Welcome to this week’s edition of our market insights! We have plenty to cover, from the stock market’s performance to cryptocurrency trends, macroeconomic forecasts, and more. ? “Tulips Growing” – A Look at Market Trends High Short Interest vs. S&P 500: Since the stock market lows in early August, there’s been a remarkable trend. Stocks […] The post Tulips Growing appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

From crypto surges to anticipated earnings, here’s a comprehensive overview to keep you informed and prepared for the week ahead. Market Overview Post-Election Market Dynamics The S&P 500 experienced a post-election jump, moving from 5,850 to 6,000. This reaction was influenced by the election results and subsequent market sentiment. Options played a crucial role, with […] The post Elections Hangover appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

As a follow up from last week blog on 2024 Asset Performances vs 2016 post election: Your Election Next Trades A great tool built below by @Maverick_Equity to track 2024 Asset Performances vs 2016 post elections. Now sharing the same tool with The Discord Community and spreadsheet. Join our Discord community for in-depth discussions, access […] The post Tracking 2024 vs 2016 Post Elections Returns appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

The U.S. markets had their best week of the year, with the S&P up 4.7% and the Russell 2000 soaring 8.6%. This rally mirrored trends seen in 2016, albeit with even larger moves across sectors. European markets were less enthusiastic, with Euro stocks down by 1.5% due to weaker currency performance. Meanwhile, Japan and the […] The post Trump 2.0 appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

If you were trading on November 6, 2024, it’s a day you’ll likely remember with a bit of nostalgia. We saw significant shifts across various asset classes. With Trump now elected and the first major market reaction behind us, let’s focus on identifying potential trades for the next 2-3 months. Let’s begin by reviewing the […] The post Your Election Next Trades appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

This week’s update of Your Next Trade covers critical market events shaping our week ahead, from the U.S. election results to the Federal Reserve’s next moves. ? Upcoming Market Events: U.S. Elections (Tuesday): A highly anticipated event that could take longer to confirm if the results are close. Both asset markets and polls suggest a tight race between Harris […] The post Finish line appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

We are on the edge of significant market-moving events with the U.S. elections, FOMC meeting, and a potential Chinese economic stimulus all set to unfold in just 10 days. Here’s a recap of the key takeaways and insights to help you navigate these turbulent times.   U.S. Elections: The U.S. election momentum is surging, with […] The post The Final Countdown appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

Over the last six months, the S&P 500 has experienced a steady climb from 5,000 to 5,900, reflecting a 17% growth. Despite this rise, market volumes have been decreasing, signaling low participation from traders. With hedging dominating the options market, participants continue to expect a downturn, though stocks keep grinding higher. In the meantime, due […] The post Never Short a Dull Market appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

A quick follow up from yesterday’s post: https://substack.com/home/post/p-150347144?r=35zth&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web to take into account Thursday Move and Netflix price at the close. Using NFLX Thursday’s close at $687.65 And ATM Straddle = 25.57 + 25.27 = $50.84   We end up with following bounds: Upper Bound = 687.65 + 50.84 = $738.49 Lower Bound = 687.65 – […] The post Netflix Expected Move Update appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more

Here is the usual thread of the earnings season: Understanding Past moves (Realized Volatility) vs Future Moves expected (Implied Volatility).   Let’s take NFLX Netflix as an example. Netflix will release its earnings after the close.   Now for the expectations: Let’s look at how the stock has been moving during recent earnings: That translates […] The post Netflix Expected Move appeared first on Dupont Trading ..read more