K49B- Sturgis SD K9Y1 - Killdeer ND KETO - Mississippi Canyon 941 LA 28.03N / 89.10W  43m KTQS - Lompoc/South Vandenberg CA 34:38N / 120:37W  34m KVGN - KVGN - Lompoc/North Vandenberg CA 34:51N  120:36W  93m   ..read more

 - The 3/29 0Z GEFS run’s mean NAO prediction (see image below) of ~-1.75 for 3/31 is ~tied for the daily record low NAO for all of March (records go back to 1950)! The current March record is -1.75 (3/22/1980). It will also easily beat the current record low for March 31 of -1.3 (1975). - This run is predicting the lowest NAO to be ~-1.95 to -2.00 (on 4/1). Should that verify closely, it would be a record low NAO (back to 1950) for the entire period covering Feb 15th through April 7th! It will also obliterate the current record low for April 1 of -1.2 (1975). - This run implies there wil ..read more

I'm guessing I'm not the first person on the board who started watching the videos, but YouTube somehow knew to suggest Convective Chronicles.  Tropical Tidbit style discussions of ongoing events, and 45 minute post-mortems of significant tornado events of the last 30 years.  On Twitter/X and YouTube.     ..read more

Not seeing a general thread on the April 8th Eclipse yet, so I'm starting this one.  We're traveling (flying) to Austin, TX and looking at the current (LONG RANGE) forecast, it could be dicey.  Where are you headed? When do you plan to make the call for where you'll see the eclipse from?   Where & When (nasa.gov ..read more

Predict temp anomalies for nine locations (F deg relative to 1991-2020 averages) ... DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA  Deadline is 06z Apr 2nd (early Tuesday in EDT)  (deadline is one day later in view of Easter weekend timing so regular entrants take note, you can enter or edit up to later deadline, no penalty ... I won't even look at forecasts until Tuesday morning ..read more

Really really want to chase this one....thinking gonna target Nashville....anybody in ..read more

Let’s do this again. Last year for the El Niño, based on the poll results voters overwhelmingly favored a strong El Niño. That ended up being correct, with the official trimonthly peak being just short of 2.0C (ended up being rounded up to 2). Coming off a borderline super nino that is already beginning to weaken rapidly, both historical precedence and the current guidance favors a La Niña for next winter.  ..read more

Predict temp anomalies for nine locations (F deg relative to 1991-2020 averages) ... DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA  Deadline is 06z Mar 1st. (late Thursday evening in EST)    ..read more

Per TWC yesterday, the next week will be the rainiest week in Los Angeles in 14 years, and most of that falls in 3 days.  High Risk of flooding Day 3 in the Los Angeles metro.   WPC disco:   Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 154 PM EST Sat Feb 03 2024 Day 2 Valid 12Z Sun Feb 04 2024 - 12Z Mon Feb 05 2024 ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... ...Central to Southern California... The latest models are in good agreement on the evolution of a strengthening cyclone off the central Califo ..read more

K0W3 - Churchville MD K1K8 - Ketchum OK K2M8 - Millington/Baker TN K42A - Melbourne AR K48I - Sutton WV KCSB - Cambridge NE KDRP - Colt AR KOYE - South Timbalier 52B LA   28.87 -90.49  98m KP33 - Wilcox AZ PANU - Nulato AK PAPE - Perryville AK   ..read more