Daniel Lacalle
54 FOLLOWERS
Daniel Lacalle is a Ph.D. in Economy and fund manager. He holds the CIIA financial analyst title, with a postgraduate degree in IESE and a master's degree in economic investigation (UCV).
Daniel Lacalle
3d ago
When we talk about monetary policy, people do not understand the importance of interest rates reflecting the reality of inflation and risk. Interest rates are the price of risk and manipulating them down leads to bubbles that end in financial crises, while imposing too high rates can penalize the economy. Ideally, interest rates would flow ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
1w ago
In a recent tweet, a talented financial analyst and investor stated: “The “debt is unsustainable” narrative has been around for 40 years plus. What’s astonishing to me is how the people who push this narrative never ask themselves, “Why has it been sustainable for so long?”. There is a widespread idea that the fiscal imbalances ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
3w ago
Thirty major central banks are expected to cut rates in the second half of 2024, a year when more than seventy nations will have elections, which often means massive increases in government spending. Additionally, the latest inflation figures show stubbornly persistent consumer price annualized growth. In the United States, headline PCE inflation in February will ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
1M ago
The manufacturing and consumer confidence weaknesses of the United States are deeply concerning, particularly considering that all those allegedly infallible Keynesian policies are being applied intensely. Considering the insanity of deficit spending driven by entitlement programs, the decline in the headline University of Michigan consumer sentiment index in March to 76.5 from 76.9 is even ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
1M ago
One of the most dangerous things that a government can do is present a glossy picture of the economy at a time when families and small businesses are suffering. Governments are always optimistic, but sending euphoric messages tends to backfire, especially when the situation for the middle class is complicated. In the United States, the ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
1M ago
In a recent interview with Seth Meyers, President Biden mentioned that the United States has the strongest economy in decades. However, the reality shows that the 2023 GDP growth adjusted for the accumulation of public debt was the worst since 1930. The U.S. national debt hit $32 trillion in June 2023 and surpassed $33 trillion ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
1M ago
The relentless increase in global debt is an enormous problem for the economy. Public deficits are neither reserves for the private sector nor a tool for growth. Bloated public debt is a burden on the economy, making productivity stall, raising taxes, and crowding out financing for the private sector. With each passing year, the global ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
1M ago
The main central banks have been deliberating on the concept of introducing a digital currency. However, many citizens fail to grasp the rationale behind it when the majority of transactions in major global currencies are carried out electronically. Nevertheless, a central bank digital currency is much more than electronic money. I will explain why. Central ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
2M ago
Upon perusing the seventeen Sustainable Development Goals included in the well-known 2030 Agenda, one may conclude that they are all harmless and entirely reasonable goals. Who could be opposed to reducing poverty and hunger or advancing infrastructure, innovation, and industry? The trick, akin to the tale of the Trojan Horse, is that those goals have ..read more
Daniel Lacalle
2M ago
In a world of populist policies, the notion of taxing billionaires to alleviate the financial burdens of the middle class stands as a tempting narrative. Advocates tout it as the quintessential solution to income inequality, promising a redistribution of wealth that lifts the masses from their fiscal woes. However, this narrative, so alluring in its ..read more