Impeachment What Americans Think Of The Biden Impeachment Inquiry Most aren't convinced President Biden is implicated in his son's wrongdoing. By Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux Sep. 14, 2023, at 3:41 PM Photo Illustration by ABC News / Getty Images Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. It’s officially impeachment season again. On Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy announced that he’s directing three House committees to start investigating whether President Biden benefited from his son Hunter’s business dealings overseas. McCarthy accused the Biden family of “a cultu ..read more

2024 Republican Debates The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump Six of the eight candidates from the first debate appear set to qualify for the Sept. 27 event. By Geoffrey Skelley Sep. 14, 2023, at 6:00 AM Eight Republican candidates participated in the party’s first primary debate in August. But the stage could feature fewer contenders when the GOP holds its next debate later this month. Joshua Lott / The Washington Post via Getty Images The second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out for GOP contenders to meet ..read more

2024 Election The Senate Is Losing One Of Its Few Remaining Moderate Republicans Sen. Mitt Romney of Utah isn't seeking a second term, and his potential successors are generally more conservative. By Nathaniel Rakich Sep. 13, 2023, at 6:40 PM In his announcement that he would not seek a second term, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney stressed the need for a new generation of leadership in the U.S. Win McNamee / Getty Images On Wednesday, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney announced he would not run for reelection in 2024. On the surface, the electoral impact of Romney’s decision is minimal — his seat should stay ..read more

2024 Election Why 'Bidenomics' Isn't Working For Biden The economy is improving, but Americans aren't giving Biden credit for it. A FiveThirtyEight Chat Sep. 12, 2023, at 4:07 PM Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same month, average gas prices exceeded $5 per gallon. And in the second quarte ..read more

Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll showing former President Donald Trump and President Biden tied is to be trusted. What to make of a CNN poll showing Nikki Haley as the only Republican candidate with a lead over Biden that falls outside the margin of error. How to understand data from the New York Times sugges ..read more

FiveThirtyEight   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Amazon Music | Spotify Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll showing former President Donald Trump and President Biden tied is to be trusted. What to make of a CNN poll showing Nikki Haley as the only Republican candidate ..read more

Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis Probably Didn't Turn Florida Red The state was already changing in big ways before he was elected governor. By Nathaniel Rakich Sep. 11, 2023, at 2:34 PM ABC News Photo Illustration / Win McNamee / Getty Images In his presidential campaign, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has pitched himself as a transformational leader who has reshaped the politics of his home state. His 2022 reelection by 19 percentage points “was not just a big victory,” he has argued. “It was really a fundamental realignment of Florida from being a swing state to being a red state.” And most polit ..read more

Age Aging Politicians Are Only Going To Get More Common By Monica Potts Sep. 7, 2023, at 6:00 AM Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s recent freezes in front of cameras, in conjunction with the comparatively advanced ages of the two presidential front-runners, has American voters thinking about politicians’ ages. Drew Angerer / Getty Images Presidents are getting older and older. Former President Donald Trump was the oldest person to assume office when he was sworn in on Jan. 20, 2017, and President Biden broke that record four years later. If either is elected again next year, at ag ..read more

Now that we are on the other side of Labor Day and summer is subsiding, this is — as tradition goes — when focus on political campaigns really begins to heat up. The off-year elections this November will get some attention, but the main attraction is still the 2024 Republican presidential primary. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we ask a question we will undoubtedly return to in the four months until the Iowa caucuses: Is Donald Trump’s nomination inevitable? And if not inevitable, how can we place the likelihood he wins the GOP primary in historical context? We al ..read more

By Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich, Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich, Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich and Galen Druke, Leah Askarinam, G. Elliott Morris and Nathaniel Rakich   More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS | Amazon Music | Spotify Now that we are on the other side of Labor Day and summer is subsiding, this is — as tradition goes — when focus on political campaigns really begins to heat up. The off-year elections this November will get some attention, but the main attraction ..read more