EM macro conditions are improving unevenly as GDP growth stabilizes and inflation slows
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Scott Phillips, Vittoria Zoli
1w ago
Growth will slow in 2024 then stabilize in 2025 in most emerging markets. We have raised our forecasts for Asia, Central-Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa but lowered them for Latin America. Host: Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings   ..read more
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China’s push to shift economic growth engines faces hurdles but will benefit some EMs
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Gong Cheng, Vittoria Zoli
3w ago
It will take time and effort for sectors like tech and EVs to drive China’s GDP growth, and geopolitics is a risk. But emerging markets supplying relevant goods and services to China stand to benefit. Guest: Gong Cheng, Managing Director - Credit Strategy, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings ..read more
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Digging into key credit stories for emerging market sovereign investors across the globe
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Lillian Li, Ruosha Li, Ariane Ortiz-Bollin, Scott Phillips
1M ago
China’s 2024 policy priorities and influence across Asia, the state of European consumers, Romania’s fiscal deficit, Argentina’s economy and Ecuador’s state of emergency are among the top stories. Guests: Lillian Li, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings; Ruosha Li, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Ariane Ortiz-Bollin, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Ratings ..read more
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A focus on West Africa, where bright spots shine through political, security and climate risks
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Mickaël Gondrand, Scott Phillips
1M ago
Positive developments include strong GDP growth in Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal, a lifting of sanctions on Niger, and a few countries tapping international bond markets so far this year. Speaker: Mickaël Gondrand, Assistant Vice President-Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service ..read more
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Emerging market central banks lower rates while US Fed signals rate cuts are not imminent
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Vittoria Zoli, Scott Phillips
2M ago
Recent interest rate cuts in Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Hungary are among the signs that EM financial conditions are improving. The primary market for EM bond issuance is likely to remain strong. Hosts: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets at Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets at Moody's Investors Service ..read more
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Middle East, North Africa credit conditions are stable in 2024 despite elevated geopolitical risks
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Christian Fang, Badis Shubailat, Rehan Akbar, Vittoria Zoli
3M ago
Conditions are more stable for sovereigns, banks and companies in the Gulf Cooperation Council region than in North Africa and Levant. An escalation of the Israel-Hamas military conflict is main risk. Speakers: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group at Moody’s Investors Service; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Financial Institutions Group at Moody’s Investors Service; Rehan Akbar, Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance Group at Moody’s Investors Service Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Emerging Markets at Moody’s Investors Service ..read more
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Five top-of-mind credit stories for EM sovereign investors in 2024
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Marie Diron, Scott Phillips
3M ago
Redefault risk in Argentina, general elections in South Africa, financial conditions and debt affordability in Egypt, monetary policy in Turkiye and economic growth in China are top stories this year. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director - Global Sovereign Risk - Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service ..read more
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Economic considerations underpin stable emerging market 2024 outlook
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Scott Phillips, Vittoria Zoli
5M ago
EM GDP growth will slow, largely because of China’s slowdown. Export-led EMs will suffer from weak global trade activity, but domestic-focused EMs will fare better. Pockets of inflation risk exist. Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service ..read more
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How recent US, UK, euro area monetary policy decisions, US dollar strength affect emerging markets
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Vittoria Zoli, Steffen Dyck, Scott Phillips
7M ago
Moody’s strategists discuss recent central bank decisions, EM financial conditions, US dollar strength and EM currency weakness, Poland’s election and India’s inclusion in an EM government bond index. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst -- Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Steffen Dyck, Senior Vice President -- Sovereigns, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director -- Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service ..read more
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Disinflation continues in EMs; Mexico’s industrial production rises; Gabon’s outlook turns negative
Moody's Talks | Inside Emerging Markets
by Vittoria Zoli, Mickaël Gondrand, Scott Phillips
7M ago
Moody’s analysts discuss the country-specific reasons inflation is slowing in emerging markets; why Mexico’s industrial production is increasing; and how Gabon’s coup factored into its outlook change. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst – Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Mickaël Gondrand, Analyst – Sovereigns, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investors Service ..read more
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