans in Novaya Zemlya
Arms Control Wonk
by ACW Podcast
7M ago
Looks like everyone is preparing for a party.  Between Russia’s potential un-signing of a nuclear test treaty, threats to test “if the United States does,” and refurbishments at Novaya Zemlya, things aren’t looking great for the longevity of nuclear test ban norms. China and the U.S. have been modernizing too, though the U.S. has offered ..read more
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Nuclear Test Sites Are Too Damn Busy
Arms Control Wonk
by Jeffrey Lewis
7M ago
This is the written summary accompanying the satellite images we provided to CNN about the worrisome levels of activity we see at Russian, Chinese and US nuclear test sites ..read more
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Errors in Analysis of the Hwasong-18
Arms Control Wonk
by Jeffrey Lewis
8M ago
Errors in Postol’s Analysis of the Hwasong-18 Daniel Allen, Madeline Berzak, Michael Duitsman, Decker Eveleth, John Ford, Sam Lair, Jeffrey Lewis, Tricia White Key points: ??? Introduction Ted Postol’s analysis of the Hwasong-18 is marred by significant factual inaccuracies. Many of these inaccuracies would have been caught by an analyst carefully looking at the totality ..read more
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