Netanyahu Slyly Vetoes Biden Peace Proposal
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
4M ago
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s decision to bar the Palestinian Authority, which now governs parts of the West Bank, from administering the Gaza Strip after the war on Hamas ends is aimed at sinking a revived “two-state solution” peace plan to end the Middle East’s longest-running conflict.  Formulated back in 1991 and favored by Israel’s chief ally, the United States, the two-state initiative was meant to create a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip at peace with Israel. Though long dormant, the formula is considered the region’s most viable path to peace.   ..read more
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Biden’s War Management Stumbles over Israel, Arab Rage
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
4M ago
Israel has served notice that it will seek out and kill Hamas operatives not only in the Gaza Strip but beyond the borders of Israel and the West Bank, widening the retaliatory reach of an enraged country.  The official comment specified Qatar and Turkey as countries that host Hamas officials. The warning, delivered by an Israeli military spokesman, suggests that once Israel’s effort to destroy Hamas rule and military resources in Gaza it will also pursue its enemies abroad. “The directive is definitely to kill or capture all the leaders of Hamas. Those who planned, facilitated and execut ..read more
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Netanyahu’s Search, Kill and Rescue Mission in Gaza
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
5M ago
Israel’s “second phase” of its war against Hamas consists of small unit attacks just inside the northern Gaza Strip border, accompanied by continual aerial bombing and artillery fire targeting the interior of the enclave. Bulldozers are clearing wide paths for eventual deeper penetration into the territory. The air strikes are designed to make sure Hamas doesn’t emerge from tunnels beyond the reach of ground forces, a NATO general said. “The air force is used because not all objectives are achievable with targeted ground operations. And because, at this moment, only the air force can carry out ..read more
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Israel, Ukraine Chafe at Biden Restraints
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by Daniel Williams
5M ago
When US President Joe Biden, upon arrival in Israel last week, gave Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu what Americans call a “bro hug”, commentators interpreted the gesture as a show of solid support for Israel in its war with Hamas. One commentator on Israeli TV offered a subtler and, it has turned out, reality-based analysis. Besides showing support, Biden’s gesture also meant, “You’re totally in my hands.” It’s a reality being digested not only by Israel but also Ukraine, which Biden visited in February and had pledged full backing for its war with Russia. Whether it’s Biden saying “We stand ..read more
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Biden Cones Up Empty Handed in Middle East
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
5M ago
Israel has contested accusations from Hamas that an Israeli missile struck the grounds of a hospital in Gaza Strip, an event that shattered dozens of Palestinian lives and undercut US President Joe Biden’s shuttle diplomacy meant to emphasize support for Israel and persuade Arab countries he wants to help Palestinians, too. On Tuesday, Hamas, the hardened armed enemy of Israel that rules Gaza, said the Israelis fired the missile. Herzl Halevi, Israel’s military chief of staff, said the missile was launched by Islamic Jihad, another Palestinian armed group, and went awry and the hospital. On W ..read more
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Hamas’ War of Deception and Barbarity
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
6M ago
Not long after Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) gunmen attacked southern Israel, military analysts and others were quick to compare the surprise assault to the 1973 Yom Kippur War in which the armies of Egypt and Syria invaded the country. But besides the scope of each conflict, there’s a difference Israelis might prefer to forget. In 1973, the Israeli government knew an invasion was likely but chose to ignore the warnings. The current government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had no inkling that Hamas, the Palestinian group that rules the Gaza Strip, was preparing – and able – to inv ..read more
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Armenia–and Putin–Lose in Azerbaijan
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
6M ago
Vladimir Putin, self-declared protector of ethnic Russian and other allied communities along Russia’s borders, failed last week to defend nominal Armenians allies who live in Azerbaijan from being driven out of the country by the Azeri army. Though distant geographically, the Azerbaijan offensive was a byproduct of Putin’s failure to conquer Ukraine, where the Russian leader has also pledged to defend ethnic Russian allies. Such active solidarity is one of the Kremlin’s key foreign policy talking points. But Azerbaijan took the opportunity of Russia’s preoccupation with Ukraine to end more tha ..read more
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Despite Wagner Crisis, Putin’s ‘Ghost Warriors’ Live
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
7M ago
Mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin and nine members of his Wagner Group are gone, victims of a still-mysterious air crash. No one is saying who or exactly what brought their plane crashing down near Moscow. But even as the circumstances of Prigozhin’s death remain in the dark, it is clear that President Vladimir Putin intends to continue the use non-government, private military forces to perform violent foreign policy chores. The only question is how to keep Wagner successors both useful and under control. There’s no indication that the rift between Prigozhin and President Vladimir Putin which ..read more
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Don’t Be Fooled: Ukraine’s Offensive Is Stymied
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
7M ago
Major breakthroughs against Russian forces by Ukraine in its ongoing military counteroffensive are unlikely. Close observers of the battlefield foresee an open-ended war moving forward, with little significant battlefield progress by either side. Analysts as well as visitors to the Ukrainian front lines offer multiple reasons for the developing stalemate. The laying of formidable, wide minefields laid by Russia along the 600-mile front in eastern and southern Ukraine has provided a catch-all reason offered for the slow-going. But minefields are only one cause of battlefield stagnation, expert ..read more
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US China Policy: Talk Some and Prepare for War
NextWarNotes
by Daniel Williams
8M ago
Italy’s right-wing Prime Minster Giorgia Meloni returned from talks last week with US President Joe Biden that included discussions of how to distance her country from tight economic ties with China. The discussion was part of NATO’s efforts to “de-risk,” that is reduce, economic activity with Beijing. Meloni let it be known she was working to cancel Italy’s participation in China’s so-called Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the trade and infrastructure partnerships that Rome joined four years ago. Meloni indicated Rome could somehow maintain “good relations with China” even as it dropped BRI ..read more
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