Finance in Montana
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Living and active in Montana. I hope you enjoy my post on alternative ways of looking at economics and financial data.
Finance in Montana
1y ago
The mind often plays tricks. Humans have evolutionary heuristic biases to formulate opinions. I previously post a GIF of the yield curve from 1979-1985. Why? Given my experience, I am not sure interest rates are all that ..read more
Finance in Montana
2y ago
The expression “Free Market for Free Men” is often quipped, flipped and stated as “Free Men make Free Markets”. With that duality in mind, I offer a free market solution to the diplomatic statemate in offering air cover ..read more
Finance in Montana
2y ago
From Ptolemy’s ‘Almagest’ to Carr, Madan & Chang’s Variance Gamma models ..read more
Finance in Montana
2y ago
Our ancient mystics explored the cycles of nature. Temples built, rocks arranged and early mathematics revolved around the concept of natural cycles. Ptolemy’s ‘Almagest is a fascinating read on the use of cycles to exp ..read more
Finance in Montana
2y ago
This blog illustrates the harm the Federal Reserve and world-wide Central Banks are inflicting on individuals who work to save for education and retirement years. It is well known that the cost is high. But how high? A ..read more
Finance in Montana
2y ago
Perhaps the most important statistic ever learned in derivative trading is the F-Statistic. We are reminded that volatilities are themselves quite volatile. While derivative traders might think they are smart in buyi ..read more
Finance in Montana
2y ago
Milton Friedman did not win the Nobel Prize because he was an idiot. Our esteemed Modern Monetary Theorists might suggest (Paul Krugman et al) otherwise. Rather, the axiom 'Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary p ..read more
Finance in Montana
2y ago
Simply put, the billionaire tax for Elon Musk might be another feather in his federal subsidy cap. Tesla closed at just shy of $1025. The January 2024 $1025 strike put option trades at $278.50 or 27.17 percent of spot va ..read more