30th July 2007 was when I registered the domain for simple soccer stats and it’s been a long and interesting road since then. Unfortunately the end of that road has now been reached. So much has changed in those years but right now I don’t have the time or dedication to continue with the site. I was a keen bettor with plenty of time on my hands staying up late and studying everything. I’m now 10 years older with a family and no spare time on my hands. I also don’t even bet on matches anymore so I am keeping the site going more out of a duty to the people who use it. At times I loved it and I b ..read more

It’s the final matchday and it’s been a bad group stage 27.11 – AS Roma v Real Madrid: Draw @3.8 with several LOSE -1 (0-2) 27.11 – Juventus v Valencia: Draw @5.0 with several LOSE -1 (1-0) 28.11 – Tottenham v Inter: Draw @4.0 Generally LOSE -1 (1-0) Summary: 4 wins from 18 / -4.975pts With so many groups already done and dusted its an odd final round and there is only one bet so this will be a losing year. Group D would have had a bet or two but with the top 2 places decided its too risky to try and guess the lineups teams will go with. The draw in Barcelona v Tottenham is another possibility ..read more

Match day 5 and we have some ground to make up as just one winner last time out 06.11 – Inter v Barcelona: Draw @3.5 Generally WIN +2.5 (1-1) 06.11 – FC Porto v Lokomotiv Moscow: Away win @12.0 in several LOSE -1 (4-1) 07.11 – Lyon v Hoffenheim: Away win @3.6 in several LOSE -1 (2-2) Summary: 4 wins from 14 / -1.975pts Massive week again and the Liverpool, PSG and Napoli group has produced some excellent matches so far and hopeful of another on Wednesday. All 3 bets this week are on draws. 27.11 – AS Roma v Real Madrid: Draw @3.8 with several 27.11 – Juventus v Valencia: Draw @5.0 with several ..read more

Already at match day 4 and back into the negatives with 3 losses last week 23.10 – Hoffenheim v Lyon: Home win @2.0 Generally LOSE -1 (3-3) 24.10 – Club Brugge KV v Monaco: Away win @3.2 Generally LOSE -1 (1-1) 24.10 – Lokomotiv Moscow v FC Porto: Home win @4.33 with Several LOSE -1 (1-3) Summary: 3 wins from 11 / -2.475pts 3 matches this week and the Lokomotiv Moscow one is a rank outsider which looks very unlikely but sometimes you have to go against what you think if the stats say so. The Hoffenheim price seems to be coming in but not sure why that is. It’s another big week of games with Na ..read more

If you have had the pleasure of watching Wolves play, whether it be at home or away, at some stage you will hear their fans singing about how their manager Nuno Espirito Santo had a dream. The start of it goes, ‘Nuno had a dream, to build a football team,’ other notable points in the song refer to their wealthy Chinese owners as well as a wonder kid from Porto who is Ruben Neves. After Wolves’ impressive start to the season, it’s fair to say that this dream of Nuno’s is fast becoming a reality if it hadn’t already after they blitzed the Championship last season. The Portuguese manager has arri ..read more

Better results last time out with Schalke and Napoli winning 03.10 – Lokomotiv Moscow v Schalke: Away win @2.4 Generally WIN +1.4 (0-1) 03.10 – Tottenham v Barcelona: Home win @3.5 with quite a few LOSE -1 (2-4) 03.10 – Napoli v Liverpool: Home win @3.5 with quite a few WIN +2.5 (1-0) 03.10 – FC Porto v Galatasaray: Away win @7.5 with quite a few LOSE -1 (1-0) Summary: 3 wins from 8 / +0.525pts Just 3 bets this time round but there were a couple of close ones in Barcelona and Shakhtar. Barcelona’s price has suffered as Messi is out and also there is the possibility that they both play out a dr ..read more

This season’s exciting Champions League group stage has reached a pivotal point and there are plenty of top European giants still battling hard to edge closer towards achieving the greatest feat available in club football. All of the leading contenders and key names are still very much on track for outright supremacy this current campaign but there can only be one victor who gets their hands on that world famous trophy come next year. So, here are the main contenders for this season’s Champions League crown after such a dramatic start to proceedings in Europe’s elite club competition. Rea ..read more

With the Twitter Bets that we have been able to record prices from using www.football-data.co.uk there have been nearly 900 bets and the loss to the average price is 14.35 points. This does not seem to be very much and we have the feeling that to best prices we should be able to get into profit and as a result we will monitor this for the season. This is only for the leagues where we can get prices for football-data.co.uk so is the following Bel Jupiler, Eng Champ, Eng Conf ,Eng Lge 1, Eng Lge 2, Eng Prem, Fra Lig 1, Fra Lig 2,Fra Ligue 2, Ger Bund, Ger Bund 2, Grk Super, Ita Serie A, Ita Seri ..read more

The Liverpool v PSG tie was the highlight of the first round of matches and really lived up to the hype. Without playing in a competitive league how can PSG ever prepare to play in matches like these, especially against teams that aggressively press them. In terms of the bets the late goal by Liverpool stopped that being a draw but the late comeback from Inter Milan made that one a winner so swings and roundabouts. 18.09 – Inter v Tottenham: Home win @2.625 Generally WIN +1.625 (2-1) 18.09 – Liverpool v Paris SG: Draw @3.5 Generally LOSE -1 (3-2) 18.09 – Schalke v FC Porto: Home win @2.4 Gener ..read more

With the new Premier League season underway, everyone is anxious to forecast where their favorite team will end up. Although it’s still early, many people are beginning to predict the final table. One of the best ways to do this is by using the soccer pythagorean theorem, as described here. This model essentially uses goals scored and goals conceded to give a team an expected points per game. This can then be used to forecast how a team will fare over the rest of the season. In this article, we are going to go back to the 2017-18 EPL season to analyze the effectiveness of the formula. In order ..read more