Post Race Handicapping Analysis: The Honey Fox G3 at Gulfstream
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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3w ago
Welcome Friends to The Turk blog.  I write handicapping analysis of generally Graded Stake horse races. I started handicapping in 1986 when I spent a summer in Saratoga training to operate nuclear reactors in the sleepy town called Ballston Spa. I lived just blocks from the track. In the mid 1970's, like a lot of kids who grew up in that era, my only access to horse racing was older relatives, ABC Wide World of Sports and Sports Illustrated Magazine.  I had an Aunt, my dear Aunt Rose, who would baby sit me from time to time on Saturdays while my dad worked volunteering at a nearby ..read more
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The Nomination Is In: The Honey Fox G3 and The Turk Hits the 700th Post Milestone
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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3w ago
Welcome Friends to The Turk Blog. Today's post mark's a real milestone for this blogger, my 700th Post.   So much has changed since September 2008 when I wrote my first tentative posting. In the world that was just before Twitter, Facebook hadn't fully blown up yet, and horse racing, while damaged at that point, was not the devalued product we see now. Hollywood and Arlington, two of my favorite tracks, were there and now gone, not to mention countless synthetic racing surfaces.   I joined a blogging alliance, but by the time I joined it was obvious that blogging was a d ..read more
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The Nomination Is In: The Santa Anita Handicap
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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3w ago
Defunded: Benoit   Welcome Friends to The Turk Blog, and thank you to the good people at The Thorofan for having me today.  My blog primarily focuses on Turf Handicapping and Exacta Bet Construction.  I've handicapped dirt races for the better part of 35 years, so I'm capable, it's just not my blog's primary focus.  I hope you give me a read and good luck if you are playing. Classic Distance racing always a bit of a wildcard for veteran older horses: 11 starts for this field at that distance, 2 wins and 4 Place/Shows.  Tomlinson's, always a bit murky, hav ..read more
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The Nomination Is In: The Fairgrounds Stakes G3
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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1M ago
  Gentle Soul:  Hodges Photography  Welcome Friends to The Turk Blog, where I focus on Turf handicapping and exacta bet construction.  That handsome six year old is Gentle Soul, my chalk in today's handicapping exercise, The Fairgrounds Stakes G3.   My handicapping has been a bit cool lately. It happens.  Don't judge success over a short sample size, positive or negative.  When you handicap, you are preparing who you think has the best opportunity to win, setting win odds for the field.  Horses don't read spreadsheets.  The base handi ..read more
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The Nomination Is In: The San Marcos Grade 3 at Santa Anita
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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1M ago
  Welcome Friends to The Turk Blog, where we focus on handicapping and exacta betting of Turf Horse Races.   Every year, when I'm mentally engaged, and that engagement has returned for me, I enjoy the progression of races , and the horse athletes.  It helps your handicapping tremendously to follow the flow of the Conditions Book  and where the Trainers bring their runners next.  Getting second and third looks at these horses really allows you to project ahead and find those overlays that every horse player needs to make up for the inevitable misses.  One I'v ..read more
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The Nomination Is In: The Pegasus World Cup Turf International G1 at GP
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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1M ago
Ivar: Photo Bloodhorse  Welcome back to The Turk Blog, where I previously handicapped Race 11, the Pegasus World Cup  Filly and Mare Turf G3 and today we target Race 12, the Pegasus World Cup Turf Cup G1.    So much nuance on the past performances, especially for older runners over routes of grass.  My base handicap tries to ignore the pace scenario and focus on ranking who the best horses are, in order, and then a fair line is set.  The fair line is set to 100% while the Morning Line is calibrated to track takeout, ever increasing track ta ..read more
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The Nomination Is In: The $500,000 Pegasus World Cup Filly and Mare Turf G3 at Gulfstream Park
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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2M ago
  Welcome friends to The Turk blog, where we focus on turf racing, handicapping and exacta building.  My focus is narrow by choice.  I've handicapped for decades, high volume, and after all those years, turf racing emerged as my passion, and I especially like the 4 YO and Up group.  Perhaps it my European roots.  I love analyzing lots of data and big fields, unlocking the handicap into actionable information and occasionally finding gems that are undervalued by the betting public.   I think it also fits my introverted personality to gravitate to a sport that ..read more
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The Nomination Is In: The Sunshine Filly and Mare Turf Handicap $75K at Gulfstream Park
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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2M ago
Welcome friends to The Turk and the Little Turk Blog.  For a blog that has been writing since 2008, I've taken the opportunity to revise my blog name again to simply this: The Turk: Turf Handicapping and Exacta Betting.  I wanted to clearly articulate the purpose of the blog and what the reader can expect.  These days, the Little Turk ain't that little anymore, and he has more on his mind these days than horse racing.  I'm also very infrequently handicapping dirt races and I don't get too emotional about the Derby Trail anymore.  I'm better at analyzing veteran runner ..read more
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Post Race Analysis: The Unusual Heat Turf Classic at Santa Anita 1/7/2023
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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2M ago
  Welcome friends to The Turk and the Little Turk Blog.  This past weekend we had our first blog of the year, and our first exacta win of the year.  For new readers, this blog's main purpose is to handicap turf runners and then to develop bet strategies for exactas.    That's all I do.  I use to be a Superfecta bettor, Pick 4 and 6 guy, but I've limited myself intentionally to really refine my eye for runners over a route of grass.   I'm a bit of an oddball with strong opinions.  As much as I love the writing of turf writers, I won't read anything ..read more
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Post Race Analysis for the Grade 2 San Gabriel at Santa Anita
The Turk: Horses, Handicapping and Hijinks
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3M ago
Dicey Mo Chara:  Benoit Photo Welcome friends to The Turk and the Little Turk.  As I said, pre race, I didn't see this as a betting opportunity race because I believed the public would see this race as I did, some combination of Masterof- foxhounds,  Prince Abama and Dicey Mo Chara in the exacta.   While the the handicap was good, the bet construction lacked vision.  It's important to always remember that bet construction has to realize your opportunity cost for the risk involved.  Speaking English, If I'm going to bet money, I need to get my money ..read more
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