Storms incoming predawn/sunrise tomorrow (Weds) morning. Lightning and briefly heavy rain. Severe weather not expected. Storms lacking key ingredient: CAPE, which is near zero. Weds afternoon/evening remains questionable. Previous models showed storms in place, with plenty of storm-making ingredients. While the tornado threat appears to be well north of us, the atmosphere could support heavy downpours, lightning, and low probability of damaging winds and hail. However, the last several model runs do not show any storm formation after the storms that will come through early in the morning. Whi ..read more

Very warm today and tomorrow. Record high temps for BNA are 87° and 88° for today and tomorrow, respectively. Not quite sure we’ll make it to either of those, but it’ll be close. We could see some light showers early Tuesday morning, but these will be light and NBD. “Better” rain/t-storm chances will arrive Tuesday evening according to the HRRR. Rain may holdoff late enough to avoid any early afternoon rainouts, but evening rainouts look possible. No severe weather expected, but a few rumbles of thunder are possible. Wednesday afternoon/evening we could be dealing with some strong to severe s ..read more

Rain arrives early Tuesday evening if you want to believe the HRRR model. Never believe one run of one model. Remain curious for future runs. Understand rainouts/interruptions will be possible Tuesday night. Other models like the NAM have a light rain event Tuesday afternoon. Strong to severe storms might be possible Wednesday. No reliable data on timing for that. Will update forecast tomorrow. The post appeared first on Nashville Severe Weather ..read more

Monday looks like a great, dry spring-like day. High temperatures getting all the way into the mid 80s. Tuesday still looks warm, but a few showers may swing around during the morning and evening hours. There could be a few storms Tuesday night as a weakening line of storm approaches the area, but no severe concerns for our area. That line of showers/storms should be moving out by rush hour Wednesday AM, but we could be dealing with more storm chances later in the day. The Storm Prediction Center has included the far northern portion of Davidson Co. in a 15% chance of severe storms within 25 ..read more

Winds will die down tonight, leaving us with crisp temps in the mid to upper 40s. Big warm-up starts Saturday, with a high of 76° and mid-80s by early next week. Since it’s Spring and all…we live among the battle of the air masses. So, our next storm system moves across the central US just as we start warming up. The system should arrive here around Wednesday and could hang around until the weekend. While we are not currently outlooked for severe weather, it will bear watching. We can’t turn our backs to the western sky this time of year. In addition, even though it`s still 5 days away, for ..read more

731 PM one thunderstorm is tossing CG lightning heading along and south of I-840. Other scattered rain showers ready to make some of that chilly rain no one likes. Ok maybe some of y’all like it. No severe, no worries. The post appeared first on Nashville Severe Weather ..read more

5:54 pm, maybe not quiiite done with the thundershowers. A few more cells have developed west of us and may come through later. Moving NW to SE. Non-severe. The post appeared first on Nashville Severe Weather ..read more

Just a few more showers to deal with today. Maybe a rumble of thunder, but no severe weather concerns. Majority of the rain should be gone by sunset. Friday thru Monday look fantastic. Getting almost hot by Monday, with high temps in the md 80s. Rain chances return Tuesday or so. 6 – 10 day range looks warmer and wetter than average. The post A Lovely Weekend Awaits. appeared first on Nashville Severe Weather ..read more

We’ve been able to dodge a good bit of the rain today, but more is expected to move into the area tonight and tomorrow. Along with it, some gusty winds are possible overnight, not a bad idea to secure any outdoor furniture. HRRR model (above) thinks we get another round of showers/storms overnight around 1-5 am early Thursday morning, and then one last final round mid-morning Thursday lasting on/off thru the evening. You may hear a rumble of thunder or two, but no severe weather is expected. Additional rainfall totals look to be around 0.5 -1″. After a fairly wet week, Friday – Sunday look gr ..read more

rain spinning in to S wilco might put the nail in the rolly ball practice/game coffin to tonight. radar at 425pm. The post appeared first on Nashville Severe Weather ..read more