Last month of the 2023 contest year, but even so, a good month to enter for first time because (a) you will be fully participating in winter portion of contest Dec Jan Feb, and also (b) because you can enter the annual snowfall contest.  For temperatures, predict anomalies relative to 1991-2020 averages for these nine locations:  __ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD _ATL _IAH ____ DEN _PHX _SEA and for snowfall, we substitute DTW, BUF and BTV for ATL _IAH _ PHX so the order of forecasts for snow is  __ DCA _NYC _BOS __ ORD ..read more

Google has produced a weather forecasting model using artificial intelligence with better accuracy, faster speed and lower costs, study finds https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/11/14/weather-forecasting-artificial-intelligence-google ..read more

Saw this on the radar this morning... it went all the way to Louisiana but couldnt get the picture of it thought this was cool as all get out, just had to share with the rest of the world LOL. never knew radar could be so cool.   ..read more

Predict temperature anomalies for DCA_NYC_BOS__ ORD_ATL_IAH__ DEN_ PHX_ SEA  in F deg relative to 1991-2020 averages ("normals") Deadline for on-time entries 06z Wednesday 1st of November 2023.  Will open a winter snowfall contest entry with the December contest. Good luck !! You may already have seen my post in September thread giving a detailed history of our contests back to 2013, and summaries of your wins and best scores. I know about half the regulars have seen this by comments and reactions. Enjoy.  Also preliminary scoring posted o ..read more

K2R2 - Indianapolis/Hendricks IN K8V7 - Springfield CO KANR - Green Canyon 763 LA   27.23 -91.19 92 KBFA - Boyne Falls MI KEZP - East Cameron 321A LA   28.22 -92.79 41m KK83 - Sabetha KS KC08 - Westcliffe CO KSBX - Shelby MT PACX - Coldfoot AK PFTO - Tok AK   ..read more

I've uploaded my outlook for 2023-24. Here is the link: https://www.scribd.com/document/676713540/2023-24-Winter-Outlook General themes: I matched each three month period starting Feb-Apr to various years in the past to build my analogs, and then rolled the blend forward. I built those analogs with El Nino following La Nina, -PDO, -QBO, volcanic, high solar years in the abstract. I have this as a 28.0C (+1.5C ish) El Nino in winter.  Premise is the -PDO look wins through Nov maybe early Dec when it is more correlated to temps in the US than El Nino. Then in Dec, record/near record ho ..read more

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Predict temperature anomalies for DCA_NYC_BOS__ ORD_ATL_IAH__ DEN_ PHX_ SEA  in F deg relative to 1991-2020 averages ("normals") Deadline for on-time entries 06z Sunday 1st of October 2023.  Good luck !! You may already have seen my post in September thread giving a detailed history of our contests back to 2013, and summaries of your wins and best scores. I know about half the regulars have seen this by comments and reactions. Enjoy.  Also preliminary scoring posted over in September thread, to be adjusted at end of month.  ..read more

Just curious to see what the distribution is. Seems like most posters are on board with a strong or super nino, but I’m curious to see if a consensus is beginning to form or it’s still an even split. I’m going to start by putting in my vote for super (I’m thinking a peak of 2.3 or so).  ..read more

Predict temp anomaly (F deg) relative to 1991-2020 average, for DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA  deadline 06z Friday September 1st.  ... wxdude64 posted early for September in previous contest: DCA:  -0.2 NYC:  -0.5 BOS:  -0.6 ORD:  -0.3 ATL:  +0.8 IAH:  +1.2 DEN:  +1.4 PHX:  +2.1 SEA:  +0.3 ..read more