
The Economic Fractalist Blog
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Non-Stochastic Saturation Macroeconomics. Welcome to the small alcove for the advancement of cause and effect saturation macroeconomics. This site pursues the hypothesis that the nature of market valuations and economic cycles is both causal and quantitatively decipherable.
The Economic Fractalist Blog
3d ago
Torsades de Points, the twisting of the points, is an unraveling of a stable cardiac rhythm. The unraveling of global equity valuations will occur in concert with market forces on US debt and in particular US Ten Year Notes – qualitatively caused by 36.5 trillion in US Federal debt, expected tariff induced inflation, anticipated tax ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
1w ago
The 2025 Smoot-Hawley 2.0 new tariffs and announced counter tariffs are coming at the precise time of maximum fractal global peak or secondary peak equity valuation with 24 months of declining manufacturing data and re-inversion of long term debt minus short term debt yields after 2 years of steep inversion, greater than 1929. Smoot-Hawley 2.0 ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
1M ago
On 9 Dec 2024 the global Equity composite ACWI reached an all high at 123.58. This day of peak valuation growth occurred exactly on a x/2.5x/1.618x 27 Oct 2023 :: 55/139/89 day fractal series. The SPX reached its maximum a trading day earlier, still very close to a third fractal Fibonacci time ratio of its ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
2M ago
9 December 2024 was the 27 October 2023 x/2.5x/(Fibonacci) 1.618x :: 55/139/89 day maximal daily 3-phase fractal growth series for both the composite ACWI, the 100+ trillion global ETF proxy, and the 1929 survivor Tricontinental Corporation equity fund. Will a 5 December 2024 18 day : 4/8/8 base and a Decay Fractal series of 18/45/45 ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
2M ago
The 27 October 2023 to 5 August 2024 55/139 day :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series occurred with a nonlinear lower low gap between day 137 and day 138 and again between day 138 and 139, one day beyond the usual maximum 2.5x second fractal time limit with a reversal on day 139 ending ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
2M ago
The nonlinearity of 19 October 1987 was decidedly different than 13 December 2024. 19 October 1987 was a part of a 5/10 quarter :: x/2x first and second fractal collapse, but was near the beginning of a sizable duration 1982 to 2025 13/32 year :: x/2.5x fractal series under the umbrella of cascadingly falling US ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
2M ago
The ordering of the universe is based on provable mathematical laws to the conclusive degree of observational, empirically derived four and five significant figures. The significant figures’ ordering did not occur by chance but by the self-assembly of ‘basic’ energy-mass-vibrational units that are at the core of the universe’s composition. These ‘basic’ units may yet ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
2M ago
In the US hegemonic 1807 36/90/90/54 year :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x Great 4 phase fractal series, there are current (4) operating self-ordering first and second fractal series of interest: 1. A 1982 to 2025 13/31 of 32 years series2. A March 2020 19/39 of 45 to 46 month series3 A 27 Oct 2023 to 5 Aug 2024 ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
3M ago
The 5 August ACWI’s first fractal has a length of 24 to 27 days, composed of respectively 5/10/11 day :: x/2-2.5x/2x and 6/13/10 day :: x/2-2.5x/1.6x 3-phase fractal series. The Nikkei favors the later series with a first fractal of 27 days with the European stock composites having 25 and 28 day first fractals. (The ..read more
The Economic Fractalist Blog
3M ago
The universe operates by patterned self assembly of its smallest units on the smallest scale to the largest scale with mathematical fractal self-ordering and self-assembly of its subunits, units, and interactive connecting exchange structures. With energy vibration, the smallest tetrarhedrons of planck side length 1.616 10-35 M may have an averaged bowing length of 1.618 ..read more