Recession Fears Are Overblown: Robert Smallwood, The Contrarian Catalyst
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
1w ago
Robert Smallbone, aka The Contrarian Capitalist, joins the podcast to discuss his view that recession fears are overblown and a fresh "blow-off top" is coming. This podcast episode was recorded on Thursday, March 13, 2025 and made available to premium subscribers less than 24 hours later! More information on premium subscriptions is available on our Substack. Content Highlights Bearishness appears to have taken over markets. The S&P 500 just entered a correction. The guest is not buying that narrative (1:16); The uncertainty created by the new US president may be intentional to lower bon ..read more
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Economic Cycle Still Has Room to Run, Even With Tariffs: Scott Colbert, Commerce Trust
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
1w ago
Scott Colbert, chief economist at Commerce Trust in St. Louis, rejoins the podcast to discuss why the economy can continue to expand even with the onset of Trump tariffs. This podcast episode was recorded on March 6, 2025 and was made available to premium subscribers exclusively the same day it was recorded. Information on premium membership is avaliable here. Content Highlights The "Trump tariff barrage" will lead to slower growth, lower economic activity, and higher inflation -- in the short term (1:51); Over the medium term however, tariffs should not trigger a recession, nor will they ha ..read more
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Economic Cycle Still Has Room to Run, Even With Tariffs: Scott Colbert, Commerce Trust
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
2w ago
Scott Colbert, chief economist at Commerce Trust in St. Louis, rejoins the podcast to discuss why the economy can continue to expand even with the onset of Trump tariffs. This podcast episode was recorded on March 6, 2025 and was made available to premium subscribers exclusively the same day it was recorded. Information on premium membership is avaliable here. Content Highlights The "Trump tariff barrage" will lead to slower growth, lower economic activity, and higher inflation -- in the short term (1:51); Over the medium term however, tariffs should not trigger a recession, nor will they ha ..read more
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Pessimism's Return, Trump 2.0 Opportunities, With Phil Pecsok, Anacapa Advisors
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
3w ago
Phil Pecsok of Anacapa Advisors rejoins the podcast to discuss the return of pessimism to the market and the economic and market repercussions of Trump's various policies. This podcast episode was recorded in two segments, the second on Feb. 24 with the express purpose of discussing with the then-nascent sell-off and Nvidia (NVDA) earnings. More information is available here. This podcast deviates from the usual format by including the guest's first-hand account of the LA wildfires. This admittedly has only limited relation to investing, but was kept mostly intact for human interest reasons. L ..read more
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AI Stocks Can't Lead the Market Much Longer. Invest Internationally Instead: Dan Rasmussen, Verdad Capital
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
1M ago
Dan Rasmussen of Verdad Capital joins the podcast to discuss the dwindling prospects for AI stocks and why investors might want to look outside the US for better returns.   This podcast episode was released to premium subscribers on Monday, Feb. 17, 2025 without ads or announcements. For more information about premium membership options, visit our Substack. Content Highlights AI stocks have been on an incredible run, massively growing profits without much capital spending. That equation has changed... (1:51); Tech companies are going from software businesses to manufacturing concerns ..read more
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Prepare for End of US Dollar Cycle, as Emerging Markets Rise: Rohit Goel, Breakout Capital
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
1M ago
Rohit Goel of Breakout Capital joins the podcast to discuss his view that the boom in the US dollar (and in US dollar-denominated assets) will soon give way, to be replaced by a long-awaited bullish cycle in emerging markets. Content Highlights Markets have grown accustomed to US dollar dominance and with it a surge in US assets, specifically stocks. That is due for a cyclical reversal (1:00); There are three factors supporting US growth. One of them is almost certainly due to run its course (4:43); The global economy revolves around the US consumer as driver of growth. But that too can chan ..read more
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The Looming Iceberg Ahead of the US Economy: Les Rubin, Main Street Economics
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
2M ago
Les Rubin of Main Street Economics joins the podcast to discuss his chief concern facing not just markets and economies, but the world at large: US sovereign debt. This podcast episode was recorded on Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2025 and released to premium subscribers the same day. Information on premium subscriptions, including the vast benefits, are available on our Substack. Content Highlights The US economy is headed to 'serious problems' and the guest's mission is to educate people to the gravity of the situation (1:47); Debt and fiscal deficits are nothing for the US. But its debt/GDP ratios i ..read more
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Natural Gas as the Energy of the Future: Applications and Investment Opportunities, With Farid Guindo
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel Baker
3M ago
Farid Guindo of Drill Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss his bullish views on natural gas -- not the commodity itself, necessarily, but its application to meet future energy demand. Content Highlights Natural gas as the energy of the future even as prices of the commodity itself plummet (1:08); Oil exploration is becoming increasingly difficult, expensive, and risky (2:58); The 'John D. Rockefeller moment' for natural gas (5:46); What role can nuclear energy play? (16:03); In natural gas, there will be winners and losers, however... (18:00); Where are the best opportunities? (19 ..read more
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Finding Contrarian Investors Among US Presidents Past and Present
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel E. Baker
3M ago
Hear podcast episodes without ads and before regular listeners by subscribing to our premium offering. Megan Gorman joins the podcast to discuss her book 'All the Presidents' Money; How the Men Who Governed America Governed Their Money,' in an effort to locate the contrarian investors. There are several, led by Gerald Ford. The guest also discusses the investments of year's presidential and vice presidential candidates. Content Highlights The most contrarian investor among US presidents? Gerald Ford, the man who pioneered sitting on corporate boards and the presidential speaker circuit (1:24 ..read more
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Author of 'SBF' on his Book's Subject, What Undid FTX, Future of Cryptos
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
by Nathaniel E. Baker
3M ago
This podcast episode was recorded on Monday, May 1, and released to premium subscribers a day later. To get early access to podcast recordings and take advantage of a host of other exclusive benefits, sign up to become a premium member at our Substack or Supercast. Brady Dale joins the podcast to discuss his book, 'SBF: How the FTX bankruptcy unwound crypto's very bad good guy' and offer his thoughts on the present and future of cryptocurrencies. Content Highlights Who is Sam Bankman-Fried exactly? Is he a crook? (Yeah, probably) Misunderstood? The author has known SBF for ..read more
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